Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers
Sunday, December 13, 2026 · Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
Rams
48%
model win prob
49ers
52%
model win prob
Model line
49ers −0.5
Kalshi (49ers)
—
Edge
pending
Model favors the 49ers — Kalshi market opens closer to kickoff
KXNFLGAME lists this game one to two weeks out. The model read above is live; the market column fills in automatically when the contract opens.
Power-rating comparison
The prediction-market read
In Week 14, the Los Angeles Rams travel to face the San Francisco 49ers at Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA. Our DAEPA power-rating model rates the 49ers 9th of 32 (Average tier, +1.0) and the Rams 2nd (Playoff tier, +2.9). After a 2.5-point home-field adjustment, the model lands on the 49ers by 0.5 — a 52% win probability for the 49ers.
Kalshi lists each game's winner market one to two weeks before kickoff, so the live price for this matchup isn't posted yet. When it opens we compare the implied probability to our 52% (49ers) / 48% (Rams) model split and flag any gap of five points or more as an edge.
This is a NFC West divisional game — both teams meet twice in 2026, and division results carry the tiebreakers that decide the NFC West race. Track the full division on the NFC West hub.
Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.
Rams vs 49ers — frequently asked
Who is favored in Rams vs 49ers in Week 14?
Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the 49ers by 0.5 points and gives them a 52% win probability over the Rams. Kalshi lists the game's win market one to two weeks before kickoff; the model line above is live now.
What does the model project for Rams vs 49ers?
Home win probability 52% (49ers), away 48% (Rams). That comes from a power-rating differential of -1.9 plus 2.5 points home field, run through a Normal model (σ=13.5). The 49ers rate 9th of 32 (Average tier), the Rams 2nd (Playoff tier).
Can you trade Rams vs 49ers on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists each NFL game's winner market (KXNFLGAME), typically one to two weeks before kickoff, to traders in all 50 states. You take a yes/no position on a team that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.
When and where do the 49ers host the Rams?
Los Angeles Rams visit the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday, December 13, 2026 in NFL Week 14, at Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA.
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Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.