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Home/NFL/Week 13/Chiefs vs Rams
Gridiron EdgeWeek 13 Β· 2026

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Rams

Updated Β· model ratings

Line held β€” QB decision pending

Thursday, December 3, 2026 Β· SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA

Quick Answer

Line held: Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Rams, NFL Week 13 2026. We don't publish a model line, lean or pick until both starting quarterbacks are confirmed, and one isn't yet. Updates after Friday's injury report.

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Chiefs

32%

model win prob

Rams

68%

model win prob

Run this matchup yourself β†’ Full PWR board for all 32 β†’ Player prop gaps for this game β†’

43%

Madden 27

57%

Madden 27

Run the numbers yourself

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The Ladder β€” Chiefs at Rams

All ladders β†’

Our margin distribution against every Kalshi spread strike listed for this game. A single line says we lean one way; the ladder says whether that is about the middle of the distribution or its tail.

Chiefs at RamsSpreadQB HOLD

Kalshi has not listed a two-sided book on this ladder yet.

    Market
    β€”

    The starting quarterback is not confirmed, so we publish no model number on this game. The market prices are shown as they are.

    Legend
    • Kalshi YES mid, 0–100Β’
    • book consensus (no-vig)
    • Oracle line (Pro) Β· hollow = outside the 30–70% band
    • YES/NO buttons are the Kalshi taker cost; β€œpays” is 100Β’ Γ· cost.
    Go Pro Β· $150/yr, $111 your first year β†’

    Gold is our distribution, parchment is the Kalshi contract at each strike; the band between them is green where our probability is higher and purple where it is lower. We publish our number only where we have measured it to be calibrated, between 30% and 70%; rungs outside that range show the market only, and a rung where our number sits more than 30 points from a liquid market is refused outright β€” a gap that size is a bug until proven otherwise. A contract pays $1 if it settles YES, so a price in cents is an implied probability. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0.

    Chiefs vs Rams power ratings (Week 13)

    TeamRatingRankTier
    Kansas City Chiefs+0.513thAverage
    Los Angeles Rams+3.52ndPlayoff

    Chiefs and Rams season outlook

    KCLAR
    Average wins10.510.0
    Make playoffs76%65%
    Win division54%21%
    Win Super Bowl4.3%7.3%

    10,000 simulated seasons on our preseason power ratings β€” real NFL tiebreakers, real 2026 schedule, no injuries or market prices. The season sim fits its own home-field (2.0 points, from played games); the game model above uses +2.5. How it works β†’

    Line held until the starting QB is known

    Line held: Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Rams, NFL Week 13 2026. We don't publish a model line, lean or pick until both starting quarterbacks are confirmed, and one isn't yet. Updates after Friday's injury report. Quarterback is the one input big enough to swamp every other term in a game line, so we don't post a number until we know who's throwing.

    Prediction markets are not sportsbooks β€” you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.

    Chiefs vs Rams on Kalshi

    Kalshi event
    KXNFLGAME-26DEC03KCLAR
    Market-implied (Rams)
    not listed yet
    Our model (Rams)
    68%
    Model vs market
    β€”

    Kalshi opens NFL game markets week by week and has not listed KXNFLGAME-26DEC03KCLAR yet, so there is no Kalshi price for this game to quote. When it opens, the model buys the Rams at 63c or below, or the Chiefs at 27c or below β€” a 5-point threshold either way. The numbers above fill in on their own.

    Every Kalshi NFL market we track β†’

    Where Chiefs vs Rams trades

    Each venue’s own price where we have one; Robinhood and Coinbase resell the Kalshi contract. Home-side price shown.

    VenueRamsTrade
    Kalshinot listed on Kalshi yet β€” opens week of the gameTrade on Kalshi β†’
    Novignot yet listed on Novig β€” $25 credit on a $10 deposit through our linkSign-up offer β†’
    Polymarketno captured price for this game β€” international bookSign-up offer β†’
    Polymarket USno captured price for this game β€” US exchangeSign-up offer β†’
    Robinhoodsame Kalshi contractsame Kalshi contract, not listed yetOpen Robinhood β†’
    Coinbasesame Kalshi contractsame Kalshi contract, not listed yetOpen Coinbase β†’
    DraftKings Predictionsprice not available β€” sign-up offer β†’Sign-up offer β†’
    FanDuel Predictsprice not available β€” sign-up offer β†’Sign-up offer β†’
    Fanatics Marketsprice not available β€” sign-up offer β†’Sign-up offer β†’

    A price under a venue name is that venue’s own; Robinhood and Coinbase list the same Kalshi contract. DraftKings Predictions, FanDuel Predicts and Fanatics Markets run on exchanges we have no price feed for, so they carry an offer and no number. We earn a referral credit or commission when you sign up through these links; it never changes the price or the model. Disclosure.

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    Chiefs vs Rams β€” frequently asked

    Who is favored in Chiefs vs Rams, NFL Week 13 2026?

    Line held: Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Rams, NFL Week 13 2026. We don't publish a model line, lean or pick until both starting quarterbacks are confirmed, and one isn't yet. Updates after Friday's injury report.

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    After this one

    Chiefs: Week 14 at BengalsModel line β†’Rams: Week 14 at 49ersModel line β†’

    More Week 13 matchups

    Lions at FalconsLions βˆ’0.5Jaguars at BearsBears βˆ’1.5Bengals at BrownsBrowns βˆ’1Packers at SaintsPackers βˆ’349ers at GiantsGiants βˆ’0.5Chargers at BuccaneersBuccaneers βˆ’2.5Commanders at TitansevenEagles at CardinalsEagles βˆ’3.5Dolphins at BroncosBroncos βˆ’7Panthers at VikingsVikings βˆ’1Bills at PatriotsPatriots βˆ’3.5Texans at SteelersevenCowboys at SeahawksSeahawks βˆ’6

    Full Week 13 board β†’Next: NFL Week 14 predictions β†’

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