Skip to content
THE 7 ORACLESPowered by PredictionMarketsPicks
Pro
NFL EDGES

Live game edges β€” model vs. Kalshi, ranked

Gridiron Edge Β· 5-min refresh

COMBO EDGE

Correlation-aware Kalshi combos β€” free

SILVER EDGE

Options vs. Kalshi on weekly silver brackets

NFL 2026

Power rankings, futures & win totals β€” all 32 teams

Stanley Cup Odds 2027

Kalshi vs Polymarket vs a 10,000-season simulation β€” the Cup, both conferences, all four divisions, the Presidents' Trophy, playoff qualification and every season-points ladder.

Quick Answer

As of Oct 14, 6:42 PM ET, Our 10,000-season sim makes Carolina Hurricanes the Stanley Cup favourite at 22.8% against 10Β’ on Kalshi and 11Β’ on Polymarket's international book. Gaps of 5 points or more are flagged; a thin rung is a caption, not a call.

Stanley Cup champion

TeamKalshiPolymarket (intl)SimGapVenue gap
Carolina Hurricanes10Β’11Β’22.8%+13.3pp-1.0ppKalshi β†’
Vegas Golden Knights8Β’8Β’14.3%+6.8pp+0.0ppKalshi β†’
Colorado Avalanche12Β’12Β’13.9%+2.4pp-0.0ppKalshi β†’
Utah Mammoth4Β’3Β’11.2%+7.7pp+0.6ppKalshi β†’
Edmonton Oilers10Β’9Β’9.6%+0.1pp+1.0ppKalshi β†’
Tampa Bay Lightning7Β’7Β’5.7%-0.8pp0.0ppKalshi β†’
Ottawa Senators3Β’3Β’3.4%+0.9pp-0.7ppKalshi β†’
Dallas Stars5Β’6Β’3.2%-1.3pp-1.0ppKalshi β†’
Florida Panthers10Β’9Β’2.2%-7.3pp+1.0ppKalshi β†’
Pittsburgh Penguins2Β’2Β’2.2%+0.7pp-0.3ppKalshi β†’
Columbus Blue Jackets2Β’2Β’1.7%+0.2pp-0.1ppKalshi β†’
New York Rangers3Β’2Β’1.7%-0.8pp+0.5ppKalshi β†’
Minnesota Wild8Β’6Β’1.3%-6.2pp+1.3ppKalshi β†’
New Jersey Devils4Β’3Β’1.2%-2.3pp+0.8ppKalshi β†’
Buffalo Sabres3Β’2Β’0.9%-1.6pp+0.7ppKalshi β†’
Boston Bruins3Β’1Β’0.9%-1.6pp+1.2ppKalshi β†’
Washington Capitals6Β’4Β’0.8%-4.7pp+1.6ppKalshi β†’
Anaheim Ducks3Β’2Β’0.7%-1.8pp+0.5ppKalshi β†’
Los Angeles Kings3Β’2Β’0.6%-1.9pp+0.7ppKalshi β†’
St. Louis Blues2Β’1Β’0.5%-1.0pp+0.9ppKalshi β†’
Detroit Red Wingsβ€”thin1Β’0.4%β€”β€”Kalshi β†’
Montreal Canadiens5Β’6Β’0.3%-4.2pp-1.1ppKalshi β†’
Winnipeg Jetsβ€”thin1Β’0.2%β€”β€”Kalshi β†’
Seattle Krakenβ€”thin1Β’0.2%β€”β€”Kalshi β†’
New York Islandersβ€”thin1Β’0.0%β€”β€”Kalshi β†’
Nashville Predatorsβ€”thin1Β’0.0%β€”β€”Kalshi β†’
Calgary Flamesβ€”thin0Β’0.0%β€”β€”Kalshi β†’
Chicago Blackhawksβ€”thin0Β’0.0%β€”β€”Kalshi β†’
Philadelphia Flyersβ€”thin1Β’0.0%β€”β€”Kalshi β†’
San Jose Sharks5Β’2Β’0.0%-4.5pp+2.0ppKalshi β†’
Toronto Maple Leafs2Β’3Β’0.0%-1.5pp-1.6ppKalshi β†’
Vancouver Canucksβ€”thin0Β’0.0%β€”β€”Kalshi β†’

