Prediction Markets MCP Server
PredictionMarketsPicks — published by The 7 Oracles — exposes its quant toolkit as an MCP server, so an AI agent can call our calculators instead of scraping the site. Connect Claude, ChatGPT, Gemini, Cursor, or Copilot and run expected-value, Kelly sizing, Bayesian updates, odds conversion, and base-rate checks on any Kalshi or Polymarket contract directly in the chat.
The engines behind those tools publish a record: 1,435 decided signals graded against the market that priced them, +$87.53 net on a flat one-contract stake, published per tool — including the engines that lose money. The table is further down this page, and the full per-tool ledger is at /track-record.
Quick Answer
the PredictionMarketsPicks MCP server lets an AI agent call our prediction-market quant tools directly. Add the remote server at https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp to any MCP client (Claude, ChatGPT, Cursor, Copilot). The calculator tools — EV edge, Kelly sizing, Bayesian update, odds conversion, base-rate gap — are free and uncapped with no key, and the fantasy draft tools answer keyless too, at a capped depth one email lifts instantly. Unlike a calculator library, the engines behind it publish a graded record: 1,435 decided signals graded against the market that priced them, +$87.53 net on a flat one-contract stake, published per tool — including the engines that lose money.
Browse the tools on-site →Connect your agent
Add this remote MCP server (Streamable HTTP transport). No API key is needed to start calling the free tools. Note the /mcp twice — the base path /api/mcp on its own will not connect.
https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcpclaude mcp add --transport http predictionmarketspicks https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp
Add this URL as a custom connector / remote MCP server: https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp
{
"mcpServers": {
"predictionmarketspicks": {
"type": "streamable-http",
"url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp"
}
}
}No API key is needed to call any of the free tools — the eight calculators plus the whole fantasy draft desk. The calculators are never capped; the draft list tools return a capped slice without a key, which one email lifts instantly — nothing to install. Pro tools take a PredictionMarketsPicks API key as an Authorization: Bearer header. The manifest lives at /.well-known/mcp/server.json.
Free tools (no key required)
Stateless calculators. Each returns structured numbers plus a link to the full interactive tool on the site.
Expected-value edge on a contract from its price and your probability, with a BUY / SELL / SKIP signal.
Optimal Kelly position size (full / half / quarter / eighth) for a bankroll, with a risk rating.
Chain one or more pieces of evidence onto a prior to get the posterior probability, step by step.
Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds (odds carry no commas).
Compare a market price to a historical base rate and get the gap in points plus sample-size quality.
Grade a same-game combo on EV with a 7-tier verdict + negative-correlation-trap flag. Renders as an interactive card in supported hosts.
The Gridiron Edge Rating (GER) for all 32 NFL teams — defense-adjusted power number, rank, and tier.
Turn an NFL spread + total into win probability, projected score, and over/cover probability — or pass two teams to derive the spread.
Fantasy draft tools (free)
A fantasy football draft assistant over a calibrated 2026 projection model in standard, half-PPR or full-PPR scoring. See the draft assistant hub for install snippets and live samples.
Without a key these return a useful slice of each list. One email lifts every one of them — no card, no password, and nothing to install: the unlock applies to the chat the agent is already in. Pro removes the caps and adds the analysis layer: boom/bust week odds on every row, positional tier breaks, and the reasoning on each alternative pick. Single-player lookups (player_outlook, compare_players) are never capped at any tier.
The ranked 2026 fantasy draft board (standard, half-PPR or full-PPR) — projection, ADP, round, SLEEPER/BUST flag. Filter by position.
Best players still on the board given your pick number and who is already drafted.
One player's projection, floor/ceiling, boom/bust, ADP, and SLEEPER/BUST read.
Why the board ranks a player where it does — model rank vs market ADP vs the published blend, and what the projection does not model.
Compare 2–4 players side by side with a pick recommendation and the best market value.
The biggest gaps between our model and consensus ADP — sleepers to target, busts to avoid.
Where platform ADP disagrees with our projection the most — the players the room is systematically mispricing on your specific platform.
Your roster + pick number → the single best pick, weighing positional need against value.
Draft with the model inside your AI assistant
Forty-seven seconds of the draft desk running inside an assistant — the fastest way to see what an MCP tool call actually looks like. All eight tools answer with no key and no account.
