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Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots · bye week 11

This week on the boardNFL Week 6 predictions →NFL Week 7 predictions — early lines →Week 5 results →

Week 6 gamesSeahawks at BroncosTexans at JaguarsBears at FalconsRavens at BrownsTitans at ColtsJets at PatriotsSaints at GiantsPanthers at EaglesSteelers at BuccaneersCardinals at RamsChargers at ChiefsBills at RaidersCowboys at PackersCommanders at 49ers

FLAG

Week 6 vs NYJ — every Kalshi strike, the sportsbook consensus, and our model's call. Prediction-market props, priced in cents.

Our Week 6 projection for Rhamondre Stevenson, the Oracle calls on his Kalshi props, and the season range behind them. The draft-season read (ADP, value tag) sits at the bottom. Same numbers our model serves to AI assistants — free, no key.

Where the market has Rhamondre Stevenson this week

A gap between two venues is a price difference, not a recommendation. Prices move; the timestamp on each line is the clock it was read on.

Week 6 — how often he gets there

Every result Rhamondre Stevenson could post this week, and the share of them that reach the listed number.

Rec Yds

Range only — this stat has no percentage we would stand behind.

10th 0·median 17·90th 60

Receptions

Range only — this stat has no percentage we would stand behind.

10th 0·median 3·90th 6

Rush Yds

Range only — this stat has no percentage we would stand behind.

10th 10·median 31·90th 89

The spread comes from how far actual results have landed from projections of this size, fitted on four seasons — not a simulation. Season and week figures are different vintages: the 2026 range elsewhere on this page is preseason, this block is Week 6.

The week's sharpest prop, across every player

One player here; the whole slate there. The largest model-vs-Kalshi prop gap live this week, refreshed every 5 minutes and free to embed.

The Ladder — Rhamondre Stevenson

All ladders →

Every Kalshi strike listed on this player beside the sportsbook consensus, with our probability marked at the strike we called.

Rhamondre StevensonReceptionsMARKET READView 3+ rec on Kalshi →

Kalshi prices 3+ rec at 57¢. Where the Oracle line sits on each rung is Pro.

Market · 3+ rec
YES 58¢

Fewer than three strikes have both a two-sided Kalshi book and a model number inside our published 30–70% band, so there is no shape call here. The market prices are complete.

Oracle Ladders venue check

At 3+ rec Kalshi's NO costs 44¢, the books imply 43¢ — 0.2 points below the book read.

Legend
  • Kalshi YES mid, 0–100¢
  • book consensus (no-vig)
  • Oracle line (Pro) · hollow = outside the 30–70% band
  • YES/NO buttons are the Kalshi taker cost; “pays” is 100¢ ÷ cost.
Go Pro · $150/yr, $111 your first year →
Rhamondre StevensonRush AttMARKET READView 17+ rush att on Kalshi →

Kalshi prices 17+ rush att at 42¢. Where the Oracle line sits on each rung is Pro.

Market · 17+ rush att
YES 43¢

Fewer than three strikes have both a two-sided Kalshi book and a model number inside our published 30–70% band, so there is no shape call here. The market prices are complete.

Legend
  • Kalshi YES mid, 0–100¢
  • book consensus (no-vig)
  • Oracle line (Pro) · hollow = outside the 30–70% band
  • YES/NO buttons are the Kalshi taker cost; “pays” is 100¢ ÷ cost.
Go Pro · $150/yr, $111 your first year →
Rhamondre StevensonRush+Rec YdsMARKET READView 100+ rush+rec yds on Kalshi →

Kalshi prices 100+ rush+rec yds at 40¢. Where the Oracle line sits on each rung is Pro.

Market · 100+ rush+rec yds
YES 40¢

Fewer than three strikes have both a two-sided Kalshi book and a model number inside our published 30–70% band, so there is no shape call here. The market prices are complete.

Legend
  • Kalshi YES mid, 0–100¢
  • book consensus (no-vig)
  • Oracle line (Pro) · hollow = outside the 30–70% band
  • YES/NO buttons are the Kalshi taker cost; “pays” is 100¢ ÷ cost.
Go Pro · $150/yr, $111 your first year →

Gold is our distribution, parchment is the Kalshi contract at each strike; the band between them is green where our probability is higher and purple where it is lower. We publish our number only where we have measured it to be calibrated, between 30% and 70%; rungs outside that range show the market only, and a rung where our number sits more than 30 points from a liquid market is refused outright — a gap that size is a bug until proven otherwise. A contract pays $1 if it settles YES, so a price in cents is an implied probability. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0.

Share this Oracle Ladder

Rhamondre Stevenson Kalshi prop ladder for Week 6: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus
Rhamondre Stevenson's headline Kalshi ladder this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

Embed this player’s prop ladder

A live card locked to Rhamondre Stevenson — the Kalshi price at every strike of his headline prop beside the sportsbook consensus — for a team blog, a fantasy newsletter or a player post. Free; the credit line is the only ask. No API key, no signup.

Every NFL prediction-market widget.