Eastern Conference champion

TeamKalshiPolymarket (intl)SimGapVenue gap
Carolina Hurricanes20Β’19Β’39.2%+19.2pp+1.5ppKalshi β†’
Tampa Bay Lightning13Β’13Β’13.6%+1.1pp-0.5ppKalshi β†’
Ottawa Senators4Β’5Β’9.4%+5.9pp-1.8ppKalshi β†’
Pittsburgh Penguins3Β’4Β’6.4%+3.9pp-1.3ppKalshi β†’
Florida Panthers17Β’18Β’6.4%-10.1pp-1.5ppKalshi β†’
Columbus Blue Jackets3Β’4Β’5.1%+2.6pp-1.5ppKalshi β†’
New York Rangers6Β’4Β’4.9%-1.1pp+1.7ppKalshi β†’
New Jersey Devils7Β’5Β’3.5%-3.0pp+1.3ppKalshi β†’
Boston Bruins2Β’4Β’3.0%+1.0pp-1.8ppKalshi β†’
Buffalo Sabres5Β’5Β’3.0%-1.5pp-0.2ppKalshi β†’
Washington Capitals12Β’10Β’2.6%-8.9pp+2.0ppKalshi β†’
Detroit Red Wingsβ€”thin1Β’1.4%β€”β€”Kalshi β†’
Montreal Canadiens7Β’7Β’1.3%-5.2pp-0.2ppKalshi β†’
New York Islanders2Β’3Β’0.3%-1.2pp-1.1ppKalshi β†’
Philadelphia Flyersβ€”thin3Β’0.0%β€”β€”Kalshi β†’
Toronto Maple Leafs4Β’3Β’0.0%-3.5pp+0.2ppKalshi β†’

Western Conference champion

TeamKalshiPolymarket (intl)SimGapVenue gap
Vegas Golden Knights12Β’15Β’23.7%+12.2pp-3.5ppKalshi β†’
Colorado Avalanche20Β’21Β’23.6%+4.1pp-1.0ppKalshi β†’
Utah Mammoth8Β’9Β’18.9%+10.9pp-0.5ppKalshi β†’
Edmonton Oilers17Β’15Β’17.4%+0.9pp+1.5ppKalshi β†’
Dallas Stars11Β’13Β’6.6%-3.9pp-2.0ppKalshi β†’
Minnesota Wild12Β’12Β’3.3%-8.2pp-0.5ppKalshi β†’
Anaheim Ducks6Β’5Β’2.0%-3.5pp+1.0ppKalshi β†’
Los Angeles Kings3Β’5Β’1.9%-0.6pp-2.1ppKalshi β†’
St. Louis Blues3Β’4Β’1.3%-1.2pp-1.5ppKalshi β†’
Seattle Kraken2Β’1Β’0.8%-0.8pp+0.9ppKalshi β†’
Winnipeg Jets2Β’2Β’0.5%-1.0pp-0.3ppKalshi β†’
Nashville Predatorsβ€”thin0Β’0.0%β€”β€”Kalshi β†’
San Jose Sharks10Β’6Β’0.0%-9.5pp+3.8ppKalshi β†’
Calgary Flamesβ€”thin2Β’0.0%β€”β€”Kalshi β†’
Chicago Blackhawksβ€”thin0Β’0.0%β€”β€”Kalshi β†’
Vancouver Canucksβ€”thin0Β’0.0%β€”β€”Kalshi β†’

Atlantic Division

TeamKalshiSimGap
Tampa Bay Lightning32Β’37.6%+5.6ppKalshi β†’
Ottawa Senators14Β’26.6%+12.6ppKalshi β†’
Florida Panthers22Β’15.3%-6.7ppKalshi β†’
Boston Bruins5Β’8.4%+3.9ppKalshi β†’
Buffalo Sabres8Β’6.3%-1.7ppKalshi β†’
Detroit Red Wingsβ€”thin3.1%β€”Kalshi β†’
Montreal Canadiens11Β’2.7%-7.8ppKalshi β†’
Toronto Maple Leafs5Β’0.0%-4.5ppKalshi β†’

Metropolitan Division

TeamKalshiSimGap
Carolina Hurricanes56Β’thin86.0%+30.5ppKalshi β†’
New York Rangers6Β’4.5%-1.0ppKalshi β†’
Pittsburgh Penguins5Β’3.7%-0.8ppKalshi β†’
Columbus Blue Jackets5Β’2.8%-1.7ppKalshi β†’
New Jersey Devils7Β’1.7%-5.3ppKalshi β†’
Washington Capitals19Β’1.1%-17.9ppKalshi β†’
New York Islanders3Β’0.1%-2.4ppKalshi β†’
Philadelphia Flyers2Β’0.0%-1.5ppKalshi β†’

Central Division

TeamKalshiSimGap
Colorado Avalanche37Β’47.3%+10.8ppKalshi β†’
Utah Mammoth16Β’42.1%+26.6ppKalshi β†’
Dallas Stars16Β’5.3%-10.2ppKalshi β†’
Minnesota Wild21Β’4.0%-16.5ppKalshi β†’
St. Louis Blues2Β’0.9%-1.1ppKalshi β†’
Winnipeg Jets3Β’0.3%-2.2ppKalshi β†’
Nashville Predators2Β’0.0%-1.5ppKalshi β†’
Chicago Blackhawks2Β’0.0%-1.5ppKalshi β†’

