Our model vs. the Kalshi and Polymarket price on NFL games, Fed meetings and commodities — we post the gap and grade every call in public.
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Pro is the Desk against the live price: the Fed divergence read, the 15-minute strike grids, every race where Kalshi and Polymarket disagree, the full price-gap board, Gridiron Edge on every NFL game and prop, Thee Oracle, and edge alerts in Discord the moment a gap opens.
$111 for the first year, then $150/yr. Code applies automatically. Ends Dec 31. Monthly is $14.99/mo.
Every signal graded in public, losers left on the board. See the record →
Four commodity markets settle on the same numbers options markets price every day. When the two diverge by more than the round-trip cost, we surface the strike.
Free shows direction. Pro shows the signed edge in pp on every strike, with Kalshi + Robinhood trade links.
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PredictionMarketsPicks is a prediction-market data and tools site: it shows what Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing, runs its own models against those prices, and grades every signal in public on its track record. The 7 Oracles is its media and analysis layer — the articles, shows and daily reads.
An exchange where you buy contracts that pay $1 if an event happens and $0 if it does not. The price in cents is the market’s implied probability — a contract at 62¢ means traders put the outcome near 62%. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange; Polymarket runs an international venue and a separate CFTC-regulated US venue.
The newsletter, the daily market movers and the free calculators and boards cost nothing — the 29 site tools are listed on the tools page with what each one needs. Pro — $150 a year or $14.99 a month — adds the full edge boards, Thee Oracle, the Kalshi-vs-Polymarket price-gap board and edge alerts in Discord.
No. We publish market information and trader tools; you open an account and trade on the exchange yourself. Nothing on the site is a guaranteed outcome — an edge is a disagreement between a model and the market, and the track record shows the losers too.
Live from the exchanges’ public market data — Kalshi first, with Polymarket (labelled by venue) and other platforms beside it where they list the same outcome. Every board shows when it was last updated.
“Apr 23, 2026 — first show. We’re just getting started.”
Embeddable widgets, JSON + CSV feeds, and an Edge API. Free tier for publishers. Enterprise for desks that need it real-time.
Two emails a week from The 7 Oracles. The picks, the data, no fluff.
Every game this week: the straight-up winner, its win probability, the Kalshi price, the model’s lean against the market line, and the edge where the two disagree. Tap a game for the full read.
Winner = the side with the higher published win probability — the market-anchored fair value (books) once Kalshi prices a game. Lean = the model’s own line against the market line, in points — graded on its own, never a position. Kalshi = the mid price of the winner’s contract, in cents. Edge = fair value (books) minus Kalshi mid, in points of probability, on the play side — which can be the other team. A played game shows its final score and whether the pre-game favorite won; position results (Kalshi vs book consensus) come from the settled ledger.
NFL Week 7 predictions →NFL Week 8 predictions — early lines →Every game, every week →NFL standings →NFL predictions 2026 →
