Entertainment Prediction Markets

Big Brother 28 Finale Odds: Skip the Winner, Buy the Runner-Up — Plus the Packers Fade and a Bitcoin Trade That Cashed Live

The 7 Oracles live roundtable, Sept. 30, 2026: Dane Martinez's Big Brother 28 finale call (Drew Campbell finishes second), Coach Gene Clemons on surviving Dancing with the Stars, a Kalshi Bitcoin hourly that cashed on air, Derrick Henry's rushing-TD price and why the Packers won't reach .500.

The 7 Oracles

Big Brother 28 Final Four Odds: Dane Called Devens a Runaway Train. Drew's One Vote Has Kalshi Pricing Him 70% to Go

Melody is gone, Taylor won the Final Four HOH, Drew won the veto, and Drew now casts the only vote between Rick Devens and Dee Valladares. Kalshi has Devens 70–71¢ to be evicted tonight and 8–9¢ to win the season. Here is what the tape still supports and what it doesn't.

Dane Martinez

Big Brother 28 Winner Odds: Dane Says a Survivor Takes It — Kalshi Prices Devens and Dee at 71¢ Together

Barrett and Yash both went in the double eviction, Rick Devens won the Week 11 HOH, and the Kalshi winner board now has two Survivor alumni holding 69.5¢ of it. Dane's call is Devens at 37%. The cheaper way to own his actual thesis is both of them. Every price is a live Kalshi snapshot.

Dane Martinez

Big Brother 28 Week 10 Odds: The Eviction Board Adds Up to 207¢ — Which Means Kalshi Is Pricing Two People Out, Not One

Dane says the value is Melody at 44% to go, not Barrett at 67%. The live Kalshi board agrees more than it looks: seven contracts summing to 207¢ means traders are pricing two exits before Sep 18. Barrett's 61¢ is a 10-cent-wide quote. Melody's 45¢ is a penny wide. Every price is a live snapshot.

Dane Martinez

Big Brother 28 Week 8 Odds: Kalshi Has Rick Devens 56¢ to Be Evicted — and Yash Just Passed Dee as the Winner Favorite

Haley is gone, Drew is HOH, Yash won the veto, and the Icons are in the minority for the first time all season. Dane filmed with Dee 19% and Yash 18% — by the time the board caught up, Yash was the 23¢ favorite and Rick Devens was 56¢ to be evicted Thursday. Every price is a live Kalshi snapshot.

Dane Martinez

Big Brother 28 Twist: Live Feeds Are Down — What It Means for Dee and Devens on Kalshi

Kalshi had Dee Valladares at 20¢ and Rick Devens at 19¢ to win Big Brother 28 when the live feeds went dark for a twist with no HoH or Veto this cycle. Dane Martinez on why a straight-competition twist is bad news for the Icons — and why a day of trading repriced the middle of the board while leaving the two favorites where they started.

Dane Martinez

Big Brother 28 Week 7 Odds: The Market Called the Veto Again — Mallory Flipped to Favorite While Dane Was Sweating Taylor

Dane had Taylor Brown as the 47% eviction favorite when he filmed — and hoped the board was wrong. A day later, Kalshi flipped it: Mallory Aurichio, never an original nominee, is now 57¢ to go, the same pre-ceremony veto tell that called the Diamond Veto week. Here's the Week 7 read and the Big Brother 28 winner board.

Dane Martinez

Big Brother 28 Week 6 Odds: The Board Flipped on Dane Since He Filmed This — Haley's Now the Favorite, Not Kamu

Dane called the Diamond Power of Veto before it aired and had Kamu Kirk as the 50¢ favorite to go home, with Haley Thogmartin second at 30¢. Twenty-four hours later, Kalshi has Haley at 48¢ and Kamu at 44¢ — the board flipped. Here's the Week 6 elimination read and the Big Brother 28 winner board, devigged.

Dane Martinez

Big Brother 28 Week 5 Odds: The 2¢ Won HOH — and Kalshi Still Prices a Nominee Above the Head of Household

LaTrice Verrett went from 2¢ to Head of Household and Kalshi only moved her to 4¢. Barrett Pfeiffer is sitting on the block at 9¢. Taylor Brown is 8¢ and up 60% in eight days. The full Big Brother 28 winner board, devigged, ahead of the Week 5 eviction.