Pacific Division

TeamKalshiSimGap
Vegas Golden Knights31Β’50.5%+19.5ppKalshi β†’
Edmonton Oilers46Β’45.3%-0.7ppKalshi β†’
Anaheim Ducks10Β’2.5%-7.5ppKalshi β†’
Los Angeles Kings3Β’0.9%-2.1ppKalshi β†’
Seattle Kraken2Β’0.8%-1.2ppKalshi β†’
Calgary Flamesβ€”thin0.0%β€”Kalshi β†’
San Jose Sharks13Β’0.0%-12.5ppKalshi β†’
Vancouver Canucksβ€”thin0.0%β€”Kalshi β†’

Presidents' Trophy

TeamKalshiSimGap
Carolina Hurricanes17Β’30.0%+13.5ppKalshi β†’
Vegas Golden Knights5Β’17.2%+12.7ppKalshi β†’
Colorado Avalanche14Β’16.7%+3.2ppKalshi β†’
Edmonton Oilers9Β’14.8%+5.8ppKalshi β†’
Utah Mammoth2Β’14.1%+12.6ppKalshi β†’
Tampa Bay Lightning6Β’2.1%-3.4ppKalshi β†’
Ottawa Senatorsβ€”thin1.2%β€”Kalshi β†’
Dallas Stars2Β’0.7%-0.8ppKalshi β†’
Minnesota Wild5Β’0.5%-4.5ppKalshi β†’
New York Rangersβ€”thin0.4%β€”Kalshi β†’
Florida Panthers8Β’0.4%-7.1ppKalshi β†’
Pittsburgh Penguinsβ€”thin0.4%β€”Kalshi β†’
Anaheim Ducksβ€”thin0.3%β€”Kalshi β†’
Columbus Blue Jacketsβ€”thin0.3%β€”Kalshi β†’
Boston Bruinsβ€”thin0.2%β€”Kalshi β†’
New Jersey Devilsβ€”thin0.2%β€”Kalshi β†’
St. Louis Bluesβ€”thin0.1%β€”Kalshi β†’
Buffalo Sabresβ€”thin0.1%β€”Kalshi β†’
Washington Capitals5Β’0.1%-4.9ppKalshi β†’
Los Angeles Kingsβ€”thin0.1%β€”Kalshi β†’
Seattle Krakenβ€”thin0.1%β€”Kalshi β†’
Montreal Canadiens2Β’0.1%-1.4ppKalshi β†’
Detroit Red Wingsβ€”thin0.0%β€”Kalshi β†’
Winnipeg Jetsβ€”thin0.0%β€”Kalshi β†’
Calgary Flamesβ€”thin0.0%β€”Kalshi β†’
Chicago Blackhawksβ€”thin0.0%β€”Kalshi β†’
Nashville Predatorsβ€”thin0.0%β€”Kalshi β†’
New York Islandersβ€”thin0.0%β€”Kalshi β†’
Philadelphia Flyersβ€”thin0.0%β€”Kalshi β†’
San Jose Sharks2Β’0.0%-1.5ppKalshi β†’
Toronto Maple Leafsβ€”thin0.0%β€”Kalshi β†’
Vancouver Canucksβ€”thin0.0%β€”Kalshi β†’

Make the playoffs

TeamKalshiSimGap
Carolina Hurricanes86Β’99.5%+13.5ppKalshi β†’
Vegas Golden Knights88Β’99.2%+11.7ppKalshi β†’
Colorado Avalanche93Β’99.0%+6.5ppKalshi β†’
Edmonton Oilers91Β’98.9%+8.4ppKalshi β†’
Utah Mammoth77Β’98.6%+21.6ppKalshi β†’
Tampa Bay Lightning74Β’86.4%+12.4ppKalshi β†’
Dallas Stars79Β’81.5%+3.0ppKalshi β†’
Ottawa Senators66Β’80.4%+14.4ppKalshi β†’
Minnesota Wild83Β’76.2%-6.3ppKalshi β†’
New York Rangers46Β’69.9%+23.9ppKalshi β†’
Florida Panthers71Β’68.0%-3.0ppKalshi β†’
Anaheim Ducks65Β’66.4%+1.4ppKalshi β†’
Pittsburgh Penguins42Β’64.4%+22.9ppKalshi β†’
Columbus Blue Jackets38Β’59.2%+21.2ppKalshi β†’
Boston Bruins41Β’53.8%+12.8ppKalshi β†’
St. Louis Blues38Β’51.6%+13.6ppKalshi β†’
New Jersey Devils54Β’50.2%-3.8ppKalshi β†’
Los Angeles Kings39Β’47.4%+8.4ppKalshi β†’
Buffalo Sabres51Β’46.5%-4.0ppKalshi β†’
Washington Capitals79Β’thin44.7%-33.8ppKalshi β†’
Seattle Kraken32Β’43.8%+11.8ppKalshi β†’
Detroit Red Wings13Β’31.6%+18.6ppKalshi β†’
Winnipeg Jets40Β’31.6%-8.4ppKalshi β†’
Montreal Canadiens60Β’30.7%-28.8ppKalshi β†’
New York Islanders25Β’13.2%-11.3ppKalshi β†’
Nashville Predators42Β’thin2.7%-38.8ppKalshi β†’
San Jose Sharks55Β’thin0.9%-53.6ppKalshi β†’
Vancouver Canucks12Β’0.9%-11.1ppKalshi β†’
Calgary Flames6Β’0.8%-4.7ppKalshi β†’
Toronto Maple Leafs55Β’thin0.8%-53.7ppKalshi β†’
Philadelphia Flyers15Β’0.8%-14.2ppKalshi β†’
Chicago Blackhawks18Β’0.4%-17.1ppKalshi β†’

