Madden 27 team ratings vs our model vs the market
All 32 Madden 27 launch ratings, ranked — next to our play-by-play power ratings and live Kalshi win-total prices. Three independent views of the same league, none of which can see the other two.
Where all three agree, that's about as much confirmation as preseason offers. Where one disagrees with the other two, it's usually the outlier — and those are listed below. We simulated the season 10,000 times on these ratings →
Madden vs our model
Madden vs the market
If Madden ran the season: Super Bowl odds
Ten thousand simulated 2026 seasons using nothing but these ratings, played across the real schedule with real NFL tiebreakers.
Ravens
9.4%
11.0 wins · 78% PO
49ers
7.8%
10.5 wins · 67% PO
Lions
7.8%
11.0 wins · 74% PO
Chiefs
6.9%
10.0 wins · 66% PO
Eagles
6.9%
10.5 wins · 69% PO
Rams
6.8%
10.0 wins · 61% PO
Bills
5.8%
9.6 wins · 62% PO
Patriots
5.1%
9.8 wins · 64% PO
All 32 teams — Madden 27 ratings, our rating, and the market
| # | Team | Madden | QB | Our rank | Sim wins | Market | Gap | SB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baltimore Ravens | 84.6 | 94 | 12 | 11.0 | 10.3 | +0.7 | 9.4% |
| 2 | San Francisco 49ers | 84.6 | 85 | 14 | 10.5 | 9.6 | +0.9 | 7.8% |
| 3 | Detroit Lions | 84.3 | 88 | 8 | 11.0 | 10.3 | +0.8 | 7.8% |
| 4 | Los Angeles Rams | 84.1 | 99 | 1 | 10.0 | 11.7 | -1.7 | 6.8% |
| 5 | Philadelphia Eagles | 83.9 | 82 | 7 | 10.5 | 9.9 | +0.6 | 6.9% |
| 6 | Kansas City Chiefs | 83.7 | 93 | 20 | 10.0 | 9.7 | +0.3 | 6.9% |
| 7 | Dallas Cowboys | 83.1 | 91 | 11 | 9.7 | 9.3 | +0.3 | 4.8% |
| 8 | Buffalo Bills | 83.0 | 99 | 4 | 9.6 | 10.4 | -0.8 | 5.8% |
| 9 | New England Patriots | 82.8 | 92 | 2 | 9.8 | 9.7 | +0.1 | 5.1% |
| 10 | Seattle Seahawks | 82.1 | 87 | 3 | 8.8 | 10.4 | -1.7 | 2.9% |
| 11 | Indianapolis Colts | 81.8 | 78 | 15 | 9.4 | 7.8 | +1.6 | 3.5% |
| 12 | Chicago Bears | 81.7 | 90 | 10 | 9.0 | 9.5 | -0.5 | 3.2% |
| 13 | Denver Broncos | 81.4 | 81 | 13 | 8.7 | 9.6 | -1.0 | 2.8% |
| 14 | Green Bay Packers | 81.3 | 86 | 5 | 8.7 | 9.5 | -0.8 | 2.3% |
| 15 | Los Angeles Chargers | 81.2 | 90 | 17 | 8.2 | 9.5 | -1.2 | 2.3% |
| 16 | Cincinnati Bengals | 80.9 | 97 | 21 | 8.9 | 10.2 | -1.3 | 2.4% |
| 17 | Houston Texans | 80.9 | 76 | 9 | 8.6 | 10.0 | -1.4 | 2.8% |
| 18 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 80.9 | 79 | 19 | 8.7 | 8.2 | +0.5 | 2.6% |
| 19 | Atlanta Falcons | 80.8 | 74 | 16 | 8.5 | 6.8 | +1.7 | 2.5% |
| 20 | Minnesota Vikings | 80.2 | 75 | 27 | 8.1 | 8.8 | -0.8 | 1.1% |
| 21 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 80.2 | 83 | 18 | 8.1 | 8.0 | +0.1 | 1.6% |
| 22 | Las Vegas Raiders | 80.1 | 74 | 32 | 7.8 | 6.5 | +1.3 | 1.6% |
| 23 | Arizona Cardinals | 79.8 | 72 | 30 | 7.3 | 4.3 | +3.0 | 1.1% |
| 24 | New Orleans Saints | 78.9 | 77 | 26 | 7.5 | 7.9 | -0.4 | 0.9% |
| 25 | New York Giants | 78.9 | 77 | 22 | 7.2 | 7.7 | -0.6 | 0.6% |
| 26 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 78.7 | 84 | 6 | 7.0 | 8.9 | -1.8 | 1.0% |
| 27 | Washington Commanders | 78.7 | 80 | 23 | 6.9 | 7.8 | -0.8 | 0.8% |
| 28 | Cleveland Browns | 78.3 | 69 | 25 | 7.2 | 6.0 | +1.2 | 0.8% |
| 29 | Carolina Panthers | 78.2 | 78 | 24 | 6.8 | 7.2 | -0.4 | 0.7% |
| 30 | New York Jets | 77.8 | 72 | 31 | 6.7 | 5.7 | +0.9 | 0.6% |
| 31 | Tennessee Titans | 77.4 | 75 | 29 | 6.5 | 6.6 | -0.1 | 0.4% |
| 32 | Miami Dolphins | 76.5 | 74 | 28 | 5.5 | 4.3 | +1.1 | 0.2% |
Madden = team composite from the launch ratings. Our rank = DAEPA power rating built from play-by-play. Sim wins = mean of 10,000 simulated seasons on Madden ratings alone. Market = Kalshi win-total ladder, scaled so the 32 teams sum to the 272 wins a season actually contains. Methodology →
Madden 27 ratings — frequently asked
What are the Madden 27 team ratings?
Madden 27's team rating is a composite of the individual player ratings on each roster. We build ours from the top-rated starters in nine position groups — quarterback, running back, receiver, tight end, offensive line, pass rush, linebacker, secondary and special teams — then average those nine into one team number. Baltimore rates highest for 2026 at 84.6, followed by San Francisco at 84.6 and Detroit at 84.3.
Which team is best in Madden 27?
Baltimore, by our composite of the launch ratings — 84.6, with a 94-rated quarterback. San Francisco and Detroit are effectively tied behind them. Simulating the full 2026 season ten thousand times from those ratings alone, Baltimore wins the Super Bowl most often at 9.4%.
Are Madden ratings accurate?
Partly. A model built only from preseason Madden composites picks NFL winners straight-up about 60% of the time across 2010-2024, against roughly 66% for the closing market line. So Madden captures most of the gap between a coin flip and the market — a genuinely useful free signal, but not a market-beating one.
Do Madden ratings agree with betting markets?
Broadly, yes. Comparing simulated win totals from Madden ratings against the Kalshi win-total ladder for all 32 teams gives a correlation of about 0.79 and an average gap under one win. The disagreements are the useful part — where EA rates a roster very differently from how real money prices its season.
How is this different from just reading the Madden ratings?
A ratings list tells you what EA thinks. This page puts that next to two things EA cannot see: our own power ratings, built from roughly 1.3 million plays of play-by-play, and live Kalshi win-total prices set by traders. Where all three agree you can be fairly confident. Where one disagrees with the other two, that one is usually the outlier.
More: the full 10,000-season simulation, 20 years of Madden ratings backtested, our 2026 win totals vs the market, or the power ratings themselves.