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Wan'Dale Robinson

WR · Tennessee Titans · bye week 9

SLEEPER

Week 6 vs IND — every Kalshi strike, the sportsbook consensus, and our model's call. Prediction-market props, priced in cents.

Our Week 6 projection for Wan'Dale Robinson, the Oracle calls on his Kalshi props, and the season range behind them. The draft-season read (ADP, value tag) sits at the bottom. Same numbers our model serves to AI assistants — free, no key.

Where the market has Wan'Dale Robinson this week

A gap between two venues is a price difference, not a recommendation. Prices move; the timestamp on each line is the clock it was read on.

Week 6 — how often he gets there

Every result Wan'Dale Robinson could post this week, and the share of them that reach the listed number.

Rec Yds

Range only — this stat has no percentage we would stand behind.

10th 14·median 42·90th 118

Receptions

70%of outcomes reach 4+ receptions

10th 2·median 5·90th 10

Flagged WATCH — our input on this one is provenance-limited or contradicted by news, and it is graded separately.

The spread comes from how far actual results have landed from projections of this size, fitted on four seasons — not a simulation. Season and week figures are different vintages: the 2026 range elsewhere on this page is preseason, this block is Week 6.

Oracle prop calls

Full prop board →
YES 4+ receptionsover 3.5MODERATEWatch
Market
61¢
Kalshi · reaches 4+
PMP Model
🔒
Pro
Divergence
🔒
Pro

Market is the Kalshi price of the side we are calling; the model figure is our probability of that same outcome; divergence is the gap between them in percentage points. A contract pays $1 if it settles YES, so a price in cents is an implied probability. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0.

The week's sharpest prop, across every player

One player here; the whole slate there. The largest model-vs-Kalshi prop gap live this week, refreshed every 5 minutes and free to embed.

The Ladder — Wan'Dale Robinson

All ladders →

Every Kalshi strike listed on this player beside the sportsbook consensus, with our probability marked at the strike we called.

Wan'Dale RobinsonReceptionsMARKET READView 5+ rec on Kalshi →

Kalshi prices 5+ rec at 45¢ — a coin flip. Where the Oracle line sits on each rung is Pro.

Market · 5+ rec
YES 45¢

Fewer than three strikes have both a two-sided Kalshi book and a model number inside our published 30–70% band, so there is no shape call here. The market prices are complete.

Oracle Ladders venue check

At 5+ rec Kalshi's NO costs 56¢, the books imply 55¢ — 0.7 points below the book read.

Legend
  • Kalshi YES mid, 0–100¢
  • book consensus (no-vig)
  • Oracle line (Pro) · hollow = outside the 30–70% band
  • YES/NO buttons are the Kalshi taker cost; “pays” is 100¢ ÷ cost.
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Gold is our distribution, parchment is the Kalshi contract at each strike; the band between them is green where our probability is higher and purple where it is lower. We publish our number only where we have measured it to be calibrated, between 30% and 70%; rungs outside that range show the market only, and a rung where our number sits more than 30 points from a liquid market is refused outright — a gap that size is a bug until proven otherwise. A contract pays $1 if it settles YES, so a price in cents is an implied probability. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0.

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Wan'Dale Robinson Kalshi prop ladder for Week 6: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus
Wan'Dale Robinson's headline Kalshi ladder this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

Embed this player’s prop ladder

A live card locked to Wan'Dale Robinson — the Kalshi price at every strike of his headline prop beside the sportsbook consensus — for a team blog, a fantasy newsletter or a player post. Free; the credit line is the only ask. No API key, no signup.

Every NFL prediction-market widget.

