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Prediction MarketsNovig · NFL · CFTC-regulated sports exchange

Novig NFL Prediction Markets — How They Work

Novig is the only venue on this board built for one thing: sports. It is a CFTC-designated contract market (since August 4, 2026) where traders set the price against each other — there is no house line and no vig baked into the contract — and it runs in-play markets on every NFL game. Its prices sit beside Kalshi and Polymarket on every matchup page we publish.

What is Novig?

Novig is a peer-to-peer exchange: a contract on an NFL outcome pays $1 if it happens, and the price is where a buyer and a seller meet, not a number a house sets. That is why Novig quotes read as a plain probability with no vig to strip out — the same reason Kalshi prices do — and why we can compare its number directly with ours. It is sports-only, 21+ by choice, and available in most states; the app confirms yours at sign-up.

NFL markets on Novig

Moneylines, spreads and totals

Every NFL game, priced peer-to-peer with no house line.

In-play contracts

Live markets through the game — the feature the other venues on this board mostly lack.

Player props

Same peer-to-peer book; coverage builds through the week.

Novig vs Kalshi: this week's NFL player props, same line, two prices

Updated Sep 11, 9:00 PM ET

This week’s NFL player-prop strikes that both venues price, ranked by how far apart they are. Every number is the venue’s own: a Kalshi mid, a sportsbook’s own line read at that strike, an exchange’s raw quote. The right-hand column is where the cheaper price for each side actually sits, in cents per $1 of payout, Kalshi net of its fee.

Novig vs Kalshi: this week's NFL player props, same line, two prices — P(over) as each venue prices the same Kalshi strike, the difference in points, and the cheapest venue for each side
Player · propKalshiNovigGapBest priceTrade
Bijan Robinson40+ rush ydsATL v PIT86.5%27.5%+59.0ppover · DraftKings line 19.4¢ (next 23.8¢)Kalshi · Novig
Bijan Robinson60+ rush ydsATL v PIT67.0%14.0%+53.0ppover · DraftKings line 6.8¢ (next 9.5¢)Kalshi · Novig
Michael Mayer3+ recLV v MIA80.5%40.5%+40.0ppover · Novig 40.5¢ (next 41.7¢)under · Kalshi 21.1¢ (next 37¢)Kalshi · Novig
Michael Mayer4+ recLV v MIA64.5%25.0%+39.5ppover · Novig 25¢ (next 66.6¢)Kalshi · Novig
Michael Mayer40+ rec ydsLV v MIA52.5%20.5%+32.0ppover · Novig 20.5¢ (next 52.8¢)under · ProphetX 48.3¢ (next 49.8¢)Kalshi · Novig
MarShawn Lloyd40+ rush ydsGB v MIN54.0%78.5%-24.5ppover · DraftKings line 56.3¢ (next 57.7¢)Kalshi · Novig
Brock Bowers4+ recLV v MIA63.5%87.5%-24.0ppover · Kalshi 65.6¢ (next 87.5¢)Kalshi · Novig
Jalen Nailor3+ recLV v MIA60.5%39.5%+21.0ppover · Novig 39.5¢ (next 62.7¢)Kalshi · Novig
Jalen Nailor4+ recLV v MIA41.0%23.0%+18.0ppover · Novig 23¢ (next 43.5¢)under · ProphetX 60¢ (next 61.7¢)Kalshi · Novig
Travis Etienne Jr.4+ recNO v DET28.0%45.5%-17.5ppover · ESPN Bet line 32.3¢ (next 32.5¢)Kalshi · Novig

Full board: 1,744 priced prop strikes this week →Prices are informational; verify the contract before trading.

Is it legal? How it works

Novig operates as a CFTC-designated contract market, the same federal status Kalshi holds, so its NFL contracts are regulated event contracts rather than state-licensed sports betting. Until August 2026 it ran a sweepstakes model with a DCM application pending; that is over. Where it is not yet available, the app says so at sign-up.

How it compares to Kalshi

Kalshi is where we price every edge and it lists far more than football — economics, politics, weather, all 50 states. Novig is narrower and, for a reader who only cares about games, arguably sharper: no house edge, in-play pricing and a peer-to-peer book that tends to sit close to the consensus. The matchup pages show both prices side by side so you can see where they disagree; the sign-up credit is $25 on a $10 deposit through our link.

Novig NFL — frequently asked

Is Novig a prediction market or a sportsbook?

A prediction market. Novig is a CFTC-designated contract market where traders buy and sell contracts on NFL outcomes from each other. There is no house setting a line and no vig built into the price — a contract at 60 cents is a 60% implied probability, settling at $1 or $0.

Is Novig legal, and which states can use it?

Novig has been a CFTC-designated contract market since August 4, 2026, so its contracts are federally regulated event contracts, not state-licensed sports betting. It is available in most states and is 21+ by choice; the app confirms your state at sign-up rather than us guessing a count.

Is there a Novig promo or referral code?

Novig’s referral program is link-based: sign up through our link, verify, and deposit at least $10 to receive $25 in trade credits. Our referral code is C92909 if you are asked for one in the app, but the link is what applies it.

Novig vs Kalshi for NFL — which should I use?

Kalshi lists more markets, works in all 50 states and is where our model prices every edge. Novig is sports-only, peer-to-peer with no house edge, and has in-play pricing. Our matchup pages show the Kalshi and Novig prices for the same game side by side; if you only trade games and want to avoid vig, Novig is worth a look.

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Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Market availability varies by platform and state and changes frequently — verify on the platform. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.