Philadelphia Eagles vs Arizona Cardinals
Updated · model ratings
Sunday, December 6, 2026 · State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
Quick Answer
As of September 1, 2026, our model favors the Eagles by 3.5 in Philadelphia Eagles vs Arizona Cardinals, NFL Week 13 2026 — 61% to win, and the 81th meeting between these two. Kalshi has not listed KXNFLGAME-26DEC06PHIARI yet, so there is no price to compare: when it opens, Cardinals at 34c or below (or Eagles at 56c or below) is where the model would take a position.
PHI
+2.4
ARI
-3.7
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Eagles
61%
model win prob
Cardinals
39%
model win prob
Run this matchup yourself → Full PWR board for all 32 → Player prop gaps for this game →
59%
Madden 27
41%
Madden 27
KXNFLGAME-26DEC06PHIARI hasn't opened yet, so there is no price to compare. When it does, the model buys the Cardinals at 34c or below, or the Eagles at 56c or below — a 5-point threshold either way. The market column fills in automatically.
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The Ladder — Eagles at Cardinals
All ladders →Our margin distribution against every Kalshi spread strike listed for this game. A single line says we lean one way; the ladder says whether that is about the middle of the distribution or its tail.
Our number is published at the called strike only; the market curves are complete.
| Rung | Market | Model | Gap | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals −0.5 | — | 🔒 | — | not listed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cardinals −1.5 | — | 🔒 | — | not listed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cardinals −2.5 | — | 🔒 | — | not listed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cardinals −3.5 | — | 🔒 | — | not listed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cardinals −4.5 | — | outside range | — | not listed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6 more rungsCardinals −6.5 → Cardinals −14.5 · outside our published band, market only
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Rung-by-rung numbers are a Pro feature. Unlock Pro →
Gold is our distribution, parchment is the Kalshi contract at each strike; the band between them is green where our probability is higher and purple where it is lower. We publish our number only where we have measured it to be calibrated, between 30% and 70%; rungs outside that range show the market only. A contract pays $1 if it settles YES, so a price in cents is an implied probability. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0.
Power-rating comparison
Season outlook
10,000 simulated seasons on our preseason power ratings — real NFL tiebreakers, real 2026 schedule, no injuries or market prices. The season sim fits its own home-field (2.0 points, from played games); the game model above uses +2.5. How it works →
Eagles–Cardinals, 81 games in
These two have played 81 times going back through the record we hold, 1 of them in the playoffs, and the modern-era series is 7-5 to the Cardinals since 2002. History is not a handicapping input for us — rosters turn over and the model only reads 2026 ratings — but it is the reason this game gets attention the ratings alone would not justify. The number: -3.7 against +2.4, Eagles by 3.5, 61% to win.
The sharpest unit gap in the game runs one way: the Eagles offense grades +0.4 (17th of 32) against a Cardinals defense at -2.9 (30th) — 3.4 points of separation on our scale, and the single biggest reason the line sits where it does. Going the other direction, the Cardinals offense (-0.7, 22nd) meets the Eagles defense (+1.7, 4th), a 2.5-point gap.
Zoom out to the full season and the model projects the Cardinals at 6.5 wins (favored in 3 of 17) and the Eagles at 9.6 (favored in 11) — 3.1 wins apart across the year. By win probability this is the 12th-hardest game on the Cardinals' schedule and the 12th-hardest on the Eagles'.
On the calendar, the Eagles are on 10 days and the Cardinals are on 7 days. The Eagles come in off the Cowboys, the Cardinals off the Commanders. None of that is in the model line — our rating model prices teams and home field, nothing else — so rest and travel are yours to weigh on top of the number, not inside it.
Does the model earn this number? In 666 of the 3266 walk-forward games it has been graded on (2013-2024, no market line used), it landed in the 60-65% range. Those favourites went 59%. The 61% on the Eagles here sits in that same band, and the history runs slightly behind the claim.
Kalshi has not listed KXNFLGAME-26DEC06PHIARI, so there is no price on the board and no edge to quote. The model's number to hold it to: Cardinals 39%, Eagles 61%. Applying our five-point threshold, that makes Cardinals contracts a buy at 34c or below and Eagles contracts a buy at 56c or below — anything between is inside the noise, and we pass. Week 1's KXNFLGAME contracts opened in May 2026 and the rest of the slate lists as the season gets closer; this page picks up the price automatically when it does.
Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.