Set up the draft assistant →Pro tools (API key)
Live-edge signals. Pass a PredictionMarketsPicks Pro key as an Authorization: Bearer header — the same $14.99/mo Pro tier, extended to agents. Every read is served from a 60-second cache, so the tools stay fast under load. Keys are provisioned automatically at checkout and managed at /account/keys.
The edge alerts our models generate on Kalshi — weather, commodity, and mispricing — as a live feed. Pro keys get it in real time; without a key you get the same feed delayed 24h. Filters select, never tailor.
Cross-platform price gaps between Kalshi and Polymarket on the same sports contract, with WATCH/ARB signal. Without a key you get the single largest gap in full detail; one email returns the top 3, Pro the whole board.
US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime — free without a key, always — plus the six category scores: 2 without a key, 4 once unlocked with an email, all six on Pro.
Today's highest-conviction silver or bitcoin trade signal — side, price, model probability, edge, tier, quarter-Kelly sizing.
Polymarket contracts mispriced vs the PMP model, sorted by edge, with direction and Kelly sizing.
Where the NFL model disagrees with Kalshi — game moneylines, win-total futures, MVP, and championship edges with model probability, price, and side.
NFL player-prop edges (passing/rushing/receiving yards, receptions, anytime TD) — model projection vs the Kalshi line. Live in-season.
The graded record
Every signal these engines published, settled against the market that priced it. Wins and losses both. Figures are a net sum over a flat one-contract stake, not a per-contract average — a contract capped at $1 cannot average more than 99¢. As of 2026-08-20.
| Engine | W–L | Win % | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Silver Edge | 235–162 | 59.2% | +$43.86 |
| Gold Edge | 303–185 | 62.1% | +$36.18 |
| Oil Edge | 260–290 | 47.3% | +$7.49 |
1,435 decided signals, +$87.53 net. Judge these on P/L rather than win rate: a filter that removes a class of signals changes the win rate by design, so a rate is only comparable within one version of a model. Engines with under 20 decided signals are not listed — a handful of settles is not a record.
Get a Pro key
Three steps. The person buying Pro for an agent is a human configuring Claude, ChatGPT, or Cursor — here is the whole path.
- 1. Subscribe to Pro
$14.99/mo or $150/yr — the same tier that unlocks the tools on the site. See pricing →
- 2. Copy your key
Keys are provisioned automatically at checkout and live at /account/keys. A Pro key looks like
pmp_v2_pro_…. - 3. Paste it into your client config
Same server URL, one extra header. Every Pro tool then answers for that key.
{ "mcpServers": { "predictionmarketspicks": { "type": "streamable-http", "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp", "headers": { "Authorization": "Bearer pmp_v2_pro_YOUR_KEY" } } } }Claude Code (CLI):
claude mcp add --transport http predictionmarketspicks https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp \ --header "Authorization: Bearer pmp_v2_pro_YOUR_KEY"
- No key — 300 requests/minute per IP. Calculators and single-player lookups at full depth; the draft board and list tools return a capped slice.
- Unlocked — the same 300/minute, with the draft-desk caps lifted. One email, no card, nothing to install.
- Pro key — 5,000 requests/hour per key, uncapped depth, plus the Pro tools.
- Enterprise key — 100,000 requests/hour per key.
Pro data reads are served from a 60-second cache, so repeated calls inside a minute are free of upstream latency.
Use it with Kalshi Pro
The Kalshi Pro terminal shows you what's moving — price, spread, depth, 5-minute volume. It does not tell you what's mispriced. Copy the tickers from your Kalshi Pro screener or Canvas watchlist, paste them into your agent, and the ticker-addressable tools (nfl_edge, commodity_edge) return PMP's edge on exactly those markets. Tickers we don't model come back as not_covered — never a fabricated number.
“Here's my Kalshi Pro NFL watchlist: KXNFLWINS-27KC-11, KXNFLWINS-27BUF-11, KXNFLMVP-26. Run nfl_edge on these and tell me which are mispriced.”
Listed on
The PredictionMarketsPicks MCP server is published to the public registries so any agent can discover it.
Prediction Markets MCP Server — FAQ
What is the PredictionMarketsPicks MCP server?
It is a Model Context Protocol (MCP) server that exposes PredictionMarketsPicks quant tools as callable functions inside any MCP-compatible AI agent — Claude, ChatGPT, Gemini, Cursor, or Copilot. Instead of scraping the site, an agent can call the expected-value, Kelly sizing, Bayesian update, odds-conversion, and base-rate tools directly and get structured numbers back. It uses the Streamable HTTP transport at https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp.