Dane Martinez

Big Brother 28 Winner Odds: LaTrice at 2¢ and Taylor at 5¢ Are the Value on Kalshi

Dee Valladares is 27¢ to win Big Brother 28 and Rick Devens is 20¢ — the two players the house is hunting. LaTrice Verrett is still 2¢ and Taylor Brown just won the veto off a 3¢ price. The Honor Society holds 40¢ of the board and 33¢ of it sits on the wrong two members.

Dane Martinez

Jason De Puy at 38¢ to Get Evicted on Kalshi: The Backdoor Nobody's Pricing

Kalshi has Jason De Puy at 38¢ to leave the Big Brother 28 house this week while Rome sits the 50¢ favorite as the backdoor target. When the 'obvious' boot survives, the vote lands on the guy with no friends. Here's the trade.

Dane Martinez

Drake YES at 73¢ on Kalshi: The Triple-Album Repricing Already Happened — Is There Still Edge?

Kalshi has Drake at 73¢ to win Spotify USA Top Artist 2026. Two weeks ago he was 29¢ and Bad Bunny was the 68¢ favorite. The triple album hit, the line moved 44 points, Bad Bunny collapsed to 10¢, and the field is cleared. The value window is gone. The trade now is whether Drake's true probability is still meaningfully above 73% with seven months of catalog compounding left.

Dane Martinez

Michael Jackson 'No' at 40¢ on Kalshi: A 2.5x Spotify Global #1 Trade for May

Kalshi has Michael Jackson at 60¢ to land a #1 song on Spotify Global in May. The biopic bump put Billie Jean at #9 and faded. With Olivia Rodrigo, Ariana Grande, Taylor Swift, and BTS all dropping new music, MJ 'No' at 40¢ is a 2.5x trade hiding in plain sight.

Dane Martinez

Will Ice Spice Attend the 2026 Met Gala? Kalshi & Polymarket Predictions

Ice Spice is sitting at roughly 10% on Kalshi's Met Gala attendance market — and we think that's a steal. Here's why the market is sleeping on her.

Benny Ricciardi

Drake's ICEMAN: Central Cee YES at 67¢ Is the Cleanest 1.4x on the Board

Kalshi has Central Cee at ~67¢ to appear on Drake's ICEMAN. Between 'Which One,' the Iceman livestream, and a decade of UK collabs, fair value is closer to 85–90%. Dane calls it 'free money' — here's the full case.

Dane Martinez

The SNL Host Market is Underrated Fun

Kalshi's SNL host market has $255K in volume. Sydney Sweeney at 16 cents and Sarah Silverman at 26 cents are the plays — plus a Polymarket Oscars Bingo card.

The 7 Oracles

How Many "Sinners" at the Oscars?

Sinners got 16 Oscar nominations. "Exactly 5" wins is trading at 12 cents — a 7.5:1 payout with a realistic path through Best Original Score, Best Director, and more.

Coach Gene Clemons (Orunmila)

Is There a Survivor 51 Market on Kalshi or Polymarket? No — Here's Why, and Where Reality TV Traders Went Instead

Survivor 50's $33 million Kalshi market priced Aubry Bracco like a lock for months, because the show was taped long before it aired. Survivor 51 premiered with no market on either exchange. Here's the taped-vs-live test that explains it, what a clean reality TV market looks like, and the Dancing With the Stars longshots The 7 Oracles are holding.

Nando Di Fino

Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce Wedding: Every Live Kalshi Market Worth Trading

Dane Martinez runs down every live Kalshi market on the Swift-Kelce wedding — Married This Year at 98%, Jason Kelce the groomsmen favorite, the bridesmaids and dress designer markets, and where the old Rhode Island location pick stands now (New York has led the market the whole way). Video breakdown included.

Dane Martinez

Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026: Kalshi Odds, Joey Chestnut & Where the Value Is

Joey Chestnut is a 92¢ favorite to win the 2026 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest on Kalshi. Watch The 7 Oracles break down the men's and women's markets, the record contract, and why the sharpest play might be fading the most American favorite on the board.