Season points β€” sim mean vs the Kalshi ladder

One number per team against the expectation implied by the whole KXNHLSEASONPTS ladder. Rungs expand per team.

TeamSim pointsLadder E[pts]GapPlayoffs
Carolina Hurricanes
10 rungs
115.7106.5+9.3100%
Vegas Golden Knights
10 rungs
112.6101.6+11.099%
Colorado Avalanche
10 rungs
112.3105.8+6.599%
Edmonton Oilers
10 rungs
111.8102.0+9.899%
Utah Mammoth
10 rungs
111.397.8+13.599%
Tampa Bay Lightning
10 rungs
103.0103.6-0.686%
Ottawa Senators
10 rungs
101.096.2+4.880%
Dallas Stars
10 rungs
100.298.4+1.882%
Minnesota Wild
10 rungs
98.8102.1-3.276%
New York Rangers
10 rungs
98.289.5+8.770%
Florida Panthers
10 rungs
97.899.6-1.868%
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 rungs
97.188.8+8.364%
Anaheim Ducks
10 rungs
96.292.4+3.866%
Columbus Blue Jackets
10 rungs
96.088.3+7.759%
Boston Bruins
10 rungs
94.790.8+3.954%
New Jersey Devils
10 rungs
94.392.7+1.650%
St. Louis Blues
10 rungs
93.887.4+6.452%
Buffalo Sabres
10 rungs
93.492.4+1.047%
Washington Capitals
10 rungs
92.9104.3-11.445%
Los Angeles Kings
10 rungs
92.688.2+4.447%
Seattle Kraken
10 rungs
91.983.7+8.144%
Detroit Red Wings
10 rungs
90.381.0+9.332%
Montreal Canadiens
10 rungs
90.395.2-4.931%
Winnipeg Jets
10 rungs
89.886.7+3.032%
New York Islanders
10 rungs
84.884.6+0.113%
Nashville Predators
10 rungs
77.985.2-7.33%
Toronto Maple Leafs
10 rungs
73.996.7-22.71%
Philadelphia Flyers
10 rungs
73.783.6-9.81%
San Jose Sharks
10 rungs
73.491.1-17.71%
Vancouver Canucks
10 rungs
73.174.5-1.51%
Calgary Flames
10 rungs
72.474.0-1.61%
Chicago Blackhawks
10 rungs
70.977.3-6.40%

Awards & player futures β€” Kalshi prices

Every NHL award and player-season contract Kalshi lists, at the Kalshi price β€” the mid on a two-sided book, else the ask. We do not model these yet, so there is no sim column and no call.

Hart Trophy (MVP)

  1. Connor McDavid26Β’ Kalshi β†’
  2. Macklin Celebrini20Β’ Kalshi β†’
  3. Nathan MacKinnon12Β’ Kalshi β†’
  4. David Pastrnakask 9Β’ Kalshi β†’
  5. Nikita Kucherov6Β’ Kalshi β†’
  6. Kirill Kaprizov5Β’ Kalshi β†’
  7. Jack Eichelask 5Β’ Kalshi β†’
  8. Quinn Hughes5Β’ Kalshi β†’
  9. Jack Hughes4Β’ Kalshi β†’
  10. Auston Matthews4Β’ Kalshi β†’
All 28
  • Connor Bedard Β· 4Β’
  • Leon Draisaitl Β· ask 4Β’
  • Cale Makar Β· ask 3Β’
  • Mitch Marner Β· ask 2Β’
  • Nick Suzuki Β· ask 2Β’
  • Pavel Dorofeyev Β· ask 2Β’
  • Igor Shesterkin Β· ask 2Β’
  • Kyle Connor Β· ask 2Β’
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy Β· ask 1Β’
  • Sidney Crosby Β· 1Β’
  • William Nylander Β· ask 1Β’
  • Brady Tkachuk Β· ask 1Β’
  • Connor Hellebuyck Β· ask 1Β’
  • Mikko Rantanen Β· ask 1Β’
  • Cole Caufield Β· ask 1Β’
  • Artemi Panarin Β· ask 1Β’
  • Matthew Tkachuk Β· 1Β’
  • Alex Ovechkin Β· ask 0Β’

