Carolina Panthers vs Minnesota Vikings
Sunday, December 6, 2026 · U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Quick Answer
As of July 30, 2026, our model favors the Vikings by 1.5 in Carolina Panthers vs Minnesota Vikings, NFL Week 13 2026 — 55% to win, and Vikings 27th of 32, Panthers 24th. Kalshi has not listed KXNFLGAME-26DEC06CARMIN yet, so there is no price to compare: when it opens, Vikings at 50c or below (or Panthers at 40c or below) is where the model would take a position.
CAR
-1.9
MIN
-2.6
Panthers
45%
model win prob
Vikings
55%
model win prob
KXNFLGAME-26DEC06CARMINhasn't opened yet, so there is no price to compare. When it does, the model buys the Vikings at 50c or below, or the Panthers at 40c or below — a five-point threshold either way. The market column fills in automatically.
Power-rating comparison
What the model sees in Panthers at Vikings
The Panthers travel to face the Vikings in Week 13. Our power ratings put the Vikings 27th of 32 at -2.6 (Average tier) and the Panthers 24th at -1.9 (Average tier) — a 0.7-point gap that home field widens to a 1.5-point line on the Vikings, 55% to win. It rates as the 8th-widest of the 14 games in Week 13.
No unit matchup in this game separates by even a point on our scale. The Vikings grade -2.5 on offense (29th of 32) and -0.5 on defense (16th); the Panthers -0.8 (24th) and -1.7 (22nd). Evenly-graded units on both sides of the ball is exactly the profile that produces a model line built from nothing but home field.
Season-long, the model can barely split them: 7.1 projected wins for the Vikings against 7.5 for the Panthers, favored in 4 and 4 of their 17 respectively. Two teams heading for the same neighborhood in the standings tend to produce exactly this kind of line. This game sits 16th-hardest on the Vikings' schedule and 10th-hardest on the Panthers'.
Recent history, for context only: 13 regular-season meetings since 2002, 8-5 in the Vikings' favour. They last met in 2023: Vikings won 21-13 in October. Over their last 4 meetings the Vikings are 3-1. It is not an input to the line — rosters turn over faster than series records do.
Calibration check, because a near-even number is the easiest kind to overtrust: across 3266 walk-forward games (2013-2024) the model gave a side 55-60% in 797 of them, and those sides won 57%. The Vikings at 55% are in that band. A margin that thin is why we would rather wait for a price than call it a lean.
No price exists for this game yet; KXNFLGAME-26DEC06CARMIN is not listed, and a model number is not a market number. Because the model is close to even here — 55% / 45% — the tradable window is narrow: Vikings at 50c or below, Panthers at 40c or below, and a pass on everything between. On near-coin-flips the opening price usually lands inside that window, which is why most games like this end up as no-position. Week 1's KXNFLGAME contracts opened in May 2026 and the rest of the slate lists as the season gets closer; this page picks up the price automatically when it does.
Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.
Panthers vs Vikings — frequently asked
Who is favored in Panthers vs Vikings in Week 13?
Our power-rating model favors the Vikings by 1.5 points, a 55% win probability over the Panthers. The Vikings rate 27th of 32 (-2.6) and the Panthers 24th (-1.9); Kalshi has not listed KXNFLGAME-26DEC06CARMIN yet, so the model line is the only number on the board.
What is the biggest mismatch in Panthers vs Vikings?
Vikings offense (-2.5, 29th of 32) against Panthers defense (-1.7, 22nd) — 0.8 points of separation on our scale, the widest unit gap in the game.
How do you take a position on Panthers vs Vikings?
The contract will be KXNFLGAME-26DEC06CARMIN on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange open to traders in all 50 states. It has not opened yet; when it does, the model would take the Vikings at 50c or below, or the Panthers at 40c or below. There is no point spread — you buy a yes or no contract on a team and it settles at $1 or $0.
When and where do the Vikings host the Panthers?
Carolina Panthers visit the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday, December 6, 2026 — a Sunday game in NFL Week 13, at U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN.
What does the model project for the Vikings and Panthers this season?
Across all 17 games the model projects the Vikings at 7.1 wins (favored in 4) and the Panthers at 7.5 (favored in 4). This game ranks 16th-hardest on the Vikings' schedule and 10th-hardest on the Panthers', by model win probability.
How often does the model win when it is 55% on a team like the Vikings?
57% of the time. Over 3266 walk-forward games from 2013-2024 — trained only on prior seasons, no market line as an input — the model put a team in the 55-60% range 797 times, and those teams won 57% of them. The Vikings at 55% over the Panthers sit in that band, off a 1.5-point model line. Straight-up across all 3266 graded games the model picked winners at 59.6%, with a Brier score of 0.236 against 0.25 for a coin flip.
Get the daily NFL prediction-market read — free to your inbox.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
More Week 13 matchups
Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.