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Jacoby Brissett

QB · Arizona Cardinals · bye week 14

Week 6 vs LAR — every Kalshi strike, the sportsbook consensus, and our model's call. Prediction-market props, priced in cents.

Our Week 6 projection for Jacoby Brissett, the Oracle calls on his Kalshi props, and the season range behind them. The draft-season read (ADP, value tag) sits at the bottom. Same numbers our model serves to AI assistants — free, no key.

Where the market has Jacoby Brissett this week

A gap between two venues is a price difference, not a recommendation. Prices move; the timestamp on each line is the clock it was read on.

Week 6 — how often he gets there

Every result Jacoby Brissett could post this week, and the share of them that reach the listed number.

Rush Yds

Range only — this stat has no percentage we would stand behind.

10th 0·median 9·90th 59

The spread comes from how far actual results have landed from projections of this size, fitted on four seasons — not a simulation. Season and week figures are different vintages: the 2026 range elsewhere on this page is preseason, this block is Week 6.

The week's sharpest prop, across every player

One player here; the whole slate there. The largest model-vs-Kalshi prop gap live this week, refreshed every 5 minutes and free to embed.

The Ladder — Jacoby Brissett

All ladders →

Every Kalshi strike listed on this player beside the sportsbook consensus, with our probability marked at the strike we called.

Jacoby BrissettPass AttMARKET READView 38+ pass att on Kalshi →

Kalshi prices 38+ pass att at 48¢ — a coin flip. Where the Oracle line sits on each rung is Pro.

Market · 38+ pass att
YES 49¢

Fewer than three strikes have both a two-sided Kalshi book and a model number inside our published 30–70% band, so there is no shape call here. The market prices are complete.

Legend
  • Kalshi YES mid, 0–100¢
  • book consensus (no-vig)
  • Oracle line (Pro) · hollow = outside the 30–70% band
  • YES/NO buttons are the Kalshi taker cost; “pays” is 100¢ ÷ cost.
Go Pro · $150/yr, $111 your first year →
Jacoby BrissettCompletionsMARKET READView 24+ completions on Kalshi →

Kalshi prices 24+ completions at 50¢ — a coin flip. Where the Oracle line sits on each rung is Pro.

Market · 24+ completions
YES 50¢

Fewer than three strikes have both a two-sided Kalshi book and a model number inside our published 30–70% band, so there is no shape call here. The market prices are complete.

Legend
  • Kalshi YES mid, 0–100¢
  • book consensus (no-vig)
  • Oracle line (Pro) · hollow = outside the 30–70% band
  • YES/NO buttons are the Kalshi taker cost; “pays” is 100¢ ÷ cost.
Go Pro · $150/yr, $111 your first year →
Jacoby BrissettInterceptionsMARKET READView 1+ INTs on Kalshi →

Kalshi prices 1+ INTs at 56¢ — a coin flip. Where the Oracle line sits on each rung is Pro.

Market · 1+ INTs
YES 56¢

Fewer than three strikes have both a two-sided Kalshi book and a model number inside our published 30–70% band, so there is no shape call here. The market prices are complete.

Legend
  • Kalshi YES mid, 0–100¢
  • book consensus (no-vig)
  • Oracle line (Pro) · hollow = outside the 30–70% band
  • YES/NO buttons are the Kalshi taker cost; “pays” is 100¢ ÷ cost.
Go Pro · $150/yr, $111 your first year →

Gold is our distribution, parchment is the Kalshi contract at each strike; the band between them is green where our probability is higher and purple where it is lower. We publish our number only where we have measured it to be calibrated, between 30% and 70%; rungs outside that range show the market only, and a rung where our number sits more than 30 points from a liquid market is refused outright — a gap that size is a bug until proven otherwise. A contract pays $1 if it settles YES, so a price in cents is an implied probability. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0.

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Jacoby Brissett Kalshi prop ladder for Week 6: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus
Jacoby Brissett's headline Kalshi ladder this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

Embed this player’s prop ladder

A live card locked to Jacoby Brissett — the Kalshi price at every strike of his headline prop beside the sportsbook consensus — for a team blog, a fantasy newsletter or a player post. Free; the credit line is the only ask. No API key, no signup.

Every NFL prediction-market widget.

