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Home/NFL/Week 2/Eagles vs Titans
Gridiron EdgeWeek 2 · 2026

Philadelphia Eagles 24, Tennessee Titans 20

Final. Titans' next game: Titans vs Bengals, Week 8 →

Updated · model ratings

Sunday, September 20, 2026 · Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN

Quick Answer

Final (Sunday, September 20, 2026): Philadelphia Eagles 24, Tennessee Titans 20 — NFL Week 2, 2026. Our pre-game market-anchored line had the Eagles by 7 (73% to win); the Eagles won, so that call hit. The last Kalshi price we archived before kickoff had the Eagles at 76c. The graded recap below covers how it happened and how each player call on our board resolved.

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Settled

Philadelphia Eagles 24, Tennessee Titans 20Final

Model call: HIT

Our pre-game market-anchored line had the Eagles by 7 (73% to win). The Eagles won — that call landed.

Closing-line value on the Eagles: -1c — we archived the Eagles at 77c on Sep 14; the last Kalshi price before kickoff was 76c on Sep 20. The market moved against our side before kickoff.

Next: NFL Week 3 predictions →See how the model has done vs Kalshi →

Philadelphia 24, Tennessee 20: Hurts to Darius Cooper with nine seconds left, on a day the turf measured 157 degrees

Tennessee turned two Jalen Hurts interceptions and three sacks into ten points and led 20-17 with 1:56 to play. Hurts took the Eagles 65 yards in that time and found Darius Cooper from three with nine seconds on the clock — the first touchdown catch of Cooper’s career. The Eagles ran three drives of eleven-plus plays to open the game, held the ball for thirty-six minutes and still needed the last of them. The air was 98 degrees; the field was hotter.

Eagles 24—Titans 20

Final✓ Call hit

This is the page where the two claims split the widest, and both have to be stated. The chip grades the stored probability, which had Tennessee at 26.8% — the market’s number, anchored at weight zero from a seven-point line — and Philadelphia won, so the chip reads a hit. The published position was the other team. The ledger carries 2026_02_PHI_TEN_moneyline, a MODERATE position on Tennessee at ticker KXNFLGAME-26SEP20PHITEN-TEN: the model’s own margin was Philadelphia by 2.9 against a market at 7, a 4.1-point lean toward the Titans that put their fair probability at 26.8% against a Kalshi price of 23.5c — a 3.3-point edge. Entered at 23.5c on Thursday 2026-09-17, closed at 25.5c, two cents of CLV in our favour, and it lost by four points and nine seconds. Own that plainly: the read that Tennessee was underpriced was right about the game and wrong about the outcome, which is what a 23c contract is most of the time, and the contract settles on the outcome. So the page shows a chip that hit on a number the model did not generate, and a position that lost on a number it did. The Wednesday props article had two cards on this game and both lost: Tyjae Spears three-plus receptions at 52c (he caught two) and Wan’Dale Robinson five-plus at 43c (he caught one) — the article itself warned the two were correlated, and they missed together. The board’s visible calls went four and three. Cleared: Hurts over 0.5 passing touchdowns at 70.5c and over 1.5 at 38c (he threw two), Calvin Ridley over 1.5 receptions at 50.5c (two), Tony Pollard over 49.5 rushing yards at 36.5c (64). Missed: Hurts over 39.5 rushing yards at 28.5c, STRONG, on a 47.5 projection — he ran five times for 16; and the Spears and Robinson receptions calls, which the board carried at the same strikes as the article. Six passing-yards strikes on Hurts and Cam Ward also sit in the ledger; Hurts’ four unders lost on his 264 and Ward’s pair split on his 183, and none of it counts — suppressed. Thirteen WATCH rows went four and nine and are graded apart.

Opening and closing line

DraftKings via ESPN, one book. Not the Kalshi price — that block reads our own tape.

Spread
Eagles −4.5 → Eagles −7
Total
42.5 → 39.5
Moneyline
PHI −218 / TEN +180 → PHI −325 / TEN +260

The spread moved toward the side that won. The total fell 3 to 39.5; the game landed on 44.

How it happened

Q1

Three straight drives of eleven-plus plays, and Tennessee led at the end of the first quarter anyway

Philadelphia opened with three consecutive possessions of at least eleven plays and had nothing to show for the first of them. Cam Ward’s one-yard sneak with 4:22 left in the quarter put Tennessee up 7-0. The Eagles would hold the ball for 36:25 on the day and convert eleven of eighteen third downs, and the scoreboard spent most of the afternoon refusing to reflect it.