Eagles vs Cardinals on Kalshi
- Kalshi event
- KXNFLGAME-26DEC06PHIARI
- Market-implied (Cardinals)
- not listed yet
- Our model (Cardinals)
- 39%
- Model vs market
- —
Kalshi opens NFL game markets week by week and has not listed KXNFLGAME-26DEC06PHIARI yet, so there is no Kalshi price for this game to quote. When it opens, the model buys the Cardinals at 34c or below, or the Eagles at 56c or below — a 5-point threshold either way. The numbers above fill in on their own.
Where Eagles vs Cardinals trades
Each venue’s own price where we have one; Robinhood and Coinbase resell the Kalshi contract. Home-side price shown.
| Venue | Cardinals | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | not listed on Kalshi yet — opens week of the game | Trade on Kalshi → |
| Novig | not yet listed on Novig — $25 credit on a $10 deposit through our link | Sign-up offer → |
| Polymarket | no captured price for this game — international book | Sign-up offer → |
| Robinhoodsame Kalshi contract | same Kalshi contract, not listed yet | Open Robinhood → |
| Coinbasesame Kalshi contract | same Kalshi contract, not listed yet | Open Coinbase → |
| DraftKings Predictions | price not available — sign-up offer → | Sign-up offer → |
| FanDuel Predicts | price not available — sign-up offer → | Sign-up offer → |
| Fanatics Markets | price not available — sign-up offer → | Sign-up offer → |
A price under a venue name is that venue’s own; Robinhood and Coinbase list the same Kalshi contract. DraftKings Predictions, FanDuel Predicts and Fanatics Markets run on exchanges we have no price feed for, so they carry an offer and no number. We earn a referral credit or commission when you sign up through these links; it never changes the price or the model. Disclosure.
Eagles vs Cardinals — frequently asked
Who is favored in Eagles vs Cardinals in Week 13?
Our power-rating model picks the Eagles by 3.5 points, a 61% win probability over the Cardinals, for a projected score of Eagles 24, Cardinals 21 on a ratings-implied 44.9-point total. The Cardinals rate 30th of 32 (-3.7) and the Eagles 8th (+2.4); Kalshi has not listed KXNFLGAME-26DEC06PHIARI yet, so the model line is the only number on the board.
What is the all-time record between the Eagles and Cardinals?
Our records hold 81 meetings, 1 of them in the playoffs. Since 2002 the regular-season series is 7-5 for the Cardinals over 12 games. The model does not use series history — it prices the 2026 ratings only.
How do you take a position on Eagles vs Cardinals?
The contract will be KXNFLGAME-26DEC06PHIARI on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange open to traders in all 50 states. It has not opened yet; when it does, the model would take the Cardinals at 34c or below, or the Eagles at 56c or below. There is no point spread — you buy a yes or no contract on a team and it settles at $1 or $0.
When and where do the Cardinals host the Eagles?
Philadelphia Eagles visit the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday, December 6, 2026 — a Sunday game in NFL Week 13, at State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ.
What does the model project for the Cardinals and Eagles this season?
Across all 17 games the model projects the Cardinals at 6.5 wins (favored in 3) and the Eagles at 9.6 (favored in 11). This game ranks 12th-hardest on the Cardinals' schedule and 12th-hardest on the Eagles', by model win probability.
What are the Kalshi odds for Eagles vs Cardinals?
Kalshi has not listed KXNFLGAME-26DEC06PHIARI yet, so there is no Kalshi price for this game — anyone quoting one is quoting something else. Kalshi opens NFL game markets week by week. When it opens, our model would take the Cardinals at 34c or below or the Eagles at 56c or below, off a 3.5-point line.
Can you trade Eagles vs Cardinals on Kalshi?
Yes — as an event contract, not a point spread. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange open to traders in all 50 states, and the Week 13 game market is KXNFLGAME-26DEC06PHIARI. You buy a YES or NO contract on a team between 1c and 99c and it settles at $1 or $0, so the price you pay is the break-even probability. There is no vig baked into a line, and you can exit before kickoff at whatever the market is then paying.
Why read this pick instead of a preview from a big sports outlet?
Two things a bigger outlet does not do. The number is posted before kickoff against the live Kalshi price, so you can see where the model and the market disagree while it still matters. And the page keeps the call after the game — result, hit or miss, closing-line value — so the record is public. Every graded call is at predictionmarketspicks.com/track-record.
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See the in-season NFL tools →Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
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