Article width · 560×300

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  src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/nfl-player-ladder/jacoby-brissett/hero"
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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Jacoby Brissett Kalshi prop ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/players/jacoby-brissett?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-player-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Sidebar · 320×280

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  title="Jacoby Brissett — model vs Kalshi — PredictionMarketsPicks">
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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Jacoby Brissett Kalshi prop ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/players/jacoby-brissett?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-player-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Prop market — every Kalshi strike

Full market board →
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for Jacoby Brissett with a two-sided book: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus at that strike, the gap in cents, and the cheapest venue per side. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
ContractKalshiConsensusGapBest priceTrade
10+ rush ydsARI v LAR48.5¢49.9%3bk·int-1.4¢over · Kalshi 50.8¢under · Kalshi 53.8¢Kalshi →
300+ pass ydsARI v LAR19.5¢21.0%exch-1.5¢over · Kalshi 21.1¢under · Kalshi 82.1¢Kalshi →
275+ pass ydsARI v LAR30.5¢31.3%exch-0.8¢over · Kalshi 32.5¢under · Kalshi 71.5¢Kalshi →
225+ pass ydsARI v LAR58.0¢58.4%exch-0.4¢over · Novig 60.5¢under · ProphetX 40¢Kalshi →
anytime TDARI v LAR10.5¢10.5%exch0.0¢over · Novig 10.5¢under · Novig 90¢Kalshi →
250+ pass ydsARI v LAR41.5¢41.5%exch0.0¢over · Novig 42.9¢under · Kalshi 60.7¢Kalshi →
33+ pass attARI v LAR73.5¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
38+ pass attARI v LAR48.0¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
43+ pass attARI v LAR24.5¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
19+ completionsARI v LAR80.5¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
24+ completionsARI v LAR49.5¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
1+ INTsARI v LAR55.5¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
2+ INTsARI v LAR20.0¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
1+ pass TDsARI v LAR76.5¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
2+ pass TDsARI v LAR40.5¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
3+ pass TDsARI v LAR15.0¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
175+ pass ydsARI v LAR81.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 83¢under · Kalshi 20.1¢Kalshi →
200+ pass ydsARI v LAR70.0¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 72.4¢under · Kalshi 32.5¢Kalshi →
325+ pass ydsARI v LAR12.0¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 13.8¢Kalshi →
350+ pass ydsARI v LAR6.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 8.5¢Kalshi →
375+ pass ydsARI v LAR5.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 6.4¢Kalshi →
15+ rush ydsARI v LAR34.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 37.6¢under · Kalshi 68.6¢Kalshi →
20+ rush ydsARI v LAR25.0¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · ProphetX 27¢Kalshi →
25+ rush ydsARI v LAR17.0¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 19¢under · Kalshi 84.9¢Kalshi →
30+ rush ydsARI v LAR9.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 10.6¢under · Kalshi 91.6¢Kalshi →

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents, read across two clocks — Kalshi as of Oct 18, 11:30 AM ET, books as of Oct 18, 11:15 AM ET. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

Draft-season read — 2026 projection, ADP and value

Projected points

281

16.5 per game

Consensus ADP

181

round 16

QB rank

QB26

model has him QB19

2026 range

10th pct 209·median 259·90th pct 373

Measured, not simulated. Our QB projections have landed inside this band 80% of the time against a 80% target, on the 2024-25 holdout. The median sits below the projection because most players lose time — the projection is an expected total, not the typical outcome.

Our board and the consensus market agree on him almost exactly at QB.

Cardinals 2026 schedule

Team hub →

Every game carries our model line against the live Kalshi contract price.

How this projection is built

Season projections come from our own usage model — target and carry share, efficiency and games played — then the published rank blends that model with consensus ADP at a weight fitted per position. The raw model loses to consensus ADP at every position, so the board leads with the blend and the disagreement is the content, not a claim that we are right.

The engine behind the game numbers grades at 59.6% straight up across 3,266 games (2013–2024). Those figures grade DAEPA, the underlying play-by-play model. Every published call is graded here.

Want the whole board? All 322 players are free — and any AI assistant can read them directly through our MCP server, with no key and no signup.

Questions about Jacoby Brissett

What are Jacoby Brissett's Kalshi props for Week 6?

As of Oct 18, 11:30 AM ET, Kalshi lists 25 strikes on Jacoby Brissett against LAR: 43+ pass att at 24.5¢, 38+ pass att at 48.0¢, 250+ pass yds at 41.5¢, 2+ pass TDs at 40.5¢. A Kalshi prop contract pays $1 if the threshold is cleared, so the price in cents is the market's implied probability. Every strike on this page carries the sportsbook consensus at the same threshold beside it.

What is Jacoby Brissett's 2026 projection?

Jacoby Brissett projects 281 half-PPR points (16.5 per game) for 2026, against a consensus ADP of 181 (round 16). The page also carries a measured 10th–90th percentile range: it is the fitted distribution of actual-over-projected outcomes, holdout-validated, not a simulation.

How does a Kalshi player-prop contract pay out?

A Kalshi player-prop contract settles at $1 if the player clears the stated threshold and $0 if he does not, so the price in cents is the market’s implied probability of the threshold being cleared. Buying YES at 62¢ returns 38¢ per contract on a clear and loses 62¢ otherwise; buying NO at 38¢ is the mirror. Because both sides of a two-sided Kalshi book sum to about 100¢, no de-vigging is needed before comparing it to a model probability — a sportsbook price has to be de-vigged first.

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Projections as of 2026-10-18; ADP source composite. Fantasy projections are estimates, not predictions — trade and draft responsibly.