After one
Titans 7, Eagles 0
Philadelphia possession
36:25
Third down
PHI 11/18 · TEN 6/13

ESPN — AP recap

Q2

Bigsby from two, Smith from twenty-two, and a Slye field goal as the half expired

Tank Bigsby tied it from two with 12:49 left in the half and Hurts hit DeVonta Smith from 22 with 1:49 to go for 14-7. Joey Slye’s 37-yarder on the last play of the half cut it to 14-10. Smith would finish with ten catches for 117 on thirteen targets, the only receiver on either side to control the game.

Halftime
Eagles 14, Titans 10
Smith
10 rec · 117 yds · 1 TD on 13 targets
Bigsby
13 car · 33 yds · 1 TD

ESPN — box score

Q3

Elliott from 58, Ward from one again, and a 17-17 game going to the fourth

Jake Elliott hit from 58 with 8:08 left in the third for 17-10. Ward answered with his second one-yard sneak of the day with 57 seconds left in the quarter. Tennessee’s two touchdowns were both quarterback sneaks from the one; the Titans reached the red zone four times and scored on two of them.

After three
Eagles 17, Titans 17
Ward
13/20 · 183 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT · 4 car · 2 rush TD
Red zone
PHI 3/4 · TEN 2/4

ESPN — box score

Q4

Marcus Harris’ interception set up a 20-17 lead with 1:56 left; Hurts needed 1:47 of it

Harris picked Hurts off late, and Slye’s 33-yarder with 1:56 to play put Tennessee ahead 20-17. Hurts drove 65 yards and found Cooper from three with nine seconds left. Ward got the Titans to midfield and his last pass under pressure hit the turf as time expired. Nick Sirianni needed intravenous fluids during the game; the air reached 98 degrees and felt like 106, and the artificial turf was measured at 157.

Hurts
26/37 · 264 yds · 2 TD · 2 INT · sacked 3
Cooper
2 rec · 26 yds · 1 TD (first of his career)
Tennessee points off turnovers
10

ESPN — AP recap

What this recap does not know

  • The ledger has not graded this game. result, pnl_cents and graded_at were null on 2026_02_PHI_TEN_moneyline and on every Week 2 prop row when this was written — grading runs Tue/Wed on the Mac-mini launchd schedule. The position’s loss above is derived from the final score; the P/L is the ledger’s number. If the ledger ever disagrees, the ledger is right and this page is wrong.
  • Saquon Barkley is listed questionable in ESPN’s injury block and does not appear in the box score. This recap infers from that that he did not play; it did not confirm an inactive list.
  • The AP recap credits the Titans with turning the two interceptions and three sacks into ten points. Which ten is not itemised there beyond the Harris interception setting up the 33-yard field goal; the rest is left as the AP stated it.
  • The heat figures (98 air, 106 feels-like, 157 on the turf) are the AP’s and are not independently measured. ESPN’s summary carried no weather block.
  • The Wednesday article prices (52c, 43c) are the article’s; the board’s own rows on the same players sit at 52c and 43c and are the graded ones.
  • This recap does not know what the Kalshi book did during the game. Nothing above is a live price.

Reporting verified 2026-09-20. Further sources: ESPN — AP recap: Jalen Hurts hits Darius Cooper for TD with 9 seconds left to lift the Eagles past the Titans 24-20 · ESPN — box score · ESPN — core odds, opening and closing DraftKings line · NFL Week 2 props: best price, Kalshi vs. the books

Philadelphia's patched interior line meets a Titans front that vanished in Week 1.

The Eagles arrive 1-0 after a 24-22 home win over Washington, but lost left guard Landon Dickerson to injured reserve and drew a public rebuke of the pass rush from Vic Fangio. Tennessee is 0-1 after a 23-10 home loss to the Jets in which Cam Ward was pressured relentlessly and the defensive line recorded zero sacks while surrendering 152 rushing yards. Both trenches are the story, and both are compromised in different directions.

