San Francisco 49ers vs New York Giants
Sunday, December 6, 2026 · MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
49ers
49%
model win prob
Giants
51%
model win prob
Model line
Giants −0.5
Kalshi (Giants)
—
Edge
pending
Model favors the Giants — Kalshi market opens closer to kickoff
KXNFLGAME lists this game one to two weeks out. The model read above is live; the market column fills in automatically when the contract opens.
Power-rating comparison
The prediction-market read
In Week 13, the San Francisco 49ers travel to face the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ. Our DAEPA power-rating model rates the Giants 24th of 32 (Average tier, -1.3) and the 49ers 9th (Average tier, +1.0). After a 2.5-point home-field adjustment, the model lands on the Giants by 0.5 — a 51% win probability for the Giants.
Kalshi lists each game's winner market one to two weeks before kickoff, so the live price for this matchup isn't posted yet. When it opens we compare the implied probability to our 51% (Giants) / 49% (49ers) model split and flag any gap of five points or more as an edge.
Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.
49ers vs Giants — frequently asked
Who is favored in 49ers vs Giants in Week 13?
Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Giants by 0.5 points and gives them a 51% win probability over the 49ers. Kalshi lists the game's win market one to two weeks before kickoff; the model line above is live now.
What does the model project for 49ers vs Giants?
Home win probability 51% (Giants), away 49% (49ers). That comes from a power-rating differential of -2.2 plus 2.5 points home field, run through a Normal model (σ=13.5). The Giants rate 24th of 32 (Average tier), the 49ers 9th (Average tier).
Can you trade 49ers vs Giants on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists each NFL game's winner market (KXNFLGAME), typically one to two weeks before kickoff, to traders in all 50 states. You take a yes/no position on a team that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.
When and where do the Giants host the 49ers?
San Francisco 49ers visit the New York Giants on Sunday, December 6, 2026 in NFL Week 13, at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ.
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Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.