Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers
Sunday, September 13, 2026 · SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
Cardinals
35%
model win prob
Chargers
65%
model win prob
Model line
Chargers −5
Kalshi (Chargers)
—
Edge
pending
Model favors the Chargers — Kalshi market opens closer to kickoff
KXNFLGAME lists this game one to two weeks out. The model read above is live; the market column fills in automatically when the contract opens.
Power-rating comparison
The prediction-market read
In Week 1, the Arizona Cardinals travel to face the Los Angeles Chargers at SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA. Our DAEPA power-rating model rates the Chargers 14th of 32 (Average tier, +0.3) and the Cardinals 28th (Below Avg tier, -2.3). After a 2.5-point home-field adjustment, the model lands on the Chargers by 5 — a 65% win probability for the Chargers.
Kalshi lists each game's winner market one to two weeks before kickoff, so the live price for this matchup isn't posted yet. When it opens we compare the implied probability to our 65% (Chargers) / 35% (Cardinals) model split and flag any gap of five points or more as an edge.
Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.
Cardinals vs Chargers — frequently asked
Who is favored in Cardinals vs Chargers in Week 1?
Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Chargers by 5 points and gives them a 65% win probability over the Cardinals. Kalshi lists the game's win market one to two weeks before kickoff; the model line above is live now.
What does the model project for Cardinals vs Chargers?
Home win probability 65% (Chargers), away 35% (Cardinals). That comes from a power-rating differential of +2.5 plus 2.5 points home field, run through a Normal model (σ=13.5). The Chargers rate 14th of 32 (Average tier), the Cardinals 28th (Below Avg tier).
Can you trade Cardinals vs Chargers on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists each NFL game's winner market (KXNFLGAME), typically one to two weeks before kickoff, to traders in all 50 states. You take a yes/no position on a team that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.
When and where do the Chargers host the Cardinals?
Arizona Cardinals visit the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday, September 13, 2026 in NFL Week 1, at SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA.
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