Philadelphia Eagles vs Arizona Cardinals
Sunday, December 6, 2026 · State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
Quick Answer
As of August 1, 2026, our model favors the Eagles by 3.5 in Philadelphia Eagles vs Arizona Cardinals, NFL Week 13 2026 — 60% to win, and the 81th meeting between these two. Kalshi has not listed KXNFLGAME-26DEC06PHIARI yet, so there is no price to compare: when it opens, Cardinals at 35c or below (or Eagles at 55c or below) is where the model would take a position.
PHI
+2.5
ARI
-3.6
Eagles
60%
model win prob
Cardinals
40%
model win prob
KXNFLGAME-26DEC06PHIARIhasn't opened yet, so there is no price to compare. When it does, the model buys the Cardinals at 35c or below, or the Eagles at 55c or below — a five-point threshold either way. The market column fills in automatically.
Power-rating comparison
Eagles–Cardinals, 81 games in
These two have played 81 times going back through the record we hold, 1 of them in the playoffs, and the modern-era series is 7-5 to the Cardinals since 2002. History is not a handicapping input for us — rosters turn over and the model only reads 2026 ratings — but it is the reason this game gets attention the ratings alone would not justify. The number: -3.6 against +2.5, Eagles by 3.5, 60% to win.
The sharpest unit gap in the game runs one way: the Eagles offense grades +0.5 (17th of 32) against a Cardinals defense at -2.9 (29th) — 3.4 points of separation on our scale, and the single biggest reason the line sits where it does. Going the other direction, the Cardinals offense (-0.7, 23rd) meets the Eagles defense (+1.8, 5th), a 2.4-point gap.
Zoom out to the full season and the model projects the Cardinals at 6.4 wins (favored in 3 of 17) and the Eagles at 9.7 (favored in 11) — 3.3 wins apart across the year. By win probability this is the 11th-hardest game on the Cardinals' schedule and the 12th-hardest on the Eagles'.
On the calendar, the Eagles are on 10 days and the Cardinals are on 7 days. The Eagles come in off the Cowboys, the Cardinals off the Commanders. None of that is in the model line — our rating model prices teams and home field, nothing else — so rest and travel are yours to weigh on top of the number, not inside it.
Does the model earn this number? In 666 of the 3266 walk-forward games it has been graded on (2013-2024, no market line used), it landed in the 60-65% range. Those favourites went 59%. The 60% on the Eagles here sits in that same band, and the history runs slightly behind the claim.
Kalshi has not listed KXNFLGAME-26DEC06PHIARI, so there is no price on the board and no edge to quote. The model's number to hold it to: Cardinals 40%, Eagles 60%. Applying our five-point threshold, that makes Cardinals contracts a buy at 35c or below and Eagles contracts a buy at 55c or below — anything between is inside the noise, and we pass. Week 1's KXNFLGAME contracts opened in May 2026 and the rest of the slate lists as the season gets closer; this page picks up the price automatically when it does.
Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.
Eagles vs Cardinals — frequently asked
Who is favored in Eagles vs Cardinals in Week 13?
Our power-rating model favors the Eagles by 3.5 points, a 60% win probability over the Cardinals. The Cardinals rate 30th of 32 (-3.6) and the Eagles 7th (+2.5); Kalshi has not listed KXNFLGAME-26DEC06PHIARI yet, so the model line is the only number on the board.
What is the all-time record between the Eagles and Cardinals?
Our records hold 81 meetings, 1 of them in the playoffs. Since 2002 the regular-season series is 7-5 for the Cardinals over 12 games. The model does not use series history — it prices the 2026 ratings only.
How do you take a position on Eagles vs Cardinals?
The contract will be KXNFLGAME-26DEC06PHIARI on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange open to traders in all 50 states. It has not opened yet; when it does, the model would take the Cardinals at 35c or below, or the Eagles at 55c or below. There is no point spread — you buy a yes or no contract on a team and it settles at $1 or $0.
When and where do the Cardinals host the Eagles?
Philadelphia Eagles visit the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday, December 6, 2026 — a Sunday game in NFL Week 13, at State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ.
What does the model project for the Cardinals and Eagles this season?
Across all 17 games the model projects the Cardinals at 6.4 wins (favored in 3) and the Eagles at 9.7 (favored in 11). This game ranks 11th-hardest on the Cardinals' schedule and 12th-hardest on the Eagles', by model win probability.
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