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NFL Schedule & Predictions This Week (Week 2)

Updated · market prices

Quick Answer

As of September 16, 2026, Week 2 has 16 games; straight up the model calls 16 market favorites and 0 upsets. The model disagrees with the Kalshi price on 4 of 16 games; the widest gap is Saints at 24% to win versus Kalshi's 22¢.

NFL Week 2 predictions →

Full board, projected scores and the edge on every game: NFL Week 2 predictions · NFL Week 3 predictions

Every week of the 2026 NFL season, each with our DAEPA model win probabilities beside the prediction-market line. Pick a week to see all its games, model vs. Kalshi, with the edge on each.

This week's straight-up picks (Week 2)

16 market favorites and 0 upsets across 16 games. The model sides with the market favorite in every game.

WinnerModelKalshi
  1. Bills over Lions    65%67.5¢
  2. Panthers over Falcons    59%56.5¢
  3. Ravens over Saints    76%78.5¢
  4. Bears over Vikings    69%67.5¢
  5. Texans over Bengals    59%58.5¢
  6. Patriots over Steelers    67%67.5¢
  7. Packers over Jets    62%63.5¢
  8. Buccaneers over Browns    77%78.5¢
  9. Eagles over Titans    73%75.5¢
  10. Broncos over Jaguars    60%58.5¢
  11. Chargers over Raiders    72%72.5¢
  12. Seahawks over Cardinals    64%65.5¢
  13. Cowboys over Commanders    65%65.5¢
  14. 49ers over Dolphins    88%88.5¢
  15. Chiefs over Colts    72%72.5¢
  16. Rams over Giants    73%74.5¢

Winner = the side with the higher DAEPA model win probability. Kalshi = the mid price of that side’s contract, in cents. An upset is a model winner priced under 50¢; that is a straight-up call, not the play — the play on each game is the edge side in the board above.

This Week's Model Lines vs Market

Week 2 · our DAEPA model line beside the live prediction-market price, every game · free

MatchupModel lineMarketEdge
DET@BUF
BUF −4.068%-2pp
CAR@ATL
ATL −4.044%-2pp
NO@BAL
BAL −5.579%-2pp
MIN@CHI
CHI −6.068%+1pp
CIN@HOU
HOU −4.059%0pp
PIT@NE
NE −7.069%-1pp
GB@NYJ
GB −2.564%-1pp
CLE@TB
TB −4.579%-1pp
PHI@TEN
PHI −3.076%-2pp
JAX@DEN
DEN −0.559%+2pp
LV@LAC
LAC −6.573%-1pp
SEA@ARI
SEA −6.066%-2pp
WAS@DAL
DAL −4.566%0pp
MIA@SF
SF −6.589%0pp
IND@KC
KC −2.573%-1pp
NYG@LAR
LAR −7.575%-1pp

Model line = PMP Gridiron Edge favorite & spread. Market = Kalshi-implied probability for that side. Edge = model − market, in percentage points (a positive number means the model likes the favorite more than the market does). The market column fills in as Kalshi posts each game — Week 1 markets are live now.

All 18 weeks

Week 1

16 games →

Week 2 · this week

16 games →

Week 3

16 games →

Week 4

16 games →

Week 5

15 games →

Week 6

14 games →

Week 7

14 games →

Week 8

14 games →

Week 9

15 games →

Week 10

14 games →

Week 11

13 games →

Week 12

16 games →

Week 13

14 games →

Week 14

15 games →

Week 15

16 games →

Week 16

16 games →

Week 17

16 games →

Week 18

16 games →

Schedule predictor →Win totals →Kalshi NFL hub →

NFL schedule this week — frequently asked

What NFL games are on this week (Week 2) and who wins?

Week 2 has 16 games. The model's straight-up winners: Bills over Lions (65%); Panthers over Falcons (59%); Ravens over Saints (76%); Bears over Vikings (69%); Texans over Bengals (59%); Patriots over Steelers (67%); Packers over Jets (62%); Buccaneers over Browns (77%); Eagles over Titans (73%); Broncos over Jaguars (60%); Chargers over Raiders (72%); Seahawks over Cardinals (64%); Cowboys over Commanders (65%); 49ers over Dolphins (88%); Chiefs over Colts (72%); Rams over Giants (73%). The winner is the side with the higher DAEPA model win probability; the play on a game is the side where that probability and the Kalshi price disagree by 5 points or more. The full Week 2 board with projected scores and the edge on every game is on the NFL Week 2 predictions hub.

How is the NFL schedule organised here?

One page per regular-season week, Week 1 through Week 18, each listing every game with our DAEPA model win probability, the Kalshi price and the edge between them, and one page per game underneath. This page always leads with the current week and keeps the index of all 18 weeks below it, so the same URL is this week's schedule all season.

How often is this week’s schedule and the picks updated?

Daily through kickoff. Kalshi prices are re-captured and the model reruns against them, so the Updated stamp under the title is the last time a number on this page actually moved; it is never a render clock. Power ratings refresh weekly once games are played, and the page rolls to the next week once the last game of the current one is over.

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