Gridiron Edge177 players

NFL Player Pages: 2026 Projections vs. the Market

Every player our model projects has a page — 177 of them across QB, RB, WR and TE. Each carries our 2026 half-PPR projection with a measured range, the consensus ADP, and where our board disagrees with the market. Same numbers our MCP server hands to AI assistants — free, no key.

Where the model splits from the market

Full draft board →

Model sleepers — our board has him above the market

Model busts — our board has him below the market

▲/▼ is the gap in positional rank between our published board and consensus ADP. A disagreement, not a guarantee.

Running backs (53)

rank · player · proj PPG · ADP

RB1

Jahmyr GibbsDET17.2ADP 1 RB2

Bijan RobinsonATL16.5ADP 2 RB3

Jonathan TaylorIND16.8ADP 6 RB4

Christian McCaffreySF14.7ADP 7 RB5

James CookBUF13.0ADP 9 RB6

De'Von AchaneMIA16.5ADP 11 RB7

Chase BrownCIN16.0ADP 14 RB8

Saquon BarkleyPHI12.2ADP 16 RB9

Kenneth Walker IIIKC12.4ADP 20 RB10

Derrick HenryBAL10.7ADP 10 RB11

Ashton JeantyLVFLAG14.9ADP 23 RB12

Omarion HamptonLAC12.3ADP 22 RB13

Kyren WilliamsLAR13.5ADP 27 RB14

Javonte WilliamsDAL12.1ADP 30 RB15

Breece HallNYJ11.0ADP 34 RB16

D'Andre SwiftCHI11.4ADP 44 RB17

Bucky IrvingTB11.5ADP 47 RB18

Jeremiyah LoveARI8.7ADP 28 RB19

Quinshon JudkinsCLE11.1ADP 50 RB20

Cam SkatteboNYG8.8ADP 40 RB21

Travis EtienneNO8.3ADP 37 RB22

Jadarian PriceSEA11.2ADP 69 RB23

Rhamondre StevensonNE9.9ADP 62 RB24

Jaylen WarrenPIT10.3ADP 64 RB25

David MontgomeryHOU8.5ADP 57 RB26

Rico DowdlePIT11.1ADP 75 RB27

TreVeyon HendersonNE9.5ADP 66 RB28

Josh JacobsGBFLAG10.8ADP 76 RB29

Tony PollardTEN8.8ADP 70 RB30

J.K. DobbinsDEN10.5ADP 81 RB31

Bhayshul TutenJAXBUST5.6ADP 52 RB32

Chuba HubbardCAR10.0ADP 89 RB33

Aaron JonesMIN11.1ADP 110 RB34

Kenny GainwellTB7.8ADP 105 RB35

Jordan MasonMIN9.4ADP 118 RB36

RJ HarveyDEN8.6ADP 114 RB37

Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS6.4ADP 106 RB38

Kyle MonangaiCHI7.4ADP 113 RB39

Woody MarksHOU9.7ADP 142 RB40

Rachaad WhiteWAS7.9ADP 131 RB41

Tyjae SpearsTEN6.2ADP 143 RB42

Zach CharbonnetSEA7.3ADP 148 RB43

Blake CorumLARFLAG4.9ADP 123 RB44

Alvin KamaraNO7.6ADP 184 RB45

Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAX5.9ADP 175 RB47

Tyrone Tracy Jr.NYG7.4ADP 194 RB49

Brian RobinsonATL5.7ADP 196 RB50

Tank BigsbyPHI5.3ADP 193 RB51

Ray DavisBUF5.3ADP 191 RB52

Keaton MitchellLAC4.6ADP 176 RB54

Tyler AllgeierARICONFIRMED BUST3.9ADP 167 RB55

Dylan SampsonCLE5.3ADP 208 RB56

Braelon AllenNYJCONFIRMED BUST4.1ADP 177

Wide receivers (78)

