NFL WEEK 1

Model vs. Kalshi on all 16 openers

Week 1 markets live now

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NFL EDGES

Live game edges — model vs. Kalshi, ranked

Gridiron Edge · 5-min refresh

NFL 2026

Power rankings, futures & win totals — all 32 teams

COMBO EDGE

Correlation-aware Kalshi combos — free

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Gridiron Edge

2026 NFL Schedule

Every week of the 2026 NFL season, each with our DAEPA model win probabilities beside the prediction-market line. Pick a week to see all its games, model vs. Kalshi, with the edge on each.

This Week's Model Lines vs Market

Week 1 · our DAEPA model line beside the live prediction-market price, every game · free

Model line = PMP Gridiron Edge favorite & spread. Market = Kalshi-implied probability for that side. Edge = model − market, in percentage points (a positive number means the model likes the favorite more than the market does). The market column fills in as Kalshi posts each game — Week 1 markets are live now.

All 18 weeks

Week 1

16 games →

Week 2

16 games →

Week 3

16 games →

Week 4

16 games →

Week 5

15 games →

Week 6

14 games →

Week 7

14 games →

Week 8

14 games →

Week 9

15 games →

Week 10

14 games →

Week 11

13 games →

Week 12

16 games →

Week 13

14 games →

Week 14

15 games →

Week 15

16 games →

Week 16

16 games →

Week 17

16 games →

Week 18

16 games →

Win totals →Kalshi NFL hub →

Every Thursday before kickoff: the full week's card, market price vs our number. Free.

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