Eagles pass protection · Titans interior pass rush

Drew Kendall's first start vs. Jeffery Simmons

Close to even

Landon Dickerson was placed on injured reserve after a poor Week 1 showing in which he allowed four pressures, and second-year lineman Drew Kendall is the likely replacement at left guard. He debuts against Jeffery Simmons, a three-time All-Pro coming off an 11-sack, 60-pressure season. Nick Sirianni publicly backed the depth, naming Kendall, Willie Lampkin, Markel Bell, Fred Johnson and Micah Morris as options. This is the single most consequential personnel change in the game.

Dickerson status
Placed on IR; allowed 4 pressures in Week 1
Simmons 2025 production
11 sacks, 60 QB pressures, third career All-Pro
Eagles OL Week 1
Allowed 3 sacks; C Cam Jurgens flagged twice for holding

Source: Athlon — Eagles vs. Titans Week 2 Preview

Titans pass protection · Eagles defensive front

Tennessee's rebuilt line vs. Jalen Carter in a cast

Edge: Eagles

PFF ranks the Titans offensive line 29th and the Eagles second entering Week 2, and Tennessee's opener justified the gap — three of five Titans starters earned pass-blocking grades below 60.0, with only the center allowing fewer than two pressures. Jalen Carter played 94% of defensive snaps in Week 1, logged three pressures and blocked an extra point, and says he will play through a right wrist injury in a protective cast. Tennessee added C Austin Schlottmann from the Giants and G Cordell Volson from the Bengals this offseason, though depth charts now list Fernando Carmona Jr. at right guard.

PFF 2026 OL ranks
Eagles 2nd, Titans 29th
Titans Week 1 pass blocking
3 of 5 starters graded below 60.0
Jalen Carter
94% snap share, 3 pressures, playing in wrist cast

Source: PFF — 2026 NFL offensive line rankings

Eagles run offense · Titans run defense

Saquon Barkley vs. a front that gave up 152 on the ground

Edge: Eagles

Barkley ran 15 times for 83 yards (5.5 per carry) in Week 1, but Next Gen Stats charted him as hit at or behind the line of scrimmage on seven of those 15 carries — efficient output despite poor early contact. Tennessee allowed 152 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 39 carries to the Jets, with Breece Hall accounting for 102 and a score. Jeffery Simmons framed the Titans' priority as stopping Barkley at the line of scrimmage, but the Week 1 evidence and the Dickerson absence pull in opposite directions.

Barkley Week 1
15 carries, 83 yards, 5.5 YPC; 1 catch for -3 yards
Barkley contact
Hit at/behind LOS on 7 of 15 carries (Next Gen Stats)
Titans Week 1 run defense
152 yards, 2 TDs on 39 carries allowed

Source: FantasyPros — Barkley leads backfield attack in Week 1

Titans run offense · Eagles run defense

Tony Pollard's eight touches vs. a Fangio front

Edge: Eagles

Pollard managed 35 yards on seven carries — efficient at 5.0 per carry but starved of volume, with Tyjae Spears adding 12 yards on three attempts. The article context attributes this to game script: Tennessee trailed nearly wire to wire and finished with 195 total yards and 21:14 of possession, last in the league. Philadelphia held Washington to 295 total yards in Week 1, and Fangio's complaint was about pass rush rather than run fits.

Pollard Week 1
7 carries, 35 yards, 5.0 YPC; 8 total touches
Titans Week 1 offense
195 total yards, 21:14 time of possession (32nd)
Eagles Week 1 defense
295 total yards allowed to Washington

Source: NewsBreak — Pollard: just eight touches in Week 1 loss

Eagles pass offense · Titans secondary

DeVonta Smith as WR1 vs. Alontae Taylor and Cor'Dale Flott

Edge: Eagles

A.J. Brown is not on the Eagles — Philadelphia traded him to New England on June 1, 2026 for a 2028 first-round pick and a 2027 fifth-rounder, making DeVonta Smith the No. 1 target. Depth charts list Cor'Dale Flott at left corner and Alontae Taylor at right corner for Tennessee, with Marcus Harris in the slot; Taylor carried a 37.4 PFF coverage grade into the week. Smith opened with three catches on six targets for 53 yards as the Eagles distributed the ball to six receivers, with Dallas Goedert (77 yards, 2 TDs) and Dontayvion Wicks (73) leading the way.

