Polymarket US NFL markets, priced beside Kalshi

Polymarket US lists a deep NFL board: every game’s moneyline, spreads and totals, hundreds of player props per game, season futures and the awards. This page puts the same contracts on Polymarket US and Kalshi side by side, with the cost to buy on each venue after fees — and links every game, prop and futures page that carries both.

Week 8 on Kalshi and Polymarket US

The market favorite to win each game on both venues · cost to buy after fees

No game this week is priced on both venues right now — games appear here once both list a two-sided book before kickoff. This week’s schedule →

Futures on both venues

The top five by Kalshi price · cost to buy after fees

Futures prices are being read. Pro Football champion on Kalshi and Polymarket US →

What Polymarket US lists for the NFL

Game lines

Moneyline, full-game and first-half spreads and totals on every game.

Player props

Receiving, rushing and passing yards, receptions, anytime and first TD, passing TDs and PPR fantasy points.

Season futures

Pro Football champion, conference and division winners, playoff qualifiers, #1 seeds and win totals.

Awards and leaders

MVP and the AP awards, season stat leaders, milestones and trade-deadline markets.

Fantasy markets on both venues

Both venues list contracts on fantasy points. They are different questions — a per-game line on Kalshi, weekly top scorers and season points-per-game finishes on Polymarket US — so they are listed here, not compared.

Fantasy listings are being read.

Every NFL page with both venues

Not every market we cover is listed on Polymarket US. Not every market is listed on both venues.

What is Polymarket US?

Polymarket US is a CFTC-regulated exchange with an order book. Every NFL contract settles at $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it does not, so the price in cents is the market-implied probability. It is a separate exchange from the international book, with its own order book and its own prices.

Polymarket.com (the international book) — US Users: Featured Trade Not Available; Informational Use Only.

Is it legal? How it works

Polymarket US operates as a CFTC-regulated exchange and clearinghouse, so its NFL event contracts are regulated federally as derivatives rather than as sports betting. Availability and sports-market access vary by state and are confirmed at sign-up. Kalshi is also CFTC-regulated and lists the NFL in most states, with sports contracts restricted in some. Where Polymarket US is available →

How the comparison works

Not every market is listed on both venues. A row pairs only the same question. Cost after fees is the ask plus each venue’s per-contract taker fee — Kalshi: Taker fee 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max 1.75¢. Polymarket US: Taker fee 6.95% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max $1.74 per 100. The best-price column needs a two-sided book on both venues; within 1¢ it reads Even. For US traders we still rate Kalshi first — it is the longest-standing CFTC-regulated exchange, lists the full NFL board in most states (sports contracts are restricted in some), and is the venue our DAEPA model prices against on the /nfl/kalshi hub.

Polymarket US NFL — frequently asked

What NFL markets does Polymarket US list?

Every game’s moneyline, full-game and first-half spreads and totals, and a deep player-prop menu — receiving, rushing and passing yards, receptions, anytime and first touchdown, passing touchdowns and PPR fantasy points — plus season futures (Pro Football champion, conference and division winners, playoff qualifiers, #1 seeds, win totals), the MVP and AP awards, season stat leaders and trade-deadline markets. The counts on this page come from Polymarket US’s own public listing.

Is a Polymarket US NFL contract the same as Kalshi’s?

Often, but not always, so we compare only the same question: the same team and line on a game, the same player, stat and threshold on a prop, the same club or person on a future. Where the two venues list different lines or different settlement dates, the market shows on one venue only and gets no comparison.

How do you compare prices across the two venues?

By the cost to buy: the ask plus each venue’s per-contract taker fee, from each venue’s published fee schedule. The cheaper venue is named only when both books are two-sided and tight enough to be a price; within 1¢ it reads Even. A price older than its freshness limit shows as no current price.

Where is Polymarket US available?

Polymarket US is available in every state except Nevada. Not available in all jurisdictions; sports markets are restricted in some states. Our availability page has the state-by-state detail.

Does PredictionMarketsPicks get paid by Polymarket?

Yes. PredictionMarketsPicks is a paid Polymarket partner, and the Polymarket US links on this page are partner links. Prices are shown for information; the comparison rules are the same whichever venue is cheaper.

Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Market availability varies by platform and state and changes frequently — verify on the platform. Prices are shown for information. Trade responsibly.