Polymarket Odds Today
Live Polymarket prediction-market prices across politics, crypto, and sports — today's biggest movers and where each market is mispriced vs Kalshi. Updated every 5 minutes.
In the US? Trade the same markets on Kalshi.
Polymarket isn't available to US residents. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and legal in all 50 states — same election, crypto, and macro contracts, fully onshore.
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Size a Polymarket position
Pre-filled with the top market's live price. Enter your own probability to see the EV and quarter-Kelly stake before you act.
See the top Polymarket traders
Track the best wallets on our Polymarket leaderboard — real on-chain data.
Do more with Polymarket data
Every tool below reads live Polymarket markets and turns them into something you can act on.
Kalshi vs Polymarket
Same game, two exchanges, different prices. Live cross-exchange gaps you can trade.
Open →Mispricing Scanner
Where our model disagrees with the market price — ranked by edge and confidence.
Open →Arb Scanner
Cross-platform arbitrage across Kalshi, Polymarket, and the books — Sports + Macro.
Open →Polymarket Leaderboard
Track the top on-chain wallets and follow where the smart money is positioning.
Open →World Cup 2026
Tournament simulations and Polymarket mispricings — outrights, groups, and match markets.
Open →DraftKings vs Polymarket
How prediction-market prices stack up against the sportsbook line, vig included.
Open →Polymarket vs PrizePicks
Contracts vs pick-em — where each platform actually gives you the better number.
Open →Bitcoin Edge
Live edge calculations on Kalshi hourly BTC contracts — our real-time market analysis.
Open →Read first
How to Read Polymarket Prices
Polymarket FAQ
What are the odds on Polymarket today?
Polymarket odds are live market prices: a contract trading at 72¢ implies a 72% probability the event resolves YES. The table above ranks today’s markets by 24-hour volume and flags the biggest movers, refreshed every 5 minutes.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction-market odds have historically tracked real-world outcomes closely, especially in high-volume political and macro markets where liquidity is deep. Thin, low-volume markets are noisier — always check 24-hour volume before trusting a price.
Can US traders use Polymarket?
Polymarket is not regulated in the United States and US residents are restricted from trading directly. For a fully regulated alternative that is legal in all 50 states, Kalshi is CFTC-approved.
Polymarket vs Kalshi — which has better odds?
Neither is universally better — the same event is often priced differently on each platform, and that gap is the opportunity. We track those cross-exchange mispricings live.
How do Polymarket prices work?
Polymarket contracts trade in USDC cents. A YES price of 72¢ means a 72% implied probability. If the event resolves YES, the contract pays $1 USDC. If NO, it expires at $0.