Skip to content
NFL EDGES

Live game edges — model vs. Kalshi, ranked

Gridiron Edge · 5-min refresh

COMBO EDGE

Correlation-aware Kalshi combos — free

SILVER EDGE

Options vs. Kalshi on weekly silver brackets

NFL 2026

Power rankings, futures & win totals — all 32 teams

Brandin Cooks

WR · San Francisco 49ers · bye week 8

NO-ADP

Week 5 vs SEA — every Kalshi strike, the sportsbook consensus, and our model's call. Prediction-market props, priced in cents.

Our Week 5 projection for Brandin Cooks, the Oracle calls on his Kalshi props, and the season range behind them. The draft-season read (ADP, value tag) sits at the bottom. Same numbers our model serves to AI assistants — free, no key.

Where the market has Brandin Cooks this week

A gap between two venues is a price difference, not a recommendation. Prices move; the timestamp on each line is the clock it was read on.

Week 5 — how often he gets there

Every result Brandin Cooks could post this week, and the share of them that reach the listed number.

Rec Yds

Range only — this stat has no percentage we would stand behind.

10th 0·median 12·90th 60

Receptions

Range only — this stat has no percentage we would stand behind.

10th 0·median 2·90th 4

The spread comes from how far actual results have landed from projections of this size, fitted on four seasons — not a simulation. Season and week figures are different vintages: the 2026 range elsewhere on this page is preseason, this block is Week 5.

The week's sharpest prop, across every player

One player here; the whole slate there. The largest model-vs-Kalshi prop gap live this week, refreshed every 5 minutes and free to embed.

Prop market — every Kalshi strike

Full market board →
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for Brandin Cooks with a two-sided book: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus at that strike, the gap in cents, and the cheapest venue per side. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
ContractKalshiConsensusGapBest priceTrade
anytime TDSF v SEA9.5¢—one-sidedover · Kalshi 11.7¢under · Kalshi 92.5¢Kalshi →

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents, read across two clocks — Kalshi as of Oct 8, 3:10 PM ET, books as of Oct 8, 3:15 PM ET. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

Draft-season read — 2026 projection, ADP and value

Projected points

67

4.0 per game

Consensus ADP

—

undrafted

WR rank

WR135

model has him WR134

2026 range

10th pct 31·median 61·90th pct 99

Measured, not simulated. Our WR projections have landed inside this band 78% of the time against a 80% target, on the 2024-25 holdout. The median sits below the projection because most players lose time — the projection is an expected total, not the typical outcome.

49ers 2026 schedule

Team hub →

Every game carries our model line against the live Kalshi contract price.

How this projection is built

Season projections come from our own usage model — target and carry share, efficiency and games played — then the published rank blends that model with consensus ADP at a weight fitted per position. The raw model loses to consensus ADP at every position, so the board leads with the blend and the disagreement is the content, not a claim that we are right.

The engine behind the game numbers grades at 59.6% straight up across 3,266 games (2013–2024). Those figures grade DAEPA, the underlying play-by-play model. Every published call is graded here.

Want the whole board? All 322 players are free — and any AI assistant can read them directly through our MCP server, with no key and no signup.

Questions about Brandin Cooks

What are Brandin Cooks's Kalshi props for Week 5?

As of Oct 8, 3:10 PM ET, Kalshi lists 1 strike on Brandin Cooks against SEA: anytime TD at 9.5¢. A Kalshi prop contract pays $1 if the threshold is cleared, so the price in cents is the market's implied probability. Every strike on this page carries the sportsbook consensus at the same threshold beside it.

Where is the best price on Brandin Cooks anytime TD?

As of Oct 8, 3:10 PM ET, the cheapest over is Kalshi at 11.7¢ (next best 11.9¢), and the cheapest under is Kalshi at 92.5¢ (next best 97¢). Prices are per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks at their raw quote — so the two are directly comparable. Cheapest is not the same as correct: compare it to our model's probability for the same threshold before taking a position.

What is Brandin Cooks's 2026 projection?

Brandin Cooks projects 67 half-PPR points (4.0 per game) for 2026. The page also carries a measured 10th–90th percentile range: it is the fitted distribution of actual-over-projected outcomes, holdout-validated, not a simulation.

How does a Kalshi player-prop contract pay out?

A Kalshi player-prop contract settles at $1 if the player clears the stated threshold and $0 if he does not, so the price in cents is the market’s implied probability of the threshold being cleared. Buying YES at 62¢ returns 38¢ per contract on a clear and loses 62¢ otherwise; buying NO at 38¢ is the mirror. Because both sides of a two-sided Kalshi book sum to about 100¢, no de-vigging is needed before comparing it to a model probability — a sportsbook price has to be de-vigged first.

More NFL Markets

Projections as of 2026-10-08; ADP source composite. Fantasy projections are estimates, not predictions — trade and draft responsibly.