Home/NFL/Week 14/Vikings vs Patriots

Gridiron EdgeWeek 14 · 2026

Minnesota Vikings vs New England Patriots

Updated October 14, 2026 · model ratings

Line held — QB decision pending

Thursday, December 10, 2026 · Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA

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Win probability held until both starting quarterbacks are confirmed.

Run this matchup yourself → Full PWR board for all 32 → Player prop gaps for this game →

35%

Madden 27

65%

Madden 27

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The Ladder — Vikings at Patriots

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Our margin distribution against every Kalshi spread strike listed for this game. A single line says we lean one way; the ladder says whether that is about the middle of the distribution or its tail.

Vikings at PatriotsSpreadQB HOLD

Kalshi has not listed a two-sided book on this ladder yet.

StrikeKalshi YES · 0–100¢Take itBooksGap

Market

—

The starting quarterback is not confirmed, so we publish no model number on this game. The market prices are shown as they are.

Legend

Kalshi YES mid, 0–100¢
book consensus (no-vig)
Oracle line (Pro) · hollow = outside the 30–70% band
YES/NO buttons are the Kalshi taker cost; “pays” is 100¢ ÷ cost.

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Gold is our distribution, parchment is the Kalshi contract at each strike; the band between them is green where our probability is higher and purple where it is lower. We publish our number only where we have measured it to be calibrated, between 30% and 70%; rungs outside that range show the market only, and a rung where our number sits more than 30 points from a liquid market is refused outright — a gap that size is a bug until proven otherwise. A contract pays $1 if it settles YES, so a price in cents is an implied probability. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0.

Vikings at Patriots Kalshi spread ladder for Week 14: the Kalshi price at every spread strike — The Vikings–Patriots spread ladder — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

Vikings vs Patriots power ratings (Week 14)

TeamRatingRankTier

Minnesota Vikings+0.015thAverage

New England Patriots+3.92ndPlayoff

Vikings and Patriots season outlook

MINNE

Average wins10.910.6

Make playoffs77%78%

Win division44%49%

Win Super Bowl4.1%8.4%

10,000 simulated seasons on our preseason power ratings — real NFL tiebreakers, real 2026 schedule, no injuries or market prices. The season sim fits its own home-field (2.0 points, from played games); the game model above uses +2.5. How it works →

Line held until the starting QB is known

Line held: Minnesota Vikings at New England Patriots, NFL Week 14 2026. We don't publish a model line, lean or pick until both starting quarterbacks are confirmed, and one isn't yet. This updates the moment both starters are confirmed. Quarterback is the one input big enough to swamp every other term in a game line, so we don't post a number until we know who's throwing.

Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.

Vikings vs Patriots on Kalshi

Kalshi event: KXNFLGAME-26DEC10MINNE
Market-implied (Patriots): not listed yet
Our ratings line (Patriots): held — QB pending
Model vs market: —

Kalshi opens NFL game markets week by week and has not listed KXNFLGAME-26DEC10MINNE yet, so there is no Kalshi price for this game to quote. When it opens, the model buys the Patriots at 67c or below, or the Vikings at 23c or below — a 5-point threshold either way. The numbers above fill in on their own.

Every Kalshi NFL market we track →

Where Vikings vs Patriots trades

Each venue’s own price where we have one; Robinhood and Coinbase resell the Kalshi contract. Home-side price shown.

Venue	Patriots	Trade
Kalshi	not listed on Kalshi yet — opens week of the game	Trade on Kalshi →
Novig	not yet listed on Novig — $25 credit on a $10 deposit through our link	Sign-up offer →
Polymarket	no captured price for this game — international book	Sign-up offer →
Polymarket US	no captured price for this game — US exchange	Sign-up offer →
Robinhoodsame Kalshi contract	same Kalshi contract, not listed yet	Open Robinhood →
Coinbasesame Kalshi contract	same Kalshi contract, not listed yet	Open Coinbase →
DraftKings Predictions	price not available — sign-up offer →	Sign-up offer →
FanDuel Predicts	price not available — sign-up offer →	Sign-up offer →
Fanatics Markets	price not available — sign-up offer →	Sign-up offer →

A price under a venue name is that venue’s own; Robinhood and Coinbase list the same Kalshi contract. DraftKings Predictions, FanDuel Predicts and Fanatics Markets run on exchanges we have no price feed for, so they carry an offer and no number. We earn a referral credit or commission when you sign up through these links; it never changes the price or the model. Disclosure.

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Who is favored in Vikings vs Patriots, NFL Week 14 2026?

Trade this game on Kalshi →Patriots hub →Vikings hub →Kalshi NFL hub →Week 14 edge board →NFL predictions hub →

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After this one

Vikings: Week 15 vs LionsModel line →Patriots: Week 15 at ChiefsModel line →

More Week 14 matchups

Buccaneers at RavensRavens −4.5

Saints at PanthersPanthers −3.5

Falcons at BrownsBrowns −0.5

Titans at LionsLions −8.5

Bears at DolphinsBears −2

Broncos at JetsBroncos −3

Colts at EaglesEagles −4.5

Texans at CommandersTexans −0.5

Chargers at RaidersChargers −3

Chiefs at BengalsBengals −2.5

Giants at SeahawksSeahawks −9

Rams at 49ersRams −1.5

Bills at PackersPackers −1.5

Steelers at JaguarsJaguars −5.5

Full Week 14 board →Next: NFL Week 15 predictions →

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