Tennessee Titans vs Dallas Cowboys

Sunday, November 22, 2026 · AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX

Titans

29%

model win prob

Cowboys

71%

model win prob

Model line

Cowboys −7.5

Kalshi (Cowboys)

—

Edge

pending

Model favors the Cowboys — Kalshi market opens closer to kickoff

KXNFLGAME lists this game one to two weeks out. The model read above is live; the market column fills in automatically when the contract opens.

Power-rating comparison

TeamRatingRankTier

Tennessee Titans-4.132ndBelow Avg

Dallas Cowboys+0.911thAverage

The prediction-market read

In Week 11, the Tennessee Titans travel to face the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX. Our DAEPA power-rating model rates the Cowboys 11th of 32 (Average tier, +0.9) and the Titans 32nd (Below Avg tier, -4.1). After a 2.5-point home-field adjustment, the model lands on the Cowboys by 7.5 — a 71% win probability for the Cowboys.

Kalshi lists each game's winner market one to two weeks before kickoff, so the live price for this matchup isn't posted yet. When it opens we compare the implied probability to our 71% (Cowboys) / 29% (Titans) model split and flag any gap of five points or more as an edge.

Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.

Titans vs Cowboys — frequently asked

Who is favored in Titans vs Cowboys in Week 11?

Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Cowboys by 7.5 points and gives them a 71% win probability over the Titans. Kalshi lists the game's win market one to two weeks before kickoff; the model line above is live now.

What does the model project for Titans vs Cowboys?

Home win probability 71% (Cowboys), away 29% (Titans). That comes from a power-rating differential of +5.0 plus 2.5 points home field, run through a Normal model (σ=13.5). The Cowboys rate 11th of 32 (Average tier), the Titans 32nd (Below Avg tier).

Can you trade Titans vs Cowboys on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists each NFL game's winner market (KXNFLGAME), typically one to two weeks before kickoff, to traders in all 50 states. You take a yes/no position on a team that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.