Eight franchises skipped Round 1 entirely. Their first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft hit Friday night — and Kalshi's 72 position markets on all of them were sitting at zero.

Live Moves

2026 NFL Draft: 10 Biggest Kalshi Swings Before Kickoff

Carnell Tate +39¢ to 57¢ at Pick 13. Rueben Bain Jr. −56¢ at EDGE P3. Ten market leaders flipped between 10:45am and 3pm on draft day.

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Kalshi vs Polymarket — Live Sports Price Gaps

Where the two exchanges price the same game differently right now — NBA, MLB, and more, with the reference vig shown alongside.

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Soccer Prediction Markets — The Hub

The permanent soccer anchor — the World Cup 2026 recap plus Champions League, Premier League, and MLS as their markets list.

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NFL Prediction Markets — 2026 Season

Game-by-game Gridiron Edge analysis vs. live market prices — Week 9 model lines are live now, plus power rankings, futures and win totals for all 32 teams.

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NHL Prediction Markets — Goal Light

Every NHL game Kalshi lists tonight priced by one model — market, model and fair value side by side, starting goalies checked — plus Stanley Cup odds and the Goal of the Day.

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NBA — Prop Price Board + Injury Report

579 Kalshi NBA player-prop strikes priced beside the books right now — cheapest venue per side, Kalshi fee included. Market prices only, no model.

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NBA Hub →Today's 7 Oracles NBA Report →Prop Price Board →Injury Report + Who Benefits →

Sport Fishing Championship — Zane Grey, Oct. 17–18

The SFC final in Cabo: watch it live, see our odds on all four clubs, and play the free pick'em.

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MMA Prediction Markets — PFL

The PFL World Tournament “Road to $1M,” every card's tale of the tape, and market edges as contracts list.

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Sports prediction markets — frequently asked

What sports can you trade on prediction markets?

On CFTC-regulated exchanges like Kalshi you can take positions on NFL, NBA, MLB, soccer, golf, and MMA — game winners, season win totals, championship and MVP futures, and player milestones. Coverage grows each season as new event contracts list.

Kalshi vs Polymarket for sports — which is better?

Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US exchange, so US traders route there and it carries the deepest sports contract slate. Polymarket prices many of the same games and has been open to US traders since December 2025 (identity verification required, availability varies by state). When both list the same game, our Kalshi vs Polymarket gap tool shows where the two exchanges disagree.

Are NFL prediction markets legal in the US?

Yes. NFL event contracts are CFTC-regulated derivatives that trade on federally regulated venues — Kalshi, plus DraftKings Predict, FanDuel Predicts, and Robinhood via their listing partners. As federally regulated contracts they are available in most states (sports contracts are restricted in some by court order, and DraftKings and FanDuel limit sports by state), legally distinct from state-licensed sports betting.

How does the Gridiron Edge model find NFL market edges?

It projects every team and game, converts those projections to win probabilities, and compares them against live Kalshi prices. Where the model and the market disagree by enough, that gap is the edge. In a walk-forward backtest with no market line among the inputs, the model runs at 59.6% straight-up accuracy, rising to 71.5% on its highest-conviction games.