Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets
Sunday, November 1, 2026 · MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Raiders
41%
model win prob
Jets
59%
model win prob
Model line
Jets −3
Kalshi (Jets)
—
Edge
pending
Model favors the Jets — Kalshi market opens closer to kickoff
KXNFLGAME lists this game one to two weeks out. The model read above is live; the market column fills in automatically when the contract opens.
Power-rating comparison
The prediction-market read
In Week 8, the Las Vegas Raiders travel to face the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ. Our DAEPA power-rating model rates the Jets 29th of 32 (Below Avg tier, -2.3) and the Raiders 31st (Below Avg tier, -2.9). After a 2.5-point home-field adjustment, the model lands on the Jets by 3 — a 59% win probability for the Jets.
Kalshi lists each game's winner market one to two weeks before kickoff, so the live price for this matchup isn't posted yet. When it opens we compare the implied probability to our 59% (Jets) / 41% (Raiders) model split and flag any gap of five points or more as an edge.
Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.
Raiders vs Jets — frequently asked
Who is favored in Raiders vs Jets in Week 8?
Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Jets by 3 points and gives them a 59% win probability over the Raiders. Kalshi lists the game's win market one to two weeks before kickoff; the model line above is live now.
What does the model project for Raiders vs Jets?
Home win probability 59% (Jets), away 41% (Raiders). That comes from a power-rating differential of +0.6 plus 2.5 points home field, run through a Normal model (σ=13.5). The Jets rate 29th of 32 (Below Avg tier), the Raiders 31st (Below Avg tier).
Can you trade Raiders vs Jets on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists each NFL game's winner market (KXNFLGAME), typically one to two weeks before kickoff, to traders in all 50 states. You take a yes/no position on a team that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.
When and where do the Jets host the Raiders?
Las Vegas Raiders visit the New York Jets on Sunday, November 1, 2026 in NFL Week 8, at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ.
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Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.