Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens
Monday, November 16, 2026 · M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
Chargers
47%
model win prob
Ravens
53%
model win prob
Model line
Ravens −1
Kalshi (Ravens)
—
Edge
pending
Model favors the Ravens — Kalshi market opens closer to kickoff
KXNFLGAME lists this game one to two weeks out. The model read above is live; the market column fills in automatically when the contract opens.
Power-rating comparison
The prediction-market read
In Week 10, the Los Angeles Chargers travel to face the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD. Our DAEPA power-rating model rates the Ravens 23rd of 32 (Average tier, -1.1) and the Chargers 14th (Average tier, +0.3). After a 2.5-point home-field adjustment, the model lands on the Ravens by 1 — a 53% win probability for the Ravens.
Kalshi lists each game's winner market one to two weeks before kickoff, so the live price for this matchup isn't posted yet. When it opens we compare the implied probability to our 53% (Ravens) / 47% (Chargers) model split and flag any gap of five points or more as an edge.
Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.
Chargers vs Ravens — frequently asked
Who is favored in Chargers vs Ravens in Week 10?
Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Ravens by 1 points and gives them a 53% win probability over the Chargers. Kalshi lists the game's win market one to two weeks before kickoff; the model line above is live now.
What does the model project for Chargers vs Ravens?
Home win probability 53% (Ravens), away 47% (Chargers). That comes from a power-rating differential of -1.4 plus 2.5 points home field, run through a Normal model (σ=13.5). The Ravens rate 23rd of 32 (Average tier), the Chargers 14th (Average tier).
Can you trade Chargers vs Ravens on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists each NFL game's winner market (KXNFLGAME), typically one to two weeks before kickoff, to traders in all 50 states. You take a yes/no position on a team that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.
When and where do the Ravens host the Chargers?
Los Angeles Chargers visit the Baltimore Ravens on Monday, November 16, 2026 in NFL Week 10, at M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD.
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Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.