Vezina Trophy (top goalie)

  1. Jake Oettingerask 65Β’ Kalshi β†’
  2. Stuart Skinnerask 59Β’ Kalshi β†’
  3. Logan Thompsonask 44Β’ Kalshi β†’
  4. Jeremy Swayman16Β’ Kalshi β†’
  5. Linus Ullmark14Β’ Kalshi β†’
  6. Andrei Vasilevskiy14Β’ Kalshi β†’
  7. Connor Hellebuyckask 12Β’ Kalshi β†’
  8. Ilya Sorokin9Β’ Kalshi β†’
  9. Jacob Markstromask 5Β’ Kalshi β†’
  10. Igor Shesterkinask 4Β’ Kalshi β†’
All 40
  • Jet Greaves Β· ask 4Β’
  • Anthony Stolarz Β· ask 2Β’
  • Darcy Kuemper Β· ask 2Β’
  • Dustin Wolf Β· ask 2Β’
  • Frederik Andersen Β· ask 2Β’
  • Filip Gustavsson Β· ask 2Β’
  • Jordan Binnington Β· ask 2Β’
  • Joey Daccord Β· ask 2Β’
  • John Gibson Β· ask 2Β’
  • Juuse Saros Β· ask 2Β’
  • Karel Vejmelka Β· ask 2Β’
  • Lukas Dostal Β· ask 2Β’
  • Mackenzie Blackwood Β· ask 2Β’
  • Sergei Bobrovsky Β· ask 2Β’
  • Spencer Knight Β· ask 2Β’
  • Thatcher Demko Β· ask 2Β’
  • Yaroslav Askarov Β· ask 2Β’
  • Adin Hill Β· ask 1Β’
  • Akira Schmid Β· ask 1Β’
  • Arturs Silovs Β· ask 1Β’
  • Connor Ingram Β· ask 1Β’
  • Charlie Lindgren Β· ask 1Β’
  • Cam Talbot Β· ask 1Β’
  • Elvis Merzlikins Β· ask 1Β’
  • Joseph Woll Β· ask 1Β’
  • Kevin Lankinen Β· ask 1Β’
  • Pyotr Kochetkov Β· ask 1Β’
  • Petr Mrazek Β· ask 1Β’
  • Samuel Montembeault Β· ask 1Β’
  • Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen Β· ask 1Β’

Norris Trophy (top defenseman)

  1. Adam Foxask 69Β’ Kalshi β†’
  2. Evan Bouchard32Β’ Kalshi β†’
  3. Cale Makar23Β’ Kalshi β†’
  4. Quinn Hughesask 20Β’ Kalshi β†’
  5. Zach Werenskiask 16Β’ Kalshi β†’
  6. Lane Hutsonask 10Β’ Kalshi β†’
  7. Rasmus Dahlin10Β’ Kalshi β†’
  8. Matthew Schaeferask 7Β’ Kalshi β†’
  9. Miro Heiskanenask 5Β’ Kalshi β†’
  10. Charlie McAvoyask 4Β’ Kalshi β†’
All 30
  • Jackson LaCombe Β· ask 3Β’
  • Jake Sanderson Β· ask 3Β’
  • Josh Morrissey Β· ask 2Β’
  • Mikhail Sergachev Β· ask 2Β’
  • Roman Josi Β· ask 2Β’
  • Brock Faber Β· ask 1Β’
  • Cam Fowler Β· ask 1Β’
  • Dougie Hamilton Β· ask 1Β’
  • Erik Karlsson Β· ask 1Β’
  • Jaccob Slavin Β· ask 1Β’
  • Luke Hughes Β· ask 1Β’
  • Mike Matheson Β· ask 1Β’
  • Morgan Rielly Β· ask 1Β’
  • Noah Dobson Β· ask 1Β’
  • Neal Pionk Β· ask 1Β’
  • Philip Broberg Β· ask 1Β’
  • Rasmus Sandin Β· ask 1Β’
  • Shea Theodore Β· ask 1Β’
  • Thomas Harley Β· ask 1Β’
  • Victor Hedman Β· ask 1Β’

Calder Trophy (top rookie)

