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Omarion Hampton

RB · Los Angeles Chargers · bye week 7

Week 6 vs KC — every Kalshi strike, the sportsbook consensus, and our model's call. Prediction-market props, priced in cents.

Our Week 6 projection for Omarion Hampton, the Oracle calls on his Kalshi props, and the season range behind them. The draft-season read (ADP, value tag) sits at the bottom. Same numbers our model serves to AI assistants — free, no key.

Where the market has Omarion Hampton this week

A gap between two venues is a price difference, not a recommendation. Prices move; the timestamp on each line is the clock it was read on.

Week 6 — how often he gets there

Every result Omarion Hampton could post this week, and the share of them that reach the listed number.

Rec Yds

Range only — this stat has no percentage we would stand behind.

10th 0·median 13·90th 66

Receptions

Range only — this stat has no percentage we would stand behind.

10th 0·median 2·90th 6

Rush Yds

Range only — this stat has no percentage we would stand behind.

10th 11·median 34·90th 97

The spread comes from how far actual results have landed from projections of this size, fitted on four seasons — not a simulation. Season and week figures are different vintages: the 2026 range elsewhere on this page is preseason, this block is Week 6.

The week's sharpest prop, across every player

One player here; the whole slate there. The largest model-vs-Kalshi prop gap live this week, refreshed every 5 minutes and free to embed.

The Ladder — Omarion Hampton

All ladders →

Every Kalshi strike listed on this player beside the sportsbook consensus, with our probability marked at the strike we called.

Omarion HamptonRush AttMARKET READView 10+ rush att on Kalshi →

Kalshi prices 10+ rush att at 53¢ — a coin flip. Where the Oracle line sits on each rung is Pro.

Market · 10+ rush att
YES 53¢

Fewer than three strikes have both a two-sided Kalshi book and a model number inside our published 30–70% band, so there is no shape call here. The market prices are complete.

Legend
  • Kalshi YES mid, 0–100¢
  • book consensus (no-vig)
  • Oracle line (Pro) · hollow = outside the 30–70% band
  • YES/NO buttons are the Kalshi taker cost; “pays” is 100¢ ÷ cost.
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Gold is our distribution, parchment is the Kalshi contract at each strike; the band between them is green where our probability is higher and purple where it is lower. We publish our number only where we have measured it to be calibrated, between 30% and 70%; rungs outside that range show the market only, and a rung where our number sits more than 30 points from a liquid market is refused outright — a gap that size is a bug until proven otherwise. A contract pays $1 if it settles YES, so a price in cents is an implied probability. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0.

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Omarion Hampton Kalshi prop ladder for Week 6: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus
Omarion Hampton's headline Kalshi ladder this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

Embed this player’s prop ladder

A live card locked to Omarion Hampton — the Kalshi price at every strike of his headline prop beside the sportsbook consensus — for a team blog, a fantasy newsletter or a player post. Free; the credit line is the only ask. No API key, no signup.

Every NFL prediction-market widget.

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Omarion Hampton Kalshi prop ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/players/omarion-hampton?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-player-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Omarion Hampton Kalshi prop ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/players/omarion-hampton?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-player-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Prop market — every Kalshi strike

Full market board →
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for Omarion Hampton with a two-sided book: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus at that strike, the gap in cents, and the cheapest venue per side. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
ContractKalshiConsensusGapBest priceTrade
30+ rush ydsLAC v KC55.5¢54.2%exch+1.3¢over · Novig 55.9¢under · Kalshi 46.7¢Kalshi →
anytime TDLAC v KC24.5¢24.6%exch-0.1¢over · Novig 25¢under · Kalshi 77.3¢Kalshi →
15+ rec ydsLAC v KC20.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 26.3¢Kalshi →
10+ rush attLAC v KC52.5¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
13+ rush attLAC v KC25.5¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
40+ rush ydsLAC v KC35.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · ProphetX 37.9¢under · Novig 64¢Kalshi →
50+ rush ydsLAC v KC21.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 24.2¢Kalshi →

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents, read across two clocks — Kalshi as of Oct 17, 7:10 AM ET, books as of Oct 17, 7:15 AM ET. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

Draft-season read — 2026 projection, ADP and value

Projected points

191

11.2 per game

Consensus ADP

16

round 2

RB rank

RB12

model has him RB17

2026 range

10th pct 95·median 189·90th pct 326

Measured, not simulated. Our RB projections have landed inside this band 81% of the time against a 80% target, on the 2024-25 holdout. The median sits below the projection because most players lose time — the projection is an expected total, not the typical outcome.

The market drafts him 2 spots earlier than our board does at RB — we are lower on him than consensus.

Chargers 2026 schedule

Team hub →

Every game carries our model line against the live Kalshi contract price.

How this projection is built

Season projections come from our own usage model — target and carry share, efficiency and games played — then the published rank blends that model with consensus ADP at a weight fitted per position. The raw model loses to consensus ADP at every position, so the board leads with the blend and the disagreement is the content, not a claim that we are right.

The engine behind the game numbers grades at 59.6% straight up across 3,266 games (2013–2024). Those figures grade DAEPA, the underlying play-by-play model. Every published call is graded here.

Want the whole board? All 322 players are free — and any AI assistant can read them directly through our MCP server, with no key and no signup.

Questions about Omarion Hampton

What are Omarion Hampton's Kalshi props for Week 6?

As of Oct 17, 7:10 AM ET, Kalshi lists 7 strikes on Omarion Hampton against KC: anytime TD at 24.5¢, 30+ rush yds at 55.5¢, 40+ rush yds at 35.5¢, 50+ rush yds at 21.5¢. A Kalshi prop contract pays $1 if the threshold is cleared, so the price in cents is the market's implied probability. Every strike on this page carries the sportsbook consensus at the same threshold beside it.

Where is the best price on Omarion Hampton anytime TD?

As of Oct 17, 7:10 AM ET, the cheapest over is Novig at 25¢ (next best 25.6¢), and the cheapest under is Kalshi at 77.3¢ (next best 77.5¢). Prices are per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks at their raw quote — so the two are directly comparable. Cheapest is not the same as correct: compare it to our model's probability for the same threshold before taking a position.

What is Omarion Hampton's 2026 projection?

Omarion Hampton projects 191 half-PPR points (11.2 per game) for 2026, against a consensus ADP of 16 (round 2). The page also carries a measured 10th–90th percentile range: it is the fitted distribution of actual-over-projected outcomes, holdout-validated, not a simulation.

How does a Kalshi player-prop contract pay out?

A Kalshi player-prop contract settles at $1 if the player clears the stated threshold and $0 if he does not, so the price in cents is the market’s implied probability of the threshold being cleared. Buying YES at 62¢ returns 38¢ per contract on a clear and loses 62¢ otherwise; buying NO at 38¢ is the mirror. Because both sides of a two-sided Kalshi book sum to about 100¢, no de-vigging is needed before comparing it to a model probability — a sportsbook price has to be de-vigged first.

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Projections as of 2026-10-16; ADP source composite. Fantasy projections are estimates, not predictions — trade and draft responsibly.