Christopher Manzo

American Idol Season 24: Why a 1¢ longshot has captured our attention

Analysis of American Idol Season 24 prediction markets reveals why one underdog contestant at 1¢ odds is worth watching despite the show's diluted talent pool.

Nando

Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce Wedding Location: Rhode Island at 47% Is the Play

Rhode Island trades at 47% (1.97x payout) on Kalshi for the Swift-Kelce wedding location. Dane Martinez breaks down why Ocean House in Watch Hill beats the market-leading New York at 57%.

Dane Martinez

The Wild "Sadie Sink/Jean Grey" Roller Coaster

A $16,982 Kalshi market swung from NO to YES at 91% on a Spider-Man trailer drop. Here's the cash-out story and what the Survivor market taught us about staying out.

The 7 Oracles

The Curious Case of Scream 7

The Scream 7 Rotten Tomatoes market collapsed to 48% after production chaos. Meanwhile, Baltimore at 7 cents to win the AL is a buy-low opportunity.

The 7 Oracles

Ella Langley Odds: 92¢ for VMA Song of the Summer, Then a Penny. Now She's the CMA Entertainer of the Year Favorite.

Kalshi had Ella Langley trading at 92¢ to win Song of the Summer at the 2026 VMAs at 10:26 p.m. ET on Sept. 27. By 10:37 she was a penny, and Ariana Grande, last traded at 20¢, was at 99¢. Billboard's chart said Langley; MTV's fan vote said Grande. Here's the full tape, and what it means for her nine CMA nominations on Nov. 18, where Kalshi has her 92¢ bid / 96¢ ask for Entertainer of the Year.

Dane Martinez

DWTS Double Elimination Odds: Don't Just Buy the Favorite

Kalshi has Jackson Olson 71¢ and Tyler Cameron 58¢ to go home in tonight's DWTS double elimination. Gene and Dane on the No side and Ezra Frech at 67¢.

Coach Gene Clemons & Dane Martinez

Dancing with the Stars Odds: It's Not Who Wins. It's Who Survives.

Ezra Frech is 57¢ to win DWTS Season 35 on Kalshi. The value is in the weekly elimination market — Coach Gene Clemons on why fan bases, not dancers, go home.

Coach Gene Clemons

The Emmys' Limited Series Board Adds Up Past 100 Cents — and Its 1-Cent Ghost Isn't Dead

Kalshi's Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series board flipped on Sept. 6 when DTF St. Louis swept six Creative Arts Emmys. We priced all six contracts at noon on ceremony day: the board's YES asks sum to 104 cents, the favorite sits at 92–93¢, and The Beast in Me is quoted at 1 cent. Here's why the 1-cent name is live rather than dead, and what history says about boards that look this settled the night of the show.

Nando Di Fino

Sydney Sweeney Owns Part of One Prediction Market. She Trades on Another.

Sweeney took equity in Novig the same week Kalshi traders moved her off the top of the next-Bond-girl board. We priced both Sweeney contracts against the full field and found the Bond board's quoted names summing to 119 cents — and the Britney biopic board leaving almost nothing for the actress nobody has named yet.

Nando Di Fino

What We're Buying This Week: Sarah Jessica Parker, Scary Movie, and More

This week's picks from The 7 Oracles: the obscure Kalshi market on what Sarah Jessica Parker says at Northwestern's commencement, a contrarian ladder on Scary Movie's Tomatometer, and why the group text won't stop talking about Bitcoin Edge.

Nando

How 'The Mandalorian and Grogu' Can Get 90+ on Rotten Tomatoes

Analyzing prediction markets for The Mandalorian and Grogu's Rotten Tomatoes score. Why the film could hit 90+ despite 50/50 odds on 75+.

Nando

Beware the Maxx Crosby "Next Team" Fine Print

The Maxx Crosby market doesn't close until Nov 30, 2026 — which means "no" on Stays with Raiders at $61 for $20 is the smarter play than the obvious YES.

The 7 Oracles

A Pledge To My Gut

Chris Manzo's gut-check column: Wembanyama quadruple double at 8 cents, Alcaraz 3+ Grand Slams at 48 cents, and Leo DiCaprio for Best Actor at 4 cents.

Chris Manzo