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Xavier Worthy

WR · Kansas City Chiefs · bye week 5

This week on the boardNFL Week 6 predictions →NFL Week 7 predictions — early lines →Week 5 results →

Week 6 gamesSeahawks at BroncosTexans at JaguarsBears at FalconsRavens at BrownsTitans at ColtsJets at PatriotsSaints at GiantsPanthers at EaglesSteelers at BuccaneersCardinals at RamsChargers at ChiefsBills at RaidersCowboys at PackersCommanders at 49ers

Week 6 vs LAC — every Kalshi strike, the sportsbook consensus, and our model's call. Prediction-market props, priced in cents.

Our Week 6 projection for Xavier Worthy, the Oracle calls on his Kalshi props, and the season range behind them. The draft-season read (ADP, value tag) sits at the bottom. Same numbers our model serves to AI assistants — free, no key.

Where the market has Xavier Worthy this week

A gap between two venues is a price difference, not a recommendation. Prices move; the timestamp on each line is the clock it was read on.

Week 6 — how often he gets there

Every result Xavier Worthy could post this week, and the share of them that reach the listed number.

Rec Yds

Range only — this stat has no percentage we would stand behind.

10th 10·median 30·90th 83

Receptions

Range only — this stat has no percentage we would stand behind.

10th 2·median 3·90th 7

The spread comes from how far actual results have landed from projections of this size, fitted on four seasons — not a simulation. Season and week figures are different vintages: the 2026 range elsewhere on this page is preseason, this block is Week 6.

The week's sharpest prop, across every player

One player here; the whole slate there. The largest model-vs-Kalshi prop gap live this week, refreshed every 5 minutes and free to embed.

The Ladder — Xavier Worthy

All ladders →

Every Kalshi strike listed on this player beside the sportsbook consensus, with our probability marked at the strike we called.

Xavier WorthyReceptionsMARKET READView 5+ rec on Kalshi →

Kalshi prices 5+ rec at 48¢ — a coin flip. Where the Oracle line sits on each rung is Pro.

Market · 5+ rec
YES 48¢

Fewer than three strikes have both a two-sided Kalshi book and a model number inside our published 30–70% band, so there is no shape call here. The market prices are complete.

Oracle Ladders venue check

At 5+ rec Kalshi's NO costs 53¢, the books imply 52¢ — 0.6 points below the book read.

Legend
  • Kalshi YES mid, 0–100¢
  • book consensus (no-vig)
  • Oracle line (Pro) · hollow = outside the 30–70% band
  • YES/NO buttons are the Kalshi taker cost; “pays” is 100¢ ÷ cost.
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Gold is our distribution, parchment is the Kalshi contract at each strike; the band between them is green where our probability is higher and purple where it is lower. We publish our number only where we have measured it to be calibrated, between 30% and 70%; rungs outside that range show the market only, and a rung where our number sits more than 30 points from a liquid market is refused outright — a gap that size is a bug until proven otherwise. A contract pays $1 if it settles YES, so a price in cents is an implied probability. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0.

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Xavier Worthy Kalshi prop ladder for Week 6: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus
Xavier Worthy's headline Kalshi ladder this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

Embed this player’s prop ladder

A live card locked to Xavier Worthy — the Kalshi price at every strike of his headline prop beside the sportsbook consensus — for a team blog, a fantasy newsletter or a player post. Free; the credit line is the only ask. No API key, no signup.

Every NFL prediction-market widget.

Article width · 560×300

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Xavier Worthy Kalshi prop ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/players/xavier-worthy?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-player-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Sidebar · 320×280

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Xavier Worthy Kalshi prop ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/players/xavier-worthy?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-player-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Prop market — every Kalshi strike

