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Pierre Strong

RB · Green Bay Packers · bye week 11

This week on the boardNFL Week 6 predictions →NFL Week 7 predictions — early lines →Week 5 results →

Week 6 gamesSeahawks at BroncosTexans at JaguarsBears at FalconsRavens at BrownsTitans at ColtsJets at PatriotsSaints at GiantsPanthers at EaglesSteelers at BuccaneersCardinals at RamsChargers at ChiefsBills at RaidersCowboys at PackersCommanders at 49ers

BUST

Week 6 vs DAL — every Kalshi strike, the sportsbook consensus, and our model's call. Prediction-market props, priced in cents.

Our Week 6 projection for Pierre Strong, the Oracle calls on his Kalshi props, and the season range behind them. The draft-season read (ADP, value tag) sits at the bottom. Same numbers our model serves to AI assistants — free, no key.

Where the market has Pierre Strong this week

A gap between two venues is a price difference, not a recommendation. Prices move; the timestamp on each line is the clock it was read on.

The week's sharpest prop, across every player

One player here; the whole slate there. The largest model-vs-Kalshi prop gap live this week, refreshed every 5 minutes and free to embed.

The Ladder — Pierre Strong

All ladders →

Every Kalshi strike listed on this player beside the sportsbook consensus, with our probability marked at the strike we called.

Pierre StrongReceptionsMARKET READView 3+ rec on Kalshi →

Kalshi prices 3+ rec at 40¢. Where the Oracle line sits on each rung is Pro.

Market · 3+ rec
YES 40¢

Fewer than three strikes have both a two-sided Kalshi book and a model number inside our published 30–70% band, so there is no shape call here. The market prices are complete.

Oracle Ladders venue check

At 3+ rec Kalshi's NO costs 61¢, the books imply 59¢ — 1.5 points below the book read.

Legend
  • Kalshi YES mid, 0–100¢
  • book consensus (no-vig)
  • Oracle line (Pro) · hollow = outside the 30–70% band
  • YES/NO buttons are the Kalshi taker cost; “pays” is 100¢ ÷ cost.
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Gold is our distribution, parchment is the Kalshi contract at each strike; the band between them is green where our probability is higher and purple where it is lower. We publish our number only where we have measured it to be calibrated, between 30% and 70%; rungs outside that range show the market only, and a rung where our number sits more than 30 points from a liquid market is refused outright — a gap that size is a bug until proven otherwise. A contract pays $1 if it settles YES, so a price in cents is an implied probability. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0.

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Pierre Strong Kalshi prop ladder for Week 6: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus
Pierre Strong's headline Kalshi ladder this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

Embed this player’s prop ladder

A live card locked to Pierre Strong — the Kalshi price at every strike of his headline prop beside the sportsbook consensus — for a team blog, a fantasy newsletter or a player post. Free; the credit line is the only ask. No API key, no signup.

Every NFL prediction-market widget.

Article width · 560×300

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Pierre Strong Kalshi prop ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/players/pierre-strong?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-player-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Sidebar · 320×280

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Pierre Strong Kalshi prop ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/players/pierre-strong?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-player-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Prop market — every Kalshi strike

Full market board →
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for Pierre Strong with a two-sided book: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus at that strike, the gap in cents, and the cheapest venue per side. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
ContractKalshiConsensusGapBest priceTrade
3+ recGB v DAL39.5¢41.0%4bk-1.5¢over · Novig 40¢under · DK 59.8¢Kalshi →
anytime TDGB v DAL26.5¢—one-sidedover · Novig 28¢under · Kalshi 75.4¢Kalshi →
20+ rush ydsGB v DAL46.0¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · ProphetX 49.8¢Kalshi →
30+ rush ydsGB v DAL27.0¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · ProphetX 30.8¢Kalshi →
40+ rush ydsGB v DAL15.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 19¢Kalshi →

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents, read across two clocks — Kalshi as of Oct 16, 7:10 PM ET, books as of Oct 16, 5:15 PM ET. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

Draft-season read — 2026 projection, ADP and value

Projected points

64

3.7 per game

Consensus ADP

271

round 23

RB rank

RB70

model has him RB81

2026 range

10th pct 32·median 63·90th pct 109

Measured, not simulated. Our RB projections have landed inside this band 81% of the time against a 80% target, on the 2024-25 holdout. The median sits below the projection because most players lose time — the projection is an expected total, not the typical outcome.

The market drafts him 13 spots earlier than our board does at RB — we are lower on him than consensus.

Packers 2026 schedule

Team hub →

Week 1

at MIN

Week 2

at NYJ

Week 3

vs ATL

Week 4

at TB

Week 5

vs CHI

Week 6

vs DAL

Week 7

at DET

Week 8

vs CAR

Week 9

at NE

Week 10

vs MIN

Week 12

at LAR

Week 13

at NO

Week 14

vs BUF

Week 15

vs MIA

Week 16

at CHI

Week 17

vs HOU

Week 18

vs DET

Every game carries our model line against the live Kalshi contract price.

How this projection is built

Season projections come from our own usage model — target and carry share, efficiency and games played — then the published rank blends that model with consensus ADP at a weight fitted per position. The raw model loses to consensus ADP at every position, so the board leads with the blend and the disagreement is the content, not a claim that we are right.

The engine behind the game numbers grades at 59.6% straight up across 3,266 games (2013–2024). Those figures grade DAEPA, the underlying play-by-play model. Every published call is graded here.

Want the whole board? All 322 players are free — and any AI assistant can read them directly through our MCP server, with no key and no signup.

Questions about Pierre Strong

What are Pierre Strong's Kalshi props for Week 6?

As of Oct 16, 7:10 PM ET, Kalshi lists 5 strikes on Pierre Strong against DAL: 3+ rec at 39.5¢, 40+ rush yds at 15.5¢, 30+ rush yds at 27.0¢, anytime TD at 26.5¢. A Kalshi prop contract pays $1 if the threshold is cleared, so the price in cents is the market's implied probability. Every strike on this page carries the sportsbook consensus at the same threshold beside it.

Where is the best price on Pierre Strong 3+ rec?

As of Oct 16, 7:10 PM ET, the cheapest over is Novig at 40¢ (next best 40¢), and the cheapest under is DK at 59.8¢ (next best 61.2¢). Prices are per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks at their raw quote — so the two are directly comparable. Cheapest is not the same as correct: compare it to our model's probability for the same threshold before taking a position.

What is Pierre Strong's 2026 projection?

Pierre Strong projects 64 half-PPR points (3.7 per game) for 2026, against a consensus ADP of 271 (round 23). The page also carries a measured 10th–90th percentile range: it is the fitted distribution of actual-over-projected outcomes, holdout-validated, not a simulation.

How does a Kalshi player-prop contract pay out?

A Kalshi player-prop contract settles at $1 if the player clears the stated threshold and $0 if he does not, so the price in cents is the market’s implied probability of the threshold being cleared. Buying YES at 62¢ returns 38¢ per contract on a clear and loses 62¢ otherwise; buying NO at 38¢ is the mirror. Because both sides of a two-sided Kalshi book sum to about 100¢, no de-vigging is needed before comparing it to a model probability — a sportsbook price has to be de-vigged first.

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Projections as of 2026-10-16; ADP source composite. Fantasy projections are estimates, not predictions — trade and draft responsibly.