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POLITICSLive · updated every 5 min11 tradeable contracts

2028 Congressional Prediction Markets

Real-money positioning across the 2028 cycle — Senate races in 33 states, House seat-count distributions, governor races, and the next-Speaker contender ladder. All markets are on Kalshi and CFTC-regulated.

2028 Trifecta — House × Senate × Presidency

8 sweep scenarios

The single highest-volume political market on Kalshi. Each contract is a triplet of who wins each chamber and the White House. Democratic Sweep and Republican Sweep dominate the book — split scenarios price how strong the down-ballot counterweight is.

Next Speaker of the House

3 contenders

Multi-binary contender ladder. The market fairly heavily favors a single name, but the long-tail prices are where the operator alpha lives — every 1¢ move on a 14¢ contender is a 7% relative repricing.

How to Read These Markets

Price = ProbabilityA 72¢ Yes price means the market implies a 72% probability the event happens. If it does, the contract pays $1.
Open Interest = SkinOpen interest is how many contracts are currently held. Higher OI = more traders with capital at risk and a tighter book.
Volume = ConvictionLifetime contracts traded. Far-out cycles have low 24h volume but real lifetime volume — that’s the operator’s read on consensus.

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