  1. Artur Akhtyamovβ€” Kalshi β†’
  2. Alex Bumpask 94Β’ Kalshi β†’
  3. Adam EngstrΓΆmask 94Β’ Kalshi β†’
  4. Artyom Levshunovask 94Β’ Kalshi β†’
  5. Berkly Cattonask 94Β’ Kalshi β†’
  6. Bradly Nadeauask 94Β’ Kalshi β†’
  7. Beckett Senneckeask 94Β’ Kalshi β†’
  8. Caleb Desnoyersask 94Β’ Kalshi β†’
  9. Collin Grafask 94Β’ Kalshi β†’
  10. Carter Yakemchukask 94Β’ Kalshi β†’
All 40
  • Dalibor Dvorsky Β· ask 94Β’
  • Danila Yurov Β· ask 94Β’
  • Gabe Perreault Β· ask 94Β’
  • Ilya Protas Β· ask 94Β’
  • Jonathan Lekkerimaki Β· ask 94Β’
  • Michael Brandsegg-NygΓ₯rd Β· ask 94Β’
  • Matthew Savoie Β· ask 94Β’
  • Nikita Klepov Β· ask 94Β’
  • Ryan Ufko Β· ask 94Β’
  • Sebastian Cossa Β· ask 94Β’
  • Sam Dickinson Β· ask 94Β’
  • Sandis Vilmanis Β· ask 94Β’
  • Tij Iginla Β· ask 94Β’
  • Theo Lindstein Β· ask 94Β’
  • Zeev Buium Β· ask 94Β’
  • Viggo BjΓΆrck Β· ask 93Β’
  • Jacob Fowler Β· ask 92Β’
  • Konsta Helenius Β· ask 60Β’
  • Victor Eklund Β· ask 60Β’
  • Sergei Murashov Β· ask 50Β’
  • James Hagens Β· ask 48Β’
  • Porter Martone Β· ask 36Β’
  • Luca Cagnoni Β· ask 27Β’
  • Gavin McKenna Β· 27Β’
  • Roman Kantserov Β· ask 26Β’
  • Trevor Connelly Β· 26Β’
  • Ivar Stenberg Β· 24Β’
  • Cole Hutson Β· ask 18Β’
  • Anton Frondell Β· 15Β’
  • Igor Chernyshov Β· 7Β’

Art Ross Trophy (points leader)

  1. Connor McDavidask 85Β’ Kalshi β†’
  2. Jack Eichelask 46Β’ Kalshi β†’
  3. Jack Hughesask 34Β’ Kalshi β†’
  4. Macklin Celebriniask 29Β’ Kalshi β†’
  5. Nikita Kucherovask 28Β’ Kalshi β†’
  6. Nathan MacKinnonask 24Β’ Kalshi β†’
  7. Leon Draisaitlask 10Β’ Kalshi β†’
  8. David Pastrnakask 5Β’ Kalshi β†’
  9. Auston Matthewsask 3Β’ Kalshi β†’
  10. Jason Robertsonask 3Β’ Kalshi β†’
All 40
  • Kirill Kaprizov Β· ask 3Β’
  • Nick Suzuki Β· ask 3Β’
  • Cale Makar Β· ask 2Β’
  • Kyle Connor Β· ask 2Β’
  • Mitch Marner Β· ask 2Β’
  • Mikko Rantanen Β· ask 2Β’
  • Aleksander Barkov Β· ask 1Β’
  • Artemi Panarin Β· ask 1Β’
  • Brandon Hagel Β· ask 1Β’
  • Brayden Point Β· ask 1Β’
  • Connor Bedard Β· ask 1Β’
  • Cole Caufield Β· ask 1Β’
  • Clayton Keller Β· ask 1Β’
  • Dylan Larkin Β· ask 1Β’
  • Jesper Bratt Β· ask 1Β’
  • Logan Cooley Β· ask 1Β’
  • Matt Boldy Β· ask 1Β’
  • Matvei Michkov Β· ask 1Β’
  • Matthew Tkachuk Β· ask 1Β’
  • Quinn Hughes Β· ask 1Β’
  • Roope Hintz Β· ask 1Β’
  • Robert Thomas Β· ask 1Β’
  • Sebastian Aho Β· ask 1Β’
  • Sidney Crosby Β· ask 1Β’
  • Seth Jarvis Β· ask 1Β’
  • Sam Reinhart Β· ask 1Β’
  • Tim Stutzle Β· ask 1Β’
  • Tage Thompson Β· ask 1Β’
  • Wyatt Johnston Β· ask 1Β’
  • William Nylander Β· ask 1Β’

Rocket Richard Trophy (goals leader)

