Philadelphia Eagles vs Arizona Cardinals

Sunday, December 6, 2026 · State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ

Eagles

53%

model win prob

Cardinals

47%

model win prob

Model line

Eagles −1

Kalshi (Cardinals)

—

Edge

pending

Model favors the Eagles — Kalshi market opens closer to kickoff

KXNFLGAME lists this game one to two weeks out. The model read above is live; the market column fills in automatically when the contract opens.

Power-rating comparison

TeamRatingRankTier

Philadelphia Eagles+1.46thPlayoff

Arizona Cardinals-2.328thBelow Avg

The prediction-market read

In Week 13, the Philadelphia Eagles travel to face the Arizona Cardinals at State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ. Our DAEPA power-rating model rates the Cardinals 28th of 32 (Below Avg tier, -2.3) and the Eagles 6th (Playoff tier, +1.4). After a 2.5-point home-field adjustment, the model lands on the Eagles by 1 — a 53% win probability for the Eagles.

Kalshi lists each game's winner market one to two weeks before kickoff, so the live price for this matchup isn't posted yet. When it opens we compare the implied probability to our 47% (Cardinals) / 53% (Eagles) model split and flag any gap of five points or more as an edge.

Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.

Eagles vs Cardinals — frequently asked

Who is favored in Eagles vs Cardinals in Week 13?

Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Eagles by 1 points and gives them a 53% win probability over the Cardinals. Kalshi lists the game's win market one to two weeks before kickoff; the model line above is live now.

What does the model project for Eagles vs Cardinals?

Home win probability 47% (Cardinals), away 53% (Eagles). That comes from a power-rating differential of -3.6 plus 2.5 points home field, run through a Normal model (σ=13.5). The Cardinals rate 28th of 32 (Below Avg tier), the Eagles 6th (Playoff tier).

Can you trade Eagles vs Cardinals on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists each NFL game's winner market (KXNFLGAME), typically one to two weeks before kickoff, to traders in all 50 states. You take a yes/no position on a team that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.