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Wan'Dale Robinson Kalshi prop ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/players/wandale-robinson?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-player-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Wan'Dale Robinson Kalshi prop ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/players/wandale-robinson?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-player-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Prop market — every Kalshi strike

Full market board →
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for Wan'Dale Robinson with a two-sided book: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus at that strike, the gap in cents, and the cheapest venue per side. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
ContractKalshiConsensusGapBest priceTrade
40+ rec ydsTEN v IND47.5¢48.7%4bk-1.2¢over · Novig 49¢under · Novig 52.6¢Kalshi →
5+ recTEN v IND44.5¢45.2%5bk-0.7¢over · ProphetX 45¢under · Novig 55.9¢Kalshi →
4+ recTEN v IND60.0¢60.1%3bk-0.1¢over · ProphetX 62.4¢under · Novig 42¢Kalshi →
80+ rec ydsTEN v IND10.0¢12.3%exch-2.3¢over · Kalshi 11.7¢under · Novig 91.5¢Kalshi →
50+ rec ydsTEN v IND34.5¢33.9%exch+0.6¢over · ProphetX 35¢under · Kalshi 67.6¢Kalshi →
anytime TDTEN v IND18.5¢—one-sidedover · FD 20¢under · Novig 82¢Kalshi →
60+ rec ydsTEN v IND23.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 25.3¢under · Kalshi 78.2¢Kalshi →
70+ rec ydsTEN v IND16.0¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 18¢under · Kalshi 85.9¢Kalshi →

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents, read across two clocks — Kalshi as of Oct 17, 12:10 AM ET, books as of Oct 17, 12:15 AM ET. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

Draft-season read — 2026 projection, ADP and value

Projected points

194

11.4 per game

Consensus ADP

120

round 10

WR rank

WR35

model has him WR22

2026 range

10th pct 91·median 177·90th pct 287

Measured, not simulated. Our WR projections have landed inside this band 78% of the time against a 80% target, on the 2024-25 holdout. The median sits below the projection because most players lose time — the projection is an expected total, not the typical outcome.

The market drafts him 9 spots later than our board does at WR. That gap is why he carries a value tag.

Titans 2026 schedule

Team hub →

Every game carries our model line against the live Kalshi contract price.

How this projection is built

Season projections come from our own usage model — target and carry share, efficiency and games played — then the published rank blends that model with consensus ADP at a weight fitted per position. The raw model loses to consensus ADP at every position, so the board leads with the blend and the disagreement is the content, not a claim that we are right.

The engine behind the game numbers grades at 59.6% straight up across 3,266 games (2013–2024). Those figures grade DAEPA, the underlying play-by-play model. Every published call is graded here.

Want the whole board? All 322 players are free — and any AI assistant can read them directly through our MCP server, with no key and no signup.

Questions about Wan'Dale Robinson

What are Wan'Dale Robinson's Kalshi props for Week 6?

As of Oct 17, 12:10 AM ET, Kalshi lists 8 strikes on Wan'Dale Robinson against IND: anytime TD at 18.5¢, 40+ rec yds at 47.5¢, 4+ rec at 60.0¢, 5+ rec at 44.5¢. A Kalshi prop contract pays $1 if the threshold is cleared, so the price in cents is the market's implied probability. Every strike on this page carries the sportsbook consensus at the same threshold beside it.

Where is the best price on Wan'Dale Robinson anytime TD?

As of Oct 17, 12:10 AM ET, the cheapest over is FD at 20¢ (next best 20.1¢), and the cheapest under is Novig at 82¢ (next best 83¢). Prices are per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks at their raw quote — so the two are directly comparable. Cheapest is not the same as correct: compare it to our model's probability for the same threshold before taking a position.

What is Wan'Dale Robinson's 2026 projection?

Wan'Dale Robinson projects 194 half-PPR points (11.4 per game) for 2026, against a consensus ADP of 120 (round 10). The page also carries a measured 10th–90th percentile range: it is the fitted distribution of actual-over-projected outcomes, holdout-validated, not a simulation.

How does a Kalshi player-prop contract pay out?

A Kalshi player-prop contract settles at $1 if the player clears the stated threshold and $0 if he does not, so the price in cents is the market’s implied probability of the threshold being cleared. Buying YES at 62¢ returns 38¢ per contract on a clear and loses 62¢ otherwise; buying NO at 38¢ is the mirror. Because both sides of a two-sided Kalshi book sum to about 100¢, no de-vigging is needed before comparing it to a model probability — a sportsbook price has to be de-vigged first.

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Projections as of 2026-10-16; ADP source composite. Fantasy projections are estimates, not predictions — trade and draft responsibly.