rank · player · proj PPG · ADP

WR1

Puka NacuaLAR16.4ADP 3 WR2

Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA16.6ADP 5 WR3

Amon-Ra St. BrownDET16.8ADP 8 WR4

Ja'Marr ChaseCIN16.0ADP 4 WR5

Justin JeffersonMIN15.6ADP 13 WR6

Drake LondonATL15.1ADP 15 WR7

A.J. BrownNE15.4ADP 17 WR8

CeeDee LambDAL14.3ADP 12 WR9

Rashee RiceKC14.3ADP 18 WR10

Zay FlowersBAL14.9ADP 24 WR11

Nico CollinsHOU13.4ADP 21 WR12

George PickensDAL13.2ADP 19 WR13

Malik NabersNYG13.1ADP 26 WR14

DeVonta SmithPHI13.3ADP 32 WR15

Garrett WilsonNYJ11.9ADP 29 WR16

Chris OlaveNO11.0ADP 25 WR17

Tee HigginsCIN11.8ADP 35 WR18

Jameson WilliamsDET11.0ADP 39 WR19

Tetairoa McMillanCAR10.9ADP 33 WR20

Ladd McConkeyLAC11.1ADP 43 WR21

Emeka EgbukaTB10.8ADP 36 WR22

Davante AdamsLAR10.9ADP 38 WR23

Terry McLaurinWAS10.9ADP 46 WR24

Brian Thomas Jr.JAXSLEEPER11.1ADP 72 WR25

DK MetcalfPITSLEEPER11.0ADP 65 WR26

Rome OdunzeCHI10.3ADP 49 WR27

Jakobi MeyersJAXSLEEPER11.9ADP 88 WR28

Jaylen WaddleDEN9.7ADP 45 WR29

Carnell TateTENCONFIRMED SLEEPER11.0ADP 78 WR30

Courtland SuttonDEN10.5ADP 60 WR31

DJ MooreBUF9.2ADP 48 WR32

Christian WatsonGB9.5ADP 54 WR33

Jayden ReedGBSLEEPER10.8ADP 86 WR34

Michael PittmanPIT10.8ADP 83 WR35

Alec PierceINDBUST9.6ADP 61 WR36

Rashid ShaheedSEASLEEPER11.5ADP 124 WR37

Jordan AddisonMINFLAG10.8ADP 92 WR38

Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN10.8ADP 98 WR39

Chris Godwin Jr.TB9.8ADP 80 WR40

Quentin JohnstonLAC10.1ADP 84 WR41

Parker WashingtonJAXBUST9.0ADP 63 WR42

Marvin Harrison Jr.ARIBUST9.1ADP 67 WR43

Josh DownsIND10.2ADP 97 WR44

Jauan JenningsMINSLEEPER11.9ADP 154 WR45

Khalil ShakirBUFFLAG10.7ADP 112 WR46

Stefon DiggsWAS9.8ADP 100 WR47

Michael WilsonARIBUST8.4ADP 73 WR48

Mike EvansSFBUST7.8ADP 56 WR49

Romeo DoubsNE9.7ADP 103 WR50

Luther Burden IIICHIBUST7.2ADP 53 WR51

Deebo Samuel Sr.SF8.5ADP 116 WR52

Jerry JeudyCLEFLAG9.3ADP 129 WR53

KC ConcepcionCLE8.4ADP 120 WR54

Xavier WorthyKC8.0ADP 102 WR55

Keenan AllenINDFLAG8.8ADP 149 WR56

Denzel BostonCLE8.3ADP 146 WR57

Makai LemonPHIFLAG8.1ADP 134 WR58

Jalen McMillanTB8.0ADP 136 WR59

Tre TuckerLV7.9ADP 132 WR60

Cooper KuppSEASLEEPER8.4ADP 169 WR61

Travis HunterJAX8.9ADP 197 WR62

Jalen CokerCARBUST6.6ADP 122 WR63

Matthew GoldenGBBUST6.2ADP 104 WR64

Calvin RidleyTENFLAG7.5ADP 153 WR65

De'Zhaun StriblingSFCONFIRMED BUST6.6ADP 128 WR66

Rashod BatemanBALFLAG7.4ADP 150 WR67

Jordyn TysonNOFLAG11.7ADP 185 WR68

Kayshon BoutteHOUFLAG6.9ADP 166 WR69

Adonai MitchellNYJ7.2ADP 183 WR70

Dontayvion WicksPHI6.7ADP 178 WR71

Malik WashingtonMIA6.4ADP 162 WR76

Jalen NailorLVBUST5.8ADP 165 WR77

Troy FranklinDENFLAG6.5ADP 215 WR78

Ryan FlournoyDALBUST5.4ADP 179 WR79

Devaughn VeleNO5.6ADP 199 WR80

Ja'Kobi LaneBAL5.2ADP 195 WR81

Chris BellMIAFLAG5.3ADP 213 WR94

Jaylin NoelHOUBUST4.7ADP 204

Rank is our published positional rank (model blended with consensus ADP). PPG is projected half-PPR points per game. Projections as of 2026-09-07; ADP source composite.

Open Oracle prop calls — Week 1 (33)

Full prop board →

Every player with an open Kalshi prop call on this week's board. WATCH rows are provenance-limited and graded separately — they are not calls.

How the numbers are built

Season projections come from our own usage model — target and carry share, efficiency and games played — and the published rank blends that model with consensus ADP at a weight fitted per position. The raw model loses to consensus at every position, so the board leads with the blend and the disagreement is the content, not a claim that we are right. Ranges are measured, not simulated: the fitted distribution of actual against projected, holdout-validated. Every published call is graded in public.

NFL player pages — frequently asked

Which NFL players have a page here?

Every player inside the range a real draft reaches — the top 177 by consensus ADP this season, across quarterback, running back, wide receiver and tight end. The list is generated from the same board the pages themselves are built from, so a player listed here always has a live page, and new players are added as the board moves.

What is on each player page?

Our 2026 half-PPR projection with a measured range (fitted on how far past projections landed, not a simulation), the consensus ADP and the gap between our board and the market, the team's full schedule with a model line against the Kalshi price on every game, and — while props are open — the Oracle calls on his Kalshi props alongside every booked strike, the consensus line and the best price. Everything is free; the same numbers are served to AI assistants through our MCP server.

What do SLEEPER and BUST mean on a player page?

They are model-versus-market disagreements at the position. We blend our usage model with consensus ADP into a published rank; when that rank sits at least eight spots above where the market drafts a player he is tagged SLEEPER, and at least eight spots below, BUST. CONFIRMED means our model and the derived consensus agree on the direction. A tag is a disagreement to investigate, not a guarantee.

Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi lists player yardage, reception and scoring props as CFTC-regulated event contracts, priced in cents — a 62-cent contract implies a 62% probability and pays $1 if it settles YES. In season, each player page shows every open Kalshi strike for that player next to our projection and the consensus line, and the Oracle calls are graded in public on our track record. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0.

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Keep exploring

Player prop board →Draft board & assistant →Weekly projections →All 32 teams →NFL hub →

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NFL Win Probability calculator → — Turn any rating gap, spread or moneyline into a calibrated win probability
NFL Power Ratings vs. the Market — where we disagree → — Our PWR and the rating implied by live Kalshi win-total prices, all 32 teams on one points scale

Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Fantasy projections are estimates, not predictions — trade and draft responsibly.