  1. Connor Bedardβ€” Kalshi β†’
  2. Jack Hughesβ€” Kalshi β†’
  3. Kyle Connorβ€” Kalshi β†’
  4. Sam Reinhartβ€” Kalshi β†’
  5. Matt Boldyask 92Β’ Kalshi β†’
  6. Dylan Guentherask 33Β’ Kalshi β†’
  7. Nathan MacKinnonask 20Β’ Kalshi β†’
  8. Connor McDavid19Β’ Kalshi β†’
  9. Cole Caufieldask 17Β’ Kalshi β†’
  10. Leon Draisaitlask 17Β’ Kalshi β†’
All 40
  • Macklin Celebrini Β· 15Β’
  • Kirill Kaprizov Β· ask 12Β’
  • Jason Robertson Β· ask 11Β’
  • Nikita Kucherov Β· ask 7Β’
  • David Pastrnak Β· ask 6Β’
  • Tage Thompson Β· ask 6Β’
  • Wyatt Johnston Β· ask 6Β’
  • Auston Matthews Β· 6Β’
  • Zach Hyman Β· ask 5Β’
  • Alex DeBrincat Β· ask 3Β’
  • William Nylander Β· ask 3Β’
  • Adrian Kempe Β· ask 2Β’
  • Brandon Hagel Β· ask 2Β’
  • Dylan Larkin Β· ask 2Β’
  • Steven Stamkos Β· ask 2Β’
  • Alex Ovechkin Β· ask 1Β’
  • Artemi Panarin Β· ask 1Β’
  • Brock Boeser Β· ask 1Β’
  • Brady Tkachuk Β· ask 1Β’
  • Chris Kreider Β· ask 1Β’
  • Filip Forsberg Β· ask 1Β’
  • Jack Eichel Β· ask 1Β’
  • Jake Guentzel Β· ask 1Β’
  • Jordan Kyrou Β· ask 1Β’
  • Kevin Fiala Β· ask 1Β’
  • Mikko Rantanen Β· ask 1Β’
  • Mark Stone Β· ask 1Β’
  • Matthew Tkachuk Β· ask 1Β’
  • Pavel Dorofeyev Β· ask 1Β’
  • Seth Jarvis Β· ask 1Β’

Jack Adams Award (coach)

  1. Mike Babcockβ€” Kalshi β†’
  2. Peter DeBoerβ€” Kalshi β†’
  3. Peter Lavioletteβ€” Kalshi β†’
  4. Rick Bownessβ€” Kalshi β†’
  5. Ryan Craigβ€” Kalshi β†’
  6. Andrew Brunetteask 94Β’ Kalshi β†’
  7. Andre Tourignyask 94Β’ Kalshi β†’
  8. Dan Museask 94Β’ Kalshi β†’
  9. Glen Gulutzanask 94Β’ Kalshi β†’
  10. Jared Bednarask 94Β’ Kalshi β†’
All 32
  • Jeff Blashill Β· ask 94Β’
  • Jon Cooper Β· ask 94Β’
  • Jim Hiller Β· ask 94Β’
  • John Hynes Β· ask 94Β’
  • Jim Montgomery Β· ask 94Β’
  • Joel Quenneville Β· ask 94Β’
  • Lane Lambert Β· ask 94Β’
  • Lindy Ruff Β· ask 94Β’
  • Martin St. Louis Β· ask 94Β’
  • Marco Sturm Β· ask 94Β’
  • Mike Sullivan Β· ask 94Β’
  • Paul Maurice Β· ask 94Β’
  • Rod Brind'Amour Β· ask 94Β’
  • Ryan Huska Β· ask 94Β’
  • Rick Tocchet Β· ask 94Β’
  • Ryan Warsofsky Β· ask 94Β’
  • Scott Arniel Β· ask 94Β’
  • Spencer Carbery Β· ask 94Β’
  • Travis Green Β· ask 94Β’
  • Todd McLellan Β· ask 94Β’
  • Sheldon Keefe Β· ask 67Β’
  • Manny Malhotra Β· ask 60Β’

Longest regular-season win streak

  1. Carolina Hurricanesask 25Β’ Kalshi β†’
  2. Edmonton Oilersask 22Β’ Kalshi β†’
  3. Dallas Starsask 19Β’ Kalshi β†’
  4. MontrΓ©al Canadiensask 18Β’ Kalshi β†’
  5. Buffalo Sabresask 17Β’ Kalshi β†’
  6. New Jersey Devilsask 17Β’ Kalshi β†’
  7. New York Rangersask 16Β’ Kalshi β†’
  8. Ottawa Senatorsask 16Β’ Kalshi β†’
  9. Colorado Avalanche14Β’ Kalshi β†’
  10. Minnesota Wildask 13Β’ Kalshi β†’
All 32
  • Seattle Kraken Β· ask 12Β’
  • Florida Panthers Β· 11Β’
  • Tampa Bay Lightning Β· 11Β’
  • Nashville Predators Β· ask 9Β’
  • San Jose Sharks Β· ask 9Β’
  • St. Louis Blues Β· ask 9Β’
  • Calgary Flames Β· ask 8Β’
  • Detroit Red Wings Β· 8Β’
  • Columbus Blue Jackets Β· ask 7Β’
  • Winnipeg Jets Β· ask 7Β’
  • Washington Capitals Β· ask 7Β’
  • Boston Bruins Β· ask 6Β’
  • Chicago Blackhawks Β· ask 6Β’
  • Los Angeles Kings Β· ask 6Β’
  • New York Islanders Β· ask 6Β’
  • Philadelphia Flyers Β· ask 6Β’
  • Pittsburgh Penguins Β· ask 6Β’
  • Toronto Maple Leafs Β· ask 6Β’
  • Utah Mammoth Β· ask 6Β’
  • Vegas Golden Knights Β· ask 6Β’
  • Anaheim Ducks Β· ask 4Β’
  • Vancouver Canucks Β· ask 1Β’