A.J. Brown
Traded to New England 6/1/2026 for 2028 1st, 2027 5th
Titans CB alignment
LCB Cor'Dale Flott, RCB Alontae Taylor, NCB Marcus Harris
Smith Week 1
3 catches, 6 targets, 53 yards; Taylor PFF coverage grade 37.4

Source: NFL.com — Patriots trade for Eagles WR A.J. Brown

Titans pass offense · Eagles pass defense

Cam Ward under pressure vs. a pass rush Fangio called out

Edge: Eagles

Ward went 19-of-32 for 140 yards and a touchdown in his second-season opener, with nearly 40% of that yardage coming in garbage time; he led the NFL with 55 sacks taken as a rookie and completed under 42% of pressured throws. Wan'Dale Robinson is on Tennessee and led the team with five catches on six targets for 38 yards, working almost entirely underneath from the slot, while Calvin Ridley was not targeted at all. Against that, Fangio said the Eagles rush "wasn't good enough" — one sack, zero QB hits from the edge group, with Jalyx Hunt generating seven pressures and Nolan Smith four.

Ward Week 1
19-of-32, 140 yards, 1 TD; 55 sacks taken as a rookie (NFL high)
Robinson Week 1
5 catches on 6 targets, 38 yards, slot/underneath role
Eagles Week 1 rush
1 sack (Jihaad Campbell), 0 QB hits from edges

Source: Athlon — Eagles vs. Titans Week 2 Preview

Eagles short-yardage and QB rush · Titans goal-line defense

Hurts' legs and the tush push, minus Dickerson

Close to even

Hurts had five carries for 48 yards in Week 1 before kneel-downs, including a 22-yard scramble on 3rd-and-18 and a 14-yarder on 1st-and-20 — improvisation rather than designed volume. The tush push remains legal for 2026; no ban proposal was submitted at the spring meeting after the 2025 Packers proposal fell two votes short, and new OC Sean Mannion said the play "is going to be a part of what we do. We're going to lean into that." Two caveats sit on it: Eagles success on the play fell to 61.3% in 2025 from roughly 87% across 2022-24, and the play now runs without Dickerson and without longtime OL coach Jeff Stoutland, who stepped down.

Hurts Week 1 rushing
5 carries, 48 yards (excl. kneels); 14-of-? for 203 yards, 3 pass TDs
Tush push status
Legal in 2026; no ban proposal submitted at spring meeting
Success rate trend
61.3% in 2025 vs. ~87% combined 2022-24

Source: NBC Sports Philadelphia — Hurts dominant in Week 1

What this read does not know

  • Conflicting pressure-rate figures on Cam Ward in Week 1. Titansized cites PFF at 68% of dropbacks pressured; the Philadelphia Inquirer reports 41%. I could not reconcile these two figures from available sources — they may use different denominators or charting.
  • Conflicting DeVonta Smith yardage. CBS Sports lists 3 catches for 53 yards; Athlon lists 3 catches for 51 yards. The target count (6) is consistent.
  • Titans right guard is genuinely unsettled. SI reported Cordell Volson as the projected starter, PFF's Week 2 rankings list Fernando Carmona Jr., and Wikipedia's season page lists Jackson Slater. Ourlads lists Carmona. I could not confirm who starts Sunday.
  • Titans left tackle is also unconfirmed. SI, PFF and Ourlads all list Dan Moore Jr.; the Wikipedia 2026 season page lists James Hudson. The Wikipedia page appears stale (it still shows the Week 1 game as unplayed), so I weight the other three higher, but this is unresolved.
  • Drew Kendall is not officially confirmed as the Week 2 starting left guard. Sirianni named five candidates without designating one; the Inquirer and Athlon both report Kendall as "likely." No official depth chart confirmation was found.
  • Cooper DeJean's availability. He did not practice Wednesday (calf/abdomen), was limited Thursday and said he "should be good to go," but no Friday designation or final game status was available at the time of research. Marcus Epps is the reported fallback.
  • Jonathan Greenard's snap count. Limited all three practice days with a pectoral injury and missed Week 1 entirely. No source indicates whether he plays a full role, a rotational role, or sits.
  • No source found on which Titans cornerback shadows, if any. Alignment is listed as fixed left/right (Flott/Taylor), but I found no reporting on whether Robert Saleh and Gus Bradley travel a corner with DeVonta Smith.
  • Eagles Week 1 rushing yards allowed to Washington were not isolated in any source found — only total yards (295). The run/pass split of that figure is unconfirmed.
  • Tush push attempt count in Week 1 2026 is unconfirmed. Hurts had no rushing touchdown (all 24 points came via 3 passing TDs and a field goal), and no source itemized short-yardage sneak attempts.
  • Weather. One outlet headlined Week 2 as a "weather game," but the page failed to load and no forecast detail could be confirmed from any other source.
  • Jermaine Johnson's Week 2 role. He produced one pressure on a 41.8 PFF pass-rush grade in Week 1; no reporting found on whether Tennessee changes his usage or rotation.