Is the MCP server free?
Yes — the calculator tools (EV edge, Kelly sizing, Bayesian update, probability/odds conversion, base-rate gap) are free with no API key, rate limited per IP, and never capped. The fantasy draft tools also answer with no key, though the list-shaped ones return a capped slice anonymously (a capped slice of each) — one email lifts those instantly, with nothing to install. Live-data edge tools (mispricing scans, arbitrage gaps, commodity edge) are the paid Pro tier ($14.99/mo) and require a PredictionMarketsPicks API key passed by the agent.
How do I connect Claude or ChatGPT to it?
Add the remote MCP server URL https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp to your client. In Claude Desktop or Claude.ai, add it as a custom connector. In ChatGPT, add it under connectors / developer mode. In Cursor or Copilot, add it to your MCP settings JSON with a streamable-http (HTTP) transport pointing at that URL. No key is needed to start calling the free tools.
What can the tools actually do?
calculate_ev returns the percentage edge and a BUY/SELL/SKIP signal for a contract given its price and your probability. kelly_size returns the optimal position size for a bankroll. bayes_update chains evidence into a posterior probability. convert_probability moves between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. base_rate_gap compares a market price to a historical base rate. Every result links back to the full interactive tool on the site.
Are these prediction markets the same as a sportsbook?
No. Kalshi and Polymarket are CFTC-regulated event-derivative exchanges, not sportsbooks. The MCP tools treat every contract as a probability problem — expected value, calibration, and position sizing — the same quant framework a bond or options desk runs. Educational analysis, not financial advice.
Is there an MCP server for Kalshi and Polymarket?
Yes. The PredictionMarketsPicks MCP server is a prediction-markets MCP for Kalshi and Polymarket. It exposes quant tools an AI agent can call directly — an EV calculator, Kelly sizing, Bayesian updating, probability/odds conversion, base-rate gap analysis, and same-game combo grading — plus Pro edge tools for cross-platform arbitrage, macro pulse, and commodity/mispricing edge. Endpoint: https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp (Streamable HTTP).
Claude says 'Unable to reach PredictionMarketsPicks' — is the server down?
Almost always no. That message comes from your client's connector gateway, which sits between your conversation and our endpoint, so it appears even when every request that reaches us is answered normally. The fix is usually to retry the message, or toggle the connector off and on under Settings → Connectors. To check our side yourself, open https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/health — it returns the exact commit production is serving, so a JSON response means the server is up. A GitHub-hosted probe also calls the live MCP endpoint end to end every 30 minutes from outside our infrastructure, and a genuine outage pages us.
Does the PredictionMarketsPicks MCP server have a track record?
Yes, and it is published rather than claimed. Every signal our edge engines put out is settled against the market that priced it and scored wins-and-losses on a flat one-contract stake — the per-engine table is on this page and the full ledger is at https://predictionmarketspicks.com/track-record. Engines that lose money are listed too, which is the point: a record that only shows winners is marketing, not evidence. Two caveats we state on the page itself — the net figure is a SUM over one-contract stakes and is never a per-contract average, and an engine with fewer than 20 decided signals is not listed at all, because a handful of settles is not a record.
Is the MCP server open-source?
The source is public and MIT-licensed at github.com/predictionmarketspicks/mcp, but you do not install anything to use it. It is a hosted server: add the remote URL https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp to your MCP client and the tools appear, no clone, no build, no local process, and the free tools need no key. The repository is there for reading the implementation or self-hosting a copy; the hosted endpoint is the canonical way to use it and the one the official registry lists.
Is the PredictionMarketsPicks MCP server verified?
Yes. It publishes under the DNS-verified namespace com.predictionmarketspicks/quant on the official Model Context Protocol registry (registry.modelcontextprotocol.io), authenticated by a DNS TXT record on predictionmarketspicks.com. That verified namespace is how AI agents and registries confirm the server is the genuine PredictionMarketsPicks prediction-market tools endpoint. We publish a second entry under the same verified namespace, com.predictionmarketspicks/fantasy-draft at https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-draft/mcp, which is a fantasy-football-only view of the draft tools already on this server — a filtered subset, not a different product. This endpoint is the superset and stays the recommended one.