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Rhamondre Stevenson Kalshi prop ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/players/rhamondre-stevenson?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-player-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Rhamondre Stevenson Kalshi prop ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/players/rhamondre-stevenson?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-player-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Prop market — every Kalshi strike

Full market board →
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for Rhamondre Stevenson with a two-sided book: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus at that strike, the gap in cents, and the cheapest venue per side. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
ContractKalshiConsensusGapBest priceTrade
3+ recNE v NYJ57.0¢57.2%3bk-0.2¢over · Novig 59.5¢under · Novig 45.5¢Kalshi →
anytime TDNE v NYJ58.5¢—one-sidedover · Novig 57.4¢under · Novig 43.5¢Kalshi →
2+ TDsNE v NYJ21.5¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
3+ TDsNE v NYJ5.5¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
15+ rec ydsNE v NYJ60.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 63.7¢under · Kalshi 42.7¢Kalshi →
25+ rec ydsNE v NYJ40.0¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Novig 42.6¢under · Kalshi 63.7¢Kalshi →
40+ rec ydsNE v NYJ20.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 23.2¢under · Kalshi 82.1¢Kalshi →
50+ rec ydsNE v NYJ11.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 13.8¢under · Kalshi 90.6¢Kalshi →
5+ recNE v NYJ19.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 22.2¢under · Kalshi 83¢Kalshi →
14+ rush attNE v NYJ72.5¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
17+ rush attNE v NYJ41.5¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
100+ rush+rec ydsNE v NYJ39.5¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
125+ rush+rec ydsNE v NYJ17.0¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
150+ rush+rec ydsNE v NYJ10.5¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
40+ rush ydsNE v NYJ76.0¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 80.2¢under · Kalshi 28.4¢Kalshi →
50+ rush ydsNE v NYJ63.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 66.6¢under · Kalshi 39.7¢Kalshi →
60+ rush ydsNE v NYJ53.0¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 56.7¢under · Kalshi 50.8¢Kalshi →
70+ rush ydsNE v NYJ40.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 42.7¢under · DK 53.1¢Kalshi →
80+ rush ydsNE v NYJ29.0¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 33.5¢under · Kalshi 75.4¢Kalshi →
90+ rush ydsNE v NYJ21.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 25.3¢under · Kalshi 82.1¢Kalshi →
100+ rush ydsNE v NYJ16.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 19¢Kalshi →

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents, read across two clocks — Kalshi as of Oct 16, 11:10 PM ET, books as of Oct 16, 11:15 PM ET. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

Draft-season read — 2026 projection, ADP and value

Projected points

169

9.9 per game

Consensus ADP

31

round 3

RB rank

RB14

model has him RB28

2026 range

10th pct 85·median 167·90th pct 289

Measured, not simulated. Our RB projections have landed inside this band 81% of the time against a 80% target, on the 2024-25 holdout. The median sits below the projection because most players lose time — the projection is an expected total, not the typical outcome.

Our board and the consensus market agree on him almost exactly at RB.

Patriots 2026 schedule

Team hub →

Week 1

at SEA

Week 2

vs PIT

Week 3

at JAX

Week 4

at BUF

Week 5

vs LV

Week 6

vs NYJ

Week 7

at CHI

Week 8

at MIA

Week 9

vs GB

Week 10

at DET

Week 12

at LAC

Week 13

vs BUF

Week 14

vs MIN

Week 15

at KC

Week 16

at NYJ

Week 17

vs DEN

Week 18

vs MIA

Every game carries our model line against the live Kalshi contract price.

How this projection is built

Season projections come from our own usage model — target and carry share, efficiency and games played — then the published rank blends that model with consensus ADP at a weight fitted per position. The raw model loses to consensus ADP at every position, so the board leads with the blend and the disagreement is the content, not a claim that we are right.

The engine behind the game numbers grades at 59.6% straight up across 3,266 games (2013–2024). Those figures grade DAEPA, the underlying play-by-play model. Every published call is graded here.

Want the whole board? All 322 players are free — and any AI assistant can read them directly through our MCP server, with no key and no signup.

Questions about Rhamondre Stevenson

What are Rhamondre Stevenson's Kalshi props for Week 6?

As of Oct 16, 11:10 PM ET, Kalshi lists 21 strikes on Rhamondre Stevenson against NYJ: anytime TD at 58.5¢, 17+ rush att at 41.5¢, 70+ rush yds at 40.5¢, 50+ rush yds at 63.5¢. A Kalshi prop contract pays $1 if the threshold is cleared, so the price in cents is the market's implied probability. Every strike on this page carries the sportsbook consensus at the same threshold beside it.

Where is the best price on Rhamondre Stevenson anytime TD?

As of Oct 16, 11:10 PM ET, the cheapest over is Novig at 57.4¢ (next best 57.6¢), and the cheapest under is Novig at 43.5¢ (next best 43.7¢). Prices are per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks at their raw quote — so the two are directly comparable. Cheapest is not the same as correct: compare it to our model's probability for the same threshold before taking a position.

What is Rhamondre Stevenson's 2026 projection?

Rhamondre Stevenson projects 169 half-PPR points (9.9 per game) for 2026, against a consensus ADP of 31 (round 3). The page also carries a measured 10th–90th percentile range: it is the fitted distribution of actual-over-projected outcomes, holdout-validated, not a simulation.

How does a Kalshi player-prop contract pay out?

A Kalshi player-prop contract settles at $1 if the player clears the stated threshold and $0 if he does not, so the price in cents is the market’s implied probability of the threshold being cleared. Buying YES at 62¢ returns 38¢ per contract on a clear and loses 62¢ otherwise; buying NO at 38¢ is the mirror. Because both sides of a two-sided Kalshi book sum to about 100¢, no de-vigging is needed before comparing it to a model probability — a sportsbook price has to be de-vigged first.

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Projections as of 2026-10-16; ADP source composite. Fantasy projections are estimates, not predictions — trade and draft responsibly.