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MMA · Prediction MarketsPart of The 7 Oracles
Part of The 7 OraclesMMA Prediction Markets
PFL odds and predictions read straight off the prediction markets — the World Tournament “Road to $1M” hub plus every event card as a tale of the tape. Market-derived, never a fabricated price.
The 7 OraclesPMP · MMAPFL CharlotteFri, Aug 7Quick Answer
PredictionMarketsPicks covers PFL prediction markets — the PFL World Tournament "Road to $1M" odds hub plus 10 event cards rendered as a tale of the tape. Each bout flips to a live market-implied win probability and comma-free American odds the moment its Kalshi or Polymarket contract opens; no prices are shown before then.
Featured hub
PFL World Tournament — Road to $1M →
Eight single-elimination divisional brackets, $1 million to each champion. Live price-to-win futures as they list across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Upcoming PFL cards
PFLPFL x RIZIN Osaka — Thu, Sep 10
Super RIZIN.5: Shaidulloev vs. McKee
Kyocera Dome Osaka · Osaka · RIZIN.TV
Full card tale of the tape →PFLPFL Tampa — Sat, Aug 22
PFL Tampa: Cyborg vs. Vieira
Benchmark International Arena · Tampa, FL · ESPN / ESPN+
Full card tale of the tape →PFLPFL Charlotte — Fri, Aug 7
PFL Charlotte: Battle vs. Rosta
Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC · ESPN / ESPN App
Full card tale of the tape →This week on the market — UFC
UFC cards trade on both Kalshi and Polymarket. We read them here alongside our PFL coverage — same tale of the tape, same live market read.
PFL predictions — the graded record so far
Every PFL bout we've covered, settled against the official result and the de-vigged reference line that was on the board beforehand.
Cards graded
5
Bouts graded
45
Favourites
27-9
75% won
Priced at
73%
+2pp vs actual
Favourite = the side favoured by the de-vigged reference line, not a PredictionMarketsPicks position — we don't publish a graded MMA pick ledger, so this measures the market, not us. Bouts without a two-way line are excluded from the rates (36 of 45 graded bouts qualify).
PFL results — every graded card
PFLFinalPFL New York — Fri, Jul 31
PFL New York: Nurmagomedov vs. Colgan
UBS Arena · Long Island, New York · ESPN / ESPN App
✓ Usman Nurmagomedov def. Archie Colgan · KO (punches)
See the graded card →PFLFinalPFL Washington DC — Sat, Jul 25
PFL Washington DC: Jean vs. Rodriguez
CareFirst Arena · Washington, D.C. · ESPN / ESPN App
✓ Thad Jean def. Ernesto Rodriguez · TKO (punches)
See the graded card →PFLFinalPFL Austin — Sat, Jul 18
PFL Austin: Eblen vs. Kasanganay 2
Moody Center · Austin, Texas · ESPN2 / ESPN+
✓ Johnny Eblen def. Impa Kasanganay · KO
See the graded card →PFLFinalPFL MENA 10 — Fri, Jul 10
PFL MENA 10: No Fear, No Mercy
Boulevard City · Riyadh, Saudi Arabia · YouTube (free) & the PFL App
✓ Hattan Alsaif def. Dania Ouhachi · TKO (ground and pound)
See the graded card →PFLFinalPFL San Diego — Sat, Jun 27
PFL San Diego: McKee vs. Isbulaev
Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, California · ESPN2 / ESPN+
✓ AJ McKee def. Salamat Isbulaev · Unanimous decision
See the graded card →PFL prediction markets, explained
UFC terms dominate the prediction markets today, but PFL is wide open — and that's the opportunity. We read PFL cards straight off the markets: each fighter's price is the market-implied probability they win, quoted in cents and shown as comma-free American odds. Pick a card above for the full tale of the tape, or open the World Tournament hub for the Road-to-$1M futures.
Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.
MMA prediction markets — frequently asked
Where can you trade PFL and MMA prediction markets?
Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange open to traders in all 50 states, lists combat-fight contracts, and PFL fights have traded on Polymarket. These are prediction markets, not a sportsbook — you take a yes/no position on a fighter in a contract that settles at $1 or $0.
What does PredictionMarketsPicks cover for MMA?
The PFL World Tournament "Road to $1M" odds hub and every PFL event card as a tale of the tape — records, divisional ranks, the market favorite, a live market-implied win probability and comma-free American odds, plus a card scanner that summarizes what the market says across the whole slate.
How do prediction-market MMA odds work?
Each fighter's price is the market-implied probability they win, quoted in cents (a 69¢ contract implies a 69% chance) and shown as comma-free American odds. Unlike a sportsbook line, the contract settles at $1 if the fighter wins and $0 if they lose, so the price is the probability.
One email 48h before every PFL card, with the full market read. Nothing else.
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Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.