NFL EDGES

Live game edges — model vs. Kalshi, ranked

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NFL 2026

Power rankings, futures & win totals — all 32 teams

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Correlation-aware Kalshi combos — free

Madden 27 team ratings vs our model vs the market

All 32 Madden 27 launch ratings, ranked — next to our play-by-play power ratings and our own season projection. Three independent views of the same league, none of which can see the other two.

Where all three agree, that's about as much confirmation as preseason offers. Where one disagrees with the other two, it's usually the outlier — and those are listed below. We simulated the season 10,000 times on these ratings →

Madden vs our model

Jacksonville JaguarsMadden 26 · ours 5-21
San Francisco 49ersMadden 2 · ours 12+10
Las Vegas RaidersMadden 22 · ours 32+10
Kansas City ChiefsMadden 6 · ours 15+9
Seattle SeahawksMadden 10 · ours 1-9

If Madden ran the season: Super Bowl odds

Ten thousand simulated 2026 seasons using nothing but these ratings, played across the real schedule with real NFL tiebreakers.

All 32 teams — Madden 27 ratings, our rating, and the market

#TeamMaddenQBOur rankSim winsSB%
1Baltimore Ravens84.694911.09.4%
2San Francisco 49ers84.6851210.57.8%
3Detroit Lions84.388711.07.8%
4Los Angeles Rams84.199310.06.8%
5Philadelphia Eagles83.982810.56.9%
6Kansas City Chiefs83.7931510.06.9%
7Dallas Cowboys83.191139.74.8%
8Buffalo Bills83.09949.65.8%
9New England Patriots82.89229.85.1%
10Seattle Seahawks82.18718.82.9%
11Indianapolis Colts81.878179.43.5%
12Chicago Bears81.790109.03.2%
13Denver Broncos81.481148.72.8%
14Green Bay Packers81.38668.72.3%
15Los Angeles Chargers81.290218.22.3%
16Cincinnati Bengals80.997188.92.4%
17Houston Texans80.976118.62.8%
18Pittsburgh Steelers80.979168.72.6%
19Atlanta Falcons80.874198.52.5%
20Minnesota Vikings80.275268.11.1%
21Tampa Bay Buccaneers80.283208.11.6%
22Las Vegas Raiders80.174327.81.6%
23Arizona Cardinals79.872287.31.1%
24New Orleans Saints78.977247.50.9%
25New York Giants78.977227.20.6%
26Jacksonville Jaguars78.78457.01.0%
27Washington Commanders78.780236.90.8%
28Cleveland Browns78.369277.20.8%
29Carolina Panthers78.278256.80.7%
30New York Jets77.872296.70.6%
31Tennessee Titans77.475316.50.4%
32Miami Dolphins76.574305.50.2%

Madden = team composite from the launch ratings. Our rank = DAEPA power rating built from play-by-play. Sim wins = mean of 10,000 simulated seasons on Madden ratings alone. Methodology →

Madden 27 ratings — frequently asked

What are the Madden 27 team ratings?

Madden 27's team rating is a composite of the individual player ratings on each roster. We build ours from the top-rated starters in nine position groups — quarterback, running back, receiver, tight end, offensive line, pass rush, linebacker, secondary and special teams — then average those nine into one team number. Baltimore rates highest for 2026 at 84.6, followed by San Francisco at 84.6 and Detroit at 84.3.

Which team is best in Madden 27?

Baltimore, by our composite of the launch ratings — 84.6, with a 94-rated quarterback. San Francisco and Detroit are effectively tied behind them. Simulating the full 2026 season ten thousand times from those ratings alone, Baltimore wins the Super Bowl most often at 9.4%.

Do Madden ratings agree with prediction markets?

Broadly, yes. Comparing simulated win totals from Madden ratings against the Kalshi win-total ladder for all 32 teams gives a correlation of about 0.79 and an average gap under one win. The disagreements are the useful part — where EA rates a roster very differently from how real money prices its season. On whether the ratings are accurate in the first place, we backtested 20 years of them against real NFL results.

How is this different from just reading the Madden ratings?

A ratings list tells you what EA thinks. This page puts that next to two things EA cannot see: our own power ratings, built from roughly 1.3 million plays of play-by-play, and live Kalshi win-total prices set by traders. Where all three agree you can be fairly confident. Where one disagrees with the other two, that one is usually the outlier.

More: the full 10,000-season simulation, 20 years of Madden ratings backtested, our 2026 win totals vs the market, or the power ratings themselves.

Madden ratings vs. our power ratings, every week of the season — free.

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