Full market board →
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for Xavier Worthy with a two-sided book: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus at that strike, the gap in cents, and the cheapest venue per side. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
ContractKalshiConsensusGapBest priceTrade
5+ recKC v LAC47.5¢48.1%6bk-0.6¢over · DK 48.1¢under · ProphetX 52.8¢Kalshi →
50+ rec ydsKC v LAC50.0¢49.6%4bk+0.4¢over · Novig 51¢under · ProphetX 51.7¢Kalshi →
60+ rec ydsKC v LAC37.5¢37.2%exch+0.3¢over · FD 39.7¢under · Kalshi 65.6¢Kalshi →
anytime TDKC v LAC35.5¢—one-sidedover · Kalshi 37.6¢under · Novig 66¢Kalshi →
2+ TDsKC v LAC6.5¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
40+ rec ydsKC v LAC61.0¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Fanatics 63¢under · Kalshi 42.7¢Kalshi →
70+ rec ydsKC v LAC27.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 30.4¢under · Kalshi 75.4¢Kalshi →
80+ rec ydsKC v LAC19.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · ProphetX 22¢Kalshi →
4+ recKC v LAC65.0¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 67.6¢under · Kalshi 37.6¢Kalshi →

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents, read across two clocks — Kalshi as of Oct 16, 10:10 PM ET, books as of Oct 16, 9:15 PM ET. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

Draft-season read — 2026 projection, ADP and value

Projected points

145

8.5 per game

Consensus ADP

124

round 11

WR rank

WR49

model has him WR53

2026 range

10th pct 67·median 131·90th pct 213

Measured, not simulated. Our WR projections have landed inside this band 78% of the time against a 80% target, on the 2024-25 holdout. The median sits below the projection because most players lose time — the projection is an expected total, not the typical outcome.

The market drafts him 4 spots earlier than our board does at WR — we are lower on him than consensus.

Chiefs 2026 schedule

Team hub →

Week 1

vs DEN

Week 2

vs IND

Week 3

at MIA

Week 4

at LV

Week 6

vs LAC

Week 7

at SEA

Week 8

at DEN

Week 9

vs NYJ

Week 10

at ATL

Week 11

vs ARI

Week 12

at BUF

Week 13

at LAR

Week 14

at CIN

Week 15

vs NE

Week 16

vs SF

Week 17

at LAC

Week 18

vs LV

Every game carries our model line against the live Kalshi contract price.

How this projection is built

Season projections come from our own usage model — target and carry share, efficiency and games played — then the published rank blends that model with consensus ADP at a weight fitted per position. The raw model loses to consensus ADP at every position, so the board leads with the blend and the disagreement is the content, not a claim that we are right.

The engine behind the game numbers grades at 59.6% straight up across 3,266 games (2013–2024). Those figures grade DAEPA, the underlying play-by-play model. Every published call is graded here.

Want the whole board? All 322 players are free — and any AI assistant can read them directly through our MCP server, with no key and no signup.

Questions about Xavier Worthy

What are Xavier Worthy's Kalshi props for Week 6?

As of Oct 16, 10:10 PM ET, Kalshi lists 9 strikes on Xavier Worthy against LAC: 50+ rec yds at 50.0¢, anytime TD at 35.5¢, 2+ TDs at 6.5¢, 4+ rec at 65.0¢. A Kalshi prop contract pays $1 if the threshold is cleared, so the price in cents is the market's implied probability. Every strike on this page carries the sportsbook consensus at the same threshold beside it.

Where is the best price on Xavier Worthy 50+ rec yds?

As of Oct 16, 10:10 PM ET, the cheapest over is Novig at 51¢ (next best 51.2¢), and the cheapest under is ProphetX at 51.7¢ (next best 51.9¢). Prices are per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks at their raw quote — so the two are directly comparable. Cheapest is not the same as correct: compare it to our model's probability for the same threshold before taking a position.

What is Xavier Worthy's 2026 projection?

Xavier Worthy projects 145 half-PPR points (8.5 per game) for 2026, against a consensus ADP of 124 (round 11). The page also carries a measured 10th–90th percentile range: it is the fitted distribution of actual-over-projected outcomes, holdout-validated, not a simulation.

How does a Kalshi player-prop contract pay out?

A Kalshi player-prop contract settles at $1 if the player clears the stated threshold and $0 if he does not, so the price in cents is the market’s implied probability of the threshold being cleared. Buying YES at 62¢ returns 38¢ per contract on a clear and loses 62¢ otherwise; buying NO at 38¢ is the mirror. Because both sides of a two-sided Kalshi book sum to about 100¢, no de-vigging is needed before comparing it to a model probability — a sportsbook price has to be de-vigged first.

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Projections as of 2026-10-16; ADP source composite. Fantasy projections are estimates, not predictions — trade and draft responsibly.