Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Sunday, January 10, 2027 · M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD

Steelers

42%

model win prob

Ravens

58%

model win prob

Model line

Ravens −2.5

Kalshi (Ravens)

—

Edge

pending

Model favors the Ravens — Kalshi market opens closer to kickoff

KXNFLGAME lists this game one to two weeks out. The model read above is live; the market column fills in automatically when the contract opens.

Power-rating comparison

TeamRatingRankTier

Pittsburgh Steelers-1.325thAverage

Baltimore Ravens-1.123rdAverage

The prediction-market read

In Week 18, the Pittsburgh Steelers travel to face the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD. Our DAEPA power-rating model rates the Ravens 23rd of 32 (Average tier, -1.1) and the Steelers 25th (Average tier, -1.3). After a 2.5-point home-field adjustment, the model lands on the Ravens by 2.5 — a 58% win probability for the Ravens.

Kalshi lists each game's winner market one to two weeks before kickoff, so the live price for this matchup isn't posted yet. When it opens we compare the implied probability to our 58% (Ravens) / 42% (Steelers) model split and flag any gap of five points or more as an edge.

This is a AFC North divisional game — both teams meet twice in 2026, and division results carry the tiebreakers that decide the AFC North race. Track the full division on the AFC North hub.

Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.

Steelers vs Ravens — frequently asked

Who is favored in Steelers vs Ravens in Week 18?

Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Ravens by 2.5 points and gives them a 58% win probability over the Steelers. Kalshi lists the game's win market one to two weeks before kickoff; the model line above is live now.

What does the model project for Steelers vs Ravens?

Home win probability 58% (Ravens), away 42% (Steelers). That comes from a power-rating differential of +0.1 plus 2.5 points home field, run through a Normal model (σ=13.5). The Ravens rate 23rd of 32 (Average tier), the Steelers 25th (Average tier).

Can you trade Steelers vs Ravens on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists each NFL game's winner market (KXNFLGAME), typically one to two weeks before kickoff, to traders in all 50 states. You take a yes/no position on a team that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.