Home/NFL/Week 13/Dolphins vs Broncos

Gridiron EdgeWeek 13 · 2026

Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos

Updated October 14, 2026 · model ratings

Line held — QB decision pending

Sunday, December 6, 2026 · Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO

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Win probability held until both starting quarterbacks are confirmed.

Run this matchup yourself → Full PWR board for all 32 → Player prop gaps for this game →

28%

Madden 27

72%

Madden 27

Run the numbers yourself

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The Ladder — Dolphins at Broncos

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Our margin distribution against every Kalshi spread strike listed for this game. A single line says we lean one way; the ladder says whether that is about the middle of the distribution or its tail.

Dolphins at BroncosSpreadQB HOLD

Kalshi has not listed a two-sided book on this ladder yet.

StrikeKalshi YES · 0–100¢Take itBooksGap

Market

—

The starting quarterback is not confirmed, so we publish no model number on this game. The market prices are shown as they are.

Legend

Kalshi YES mid, 0–100¢
book consensus (no-vig)
Oracle line (Pro) · hollow = outside the 30–70% band
YES/NO buttons are the Kalshi taker cost; “pays” is 100¢ ÷ cost.

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Gold is our distribution, parchment is the Kalshi contract at each strike; the band between them is green where our probability is higher and purple where it is lower. We publish our number only where we have measured it to be calibrated, between 30% and 70%; rungs outside that range show the market only, and a rung where our number sits more than 30 points from a liquid market is refused outright — a gap that size is a bug until proven otherwise. A contract pays $1 if it settles YES, so a price in cents is an implied probability. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0.

Dolphins at Broncos Kalshi spread ladder for Week 13: the Kalshi price at every spread strike — The Dolphins–Broncos spread ladder — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

Dolphins vs Broncos power ratings (Week 13)

TeamRatingRankTier

Miami Dolphins-4.631stBelow Avg

Denver Broncos+1.311thPlayoff

Dolphins and Broncos season outlook

MIADEN

Average wins4.110.3

Make playoffs2%71%

Win division1%42%

Win Super Bowl0.1%4.8%

10,000 simulated seasons on our preseason power ratings — real NFL tiebreakers, real 2026 schedule, no injuries or market prices. The season sim fits its own home-field (2.0 points, from played games); the game model above uses +2.5. How it works →

Line held until the starting QB is known

Line held: Miami Dolphins at Denver Broncos, NFL Week 13 2026. We don't publish a model line, lean or pick until both starting quarterbacks are confirmed, and one isn't yet. This updates the moment both starters are confirmed. Quarterback is the one input big enough to swamp every other term in a game line, so we don't post a number until we know who's throwing.

Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.

Dolphins vs Broncos on Kalshi

Kalshi event: KXNFLGAME-26DEC06MIADEN
Market-implied (Broncos): not listed yet
Our ratings line (Broncos): held — QB pending
Model vs market: —

Kalshi opens NFL game markets week by week and has not listed KXNFLGAME-26DEC06MIADEN yet, so there is no Kalshi price for this game to quote. When it opens, the model buys the Broncos at 64c or below, or the Dolphins at 26c or below — a 5-point threshold either way. The numbers above fill in on their own.

Every Kalshi NFL market we track →

Where Dolphins vs Broncos trades

Each venue’s own price where we have one; Robinhood and Coinbase resell the Kalshi contract. Home-side price shown.

Venue	Broncos	Trade
Kalshi	not listed on Kalshi yet — opens week of the game	Trade on Kalshi →
Novig	not yet listed on Novig — $25 credit on a $10 deposit through our link	Sign-up offer →
Polymarket	no captured price for this game — international book	Sign-up offer →
Polymarket US	no captured price for this game — US exchange	Sign-up offer →
Robinhoodsame Kalshi contract	same Kalshi contract, not listed yet	Open Robinhood →
Coinbasesame Kalshi contract	same Kalshi contract, not listed yet	Open Coinbase →
DraftKings Predictions	price not available — sign-up offer →	Sign-up offer →
FanDuel Predicts	price not available — sign-up offer →	Sign-up offer →
Fanatics Markets	price not available — sign-up offer →	Sign-up offer →

A price under a venue name is that venue’s own; Robinhood and Coinbase list the same Kalshi contract. DraftKings Predictions, FanDuel Predicts and Fanatics Markets run on exchanges we have no price feed for, so they carry an offer and no number. We earn a referral credit or commission when you sign up through these links; it never changes the price or the model. Disclosure.

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Watch the breakdown: Dolphins vs Broncos

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Dolphins vs Broncos — frequently asked

Who is favored in Dolphins vs Broncos, NFL Week 13 2026?

Trade this game on Kalshi →Broncos hub →Dolphins hub →Kalshi NFL hub →Week 13 edge board →NFL predictions hub →

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After this one

Dolphins: Week 14 vs BearsModel line →Broncos: Week 14 at JetsModel line →

More Week 13 matchups

Chiefs at RamsRams −8

Lions at FalconsLions −0.5

Jaguars at BearsBears −1.5

Bengals at BrownsBrowns −1

Packers at SaintsPackers −3

49ers at GiantsGiants −0.5

Chargers at BuccaneersBuccaneers −2.5

Commanders at Titanseven

Eagles at CardinalsEagles −3.5

Panthers at VikingsVikings −1

Bills at PatriotsPatriots −3.5

Texans at Steelerseven

Cowboys at SeahawksSeahawks −6

Full Week 13 board →Next: NFL Week 14 predictions →

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