Sponsored by Polymarket US
Polymarket US 5-minute crypto markets: the 5-Minute Board
By Benny Ricciardi · prices refresh every 5 seconds · results update every window
Live: the current window, every coin
Bitcoin BTC
3:24Polymarket USPolymarketPartner · mid of 19¢ / 20¢, as of 1:01:30 PM ET
Ethereum ETH
3:24Polymarket USPolymarketPartner · mid of 14¢ / 26¢, as of 1:01:30 PM ET
Solana SOL
3:24Polymarket USPolymarketPartner · mid of 31¢ / 38¢, as of 1:01:30 PM ET
XRP XRP
3:24Polymarket USPolymarketPartner · mid of 14¢ / 19¢, as of 1:01:30 PM ET
Prices are our own snapshots of the Polymarket US order book (every 15 seconds, every 5 seconds in the final 90), refreshed on this page every 5 seconds. A price more than 60 seconds old reads “no current price.”
Sponsored by Polymarket US
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See https://polymarketexchange.com/files/legal/Polymarket%20US%20Rulebook%20(2026.09.30).pdf for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Results tape
Bitcoin: last 48 windows
Current run: 3 Down · longest today (ET): 10 Up8:55 AM to 12:50 PM ET windows, Oct 27, 2026. Newest on the right.
Ethereum: last 48 windows
Current run: 4 Down · longest today (ET): 9 Up8:55 AM to 12:50 PM ET windows, Oct 27, 2026. Newest on the right.
Solana: last 48 windows
Current run: 4 Down · longest today (ET): 7 Up8:55 AM to 12:50 PM ET windows, Oct 27, 2026. Newest on the right.
XRP: last 48 windows
Current run: 4 Down · longest today (ET): 8 Up8:55 AM to 12:50 PM ET windows, Oct 27, 2026. Newest on the right.
Base rates
How often each coin’s 5-minute windows settled Up in our ledger, overall and after three windows in a row went the same way. Every cell shows its number of windows; cells under 100 are greyed.
| Coin | Settled Up | Up after 3 Ups | Up after 3 Downs | Median move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 49.6% n 1,445 | 52.7% n 184 | 50.8% n 181 | 4.3 bp |
| Ethereum | 48.9% n 1,444 | 47.3% n 167 | 51.4% n 185 | 6.6 bp |
| Solana | 48.6% n 1,443 | 49.4% n 156 | 52.5% n 200 | 7.4 bp |
| XRP | 48.4% n 1,443 | 50.9% n 163 | 51.3% n 193 | 8.0 bp |
Move size
Bitcoin: how far a window moves
Median 4.3 bp · 90th percentile 13.8 bp · n 1,444
Ethereum: how far a window moves
Median 6.6 bp · 90th percentile 19.7 bp · n 1,442
Solana: how far a window moves
Median 7.4 bp · 90th percentile 21.5 bp · n 1,441
XRP: how far a window moves
Median 8.0 bp · 90th percentile 21.5 bp · n 1,440
The move between each window’s start and end values, in basis points (hundredths of a percent), from the values Polymarket US publishes on each closed market.
How the windows settle
Each window settles Up or Down against the value it started at, using the index and the measuring rule printed on that market’s Polymarket US page. The board links the current window for each coin.
The 15-minute version of the same coins, beside Kalshi’s: Polymarket US 15-minute markets. How Kalshi’s 15-minute windows settle: how Kalshi 15-minute markets settle.
More on short-window crypto markets
- Bitcoin 5-minute Up or Down: live price and results
- Ethereum 5-minute Up or Down: live price and results
- Solana 5-minute Up or Down: live price and results
- XRP 5-minute Up or Down: live price and results
- Polymarket US 15-minute markets, beside Kalshi
- Kalshi’s 15-minute series
- Crypto prediction markets
- How Kalshi 15-minute markets settle
- Where Polymarket US is available
Polymarket 5-minute markets — frequently asked
What are Polymarket 5-minute crypto markets?
They are Up or Down markets on Polymarket US for bitcoin, ether, solana and XRP. A new window opens every five minutes, 288 a day per coin, and each one asks whether the coin ends the window at or above where it started. Kalshi lists no 5-minute crypto markets.
How do Polymarket US 5-minute markets settle?
Each window settles Up or Down against the value it started at, using the index and the measuring rule printed on that market’s Polymarket US page. The board links the current window for each coin.
How often does bitcoin finish a 5-minute window Up?
In our ledger, 49.6% of 1,445 bitcoin 5-minute windows settled Up, from Oct 22, 2026 to Oct 27, 2026. Across all four coins the ledger holds 5,775 settled windows. Past results describe what happened; they do not predict the next window.
Do 5-minute windows run in streaks?
After three straight bitcoin Ups, the next window settled Up 52.7% of the time (n 184); after three straight Downs, 50.8% (n 181). The board counts only back-to-back windows and greys any cell with fewer than 100.
How big is a typical 5-minute move?
The median bitcoin window moved 4.3 bp between its start and end values, and one in ten moved more than 13.8 bp (n 1,444). A basis point is a hundredth of a percent. The coin pages show the full spread of move sizes.
Do 5-minute windows run around the clock?
Yes. Our ledger holds settled bitcoin 5-minute windows that started in every hour of the day, Eastern time, weekends included. Polymarket US opens the next window as each one closes; the board reads what is open right now rather than assuming a schedule.
Does Kalshi have 5-minute crypto markets?
No. Kalshi’s shortest crypto windows are 15 minutes. When a Polymarket US 5-minute window closes on a quarter hour, the board shows the Polymarket US 15-minute window and Kalshi’s 15-minute bitcoin window closing at the same minute beside it, for information.
Where do the prices on this page come from?
From our own snapshots of the Polymarket US public order book: every 15 seconds, and every 5 seconds in a window’s final 90 seconds. Every price shows the time it was read, and one more than 60 seconds old reads “no current price.” Results come from each closed market.
Where is Polymarket US available?
Polymarket US is available in every state except Nevada. Not available in all jurisdictions. State by state: predictionmarketspicks.com/polymarket-legal-us.
What does it cost to trade a 5-minute window?
Polymarket US: Taker fee 6.95% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max $1.74 per 100. That is about 1.74¢ a contract at a 50¢ price. The fee is charged at the fill, win or lose, before the spread. The live fee schedule is on Polymarket US.
Sponsored by Polymarket US
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See https://polymarketexchange.com/files/legal/Polymarket%20US%20Rulebook%20(2026.09.30).pdf for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Prices are our own snapshots of Polymarket US’s public order book; results and moves come from each closed market. This page makes no picks. Trade responsibly.