Player season goals

Player20+40+50+
Will Smithβ€” Kalshi β†’9Β’ Kalshi β†’ask 81Β’ Kalshi β†’
Frank Nazarβ€” Kalshi β†’β€”β€”
Evgeni Malkinβ€” Kalshi β†’β€”β€”
Matthew Schaeferβ€” Kalshi β†’β€”β€”
Sidney Crosbyβ€” Kalshi β†’β€”β€”
Patrick Kaneask 73Β’ Kalshi β†’β€”β€”
Alex DeBrincatβ€”42Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Adrian Kempeβ€”25Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Auston Matthewsβ€”52Β’ Kalshi β†’ask 75Β’ Kalshi β†’
Alex Tuchβ€”20Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Brandon Hagelβ€”31Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Brady Tkachukβ€”ask 68Β’ Kalshi β†’β€”
Connor Bedardβ€”14Β’ Kalshi β†’ask 75Β’ Kalshi β†’
Cole Caufieldβ€”51Β’ Kalshi β†’ask 85Β’ Kalshi β†’
Cutter Gauthierβ€”37Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Connor McDavidβ€”52Β’ Kalshi β†’ask 81Β’ Kalshi β†’
Drake Bathersonβ€”16Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Dylan Guentherβ€”39Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Dylan Larkinβ€”20Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
David Pastrnakβ€”33Β’ Kalshi β†’ask 76Β’ Kalshi β†’
Filip Forsbergβ€”21Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Ivan Demidovβ€”11Β’ Kalshi β†’ask 82Β’ Kalshi β†’
Jake Guentzelβ€”35Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Jack Hughesβ€”20Β’ Kalshi β†’ask 68Β’ Kalshi β†’
Jason Robertsonβ€”44Β’ Kalshi β†’ask 79Β’ Kalshi β†’

Top 25 of 46 by price.

Player season points

Player90+100+110+
Connor McDavid91Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Nikita Kucherov90Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Nathan MacKinnon84Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Leon Draisaitl74Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Macklin Celebrini69Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
David Pastrnak65Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Kirill Kaprizov59Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Evan Bouchard56Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Nick Suzuki56Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Jack Eichel56Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
William Nylander53Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Kyle Connor53Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Cale Makar49Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Artemi Panarin48Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Jason Robertson47Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Clayton Keller46Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Martin Necas46Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Mark Scheifele44Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Jack Hughes43Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Mitch Marner43Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Mikko Rantanen43Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Tim Stutzle43Β’ Kalshi β†’ask 86Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Wyatt Johnston39Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Jake Guentzel36Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’
Brandon Hagel35Β’ Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’β€” Kalshi β†’

Top 25 of 30 by price.

Awards and player-season contracts are shown at the Kalshi price only β€” we do not model them yet. Trade responsibly β€” a gap is disagreement, not a guarantee.

Stanley Cup odds β€” frequently asked

Where do these Stanley Cup odds come from?

Three places, side by side: the Kalshi mid on each KXNHL contract, the Polymarket international-book price on the 2026-27 champion event, and our own 10,000-season Monte Carlo from the Goal Light game model. They are three different questions answered three ways β€” never averaged.

Why label Polymarket "international"?

Polymarket is two venues β€” the international on-chain book and Polymarket US β€” and their prices are not interchangeable. The price we ingest is the international book, so every Polymarket number here says so.

How is the playoff bracket simulated?

Each remaining regular-season game is drawn from the model (no goalie information), standings follow the NHL format (top three per division plus two wild cards per conference), and every series is a best-of-seven with 2-2-1-1-1 home ice priced off the same per-game probabilities.

What is the season-points ladder?

Kalshi lists ten "X+ points" contracts per team. We show one number β€” the sim's mean points β€” against the expectation implied by the whole ladder. A single rung near 50Β’ is a median, not a mean, so we never compare the mean to one rung.

How often does this page refresh?

The simulation re-runs at 6:15 AM ET after the night's results; Kalshi and Polymarket prices refresh again at 6:35 PM ET.

Is a gap a recommendation?

No. A gap is disagreement between the sim and a market on a long-dated contract, with fees and a season of variance in between. Read it as where the market and the model differ, then size any position yourself on the Kelly calculator.