Reporting verified 2026-09-18. Further sources: Athlon — Eagles vs. Titans Week 2 Preview · PhillyVoice — Week 2 injury report analysis · Philadelphia Inquirer — Week 2 preview · PFF — 2026 NFL offensive line rankings · Philadelphia Inquirer — Carter will be ready to play · SI All Titans — Titans OL draws low 2026 ranking · FantasyPros — Barkley leads backfield attack in Week 1 · SI All Titans — Confidence meter on Titans D-line · NewsBreak — Pollard: just eight touches in Week 1 loss · NFL.com — Eagles at Titans Game Center · SI Eagles — Fangio wants more from edge rushers · NFL.com — Patriots trade for Eagles WR A.J. Brown

Every defense's injury load this week, by unit: the defensive injury cluster board.

PMP · WK 2 MODEL LINE
Sun, Sep 20
AWAY PHI -1.6
vs PHI -7
HOME TEN -4.9
Fair (books) · TEN 27% home win prob
Kalshi · TEN — yes mid
Edge — fair − Kalshi
📍 Nashville, TN PASS — no position

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Eagles

73%

fair value (books)

Titans

27%

fair value (books)

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67%

Madden 27

33%

Madden 27

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The Ladder — Eagles at Titans How to read the Ladder →

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Our margin distribution against every Kalshi spread strike listed for this game. A single line says we lean one way; the ladder says whether that is about the middle of the distribution or its tail.

Eagles at TitansSpreadQB HOLD

This ladder is settled: the rungs above are the pre-kickoff record, not a live quote.

    Market
    —

    The starting quarterback is not confirmed, so we publish no model number on this game. The market prices are shown as they are.

    Legend
    • Kalshi YES mid, 0–100¢
    • book consensus (no-vig)
    • Oracle line (Pro) · hollow = outside the 30–70% band
    • YES/NO buttons are the Kalshi taker cost; “pays” is 100¢ ÷ cost.
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    Gold is our distribution, parchment is the Kalshi contract at each strike; the band between them is green where our probability is higher and purple where it is lower. We publish our number only where we have measured it to be calibrated, between 30% and 70%; rungs outside that range show the market only, and a rung where our number sits more than 30 points from a liquid market is refused outright — a gap that size is a bug until proven otherwise. A contract pays $1 if it settles YES, so a price in cents is an implied probability. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0.

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    Eagles at Titans Kalshi spread ladder for Week 2: the Kalshi price at every spread strike
    The Eagles–Titans spread ladder — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

    Eagles vs Titans power ratings (Week 2) What PWR measures →

    TeamRatingRankTier
    Philadelphia Eagles-1.623rdAverage
    Tennessee Titans-4.932ndBelow Avg

    Eagles and Titans season outlook

    PHITEN
    Average wins6.64.5
    Make playoffs13%2%
    Win division10%2%
    Win Super Bowl0.7%0.1%

    10,000 simulated seasons on our preseason power ratings — real NFL tiebreakers, real 2026 schedule, no injuries or market prices. The season sim fits its own home-field (2.0 points, from played games); the game model above uses +2.5. How it works →

    Eagles vs Titans — player pages

    All players →

    One page per player: every strike Kalshi lists, the sportsbook consensus at the same threshold, the season projection and the measured range.

    Before kickoff: What the model sees in Eagles at Titans

    How this read is built →

    Written before the game and kept as published. Final: Philadelphia Eagles 24, Tennessee Titans 20 — the graded call is above.

    The Eagles travel to face the Titans in Week 2. Our power ratings put the Titans 32nd of 32 at -4.9 (Below Avg tier) and the Eagles 23rd at -1.6 (Average tier) — a 3.3-point gap that home field narrows to a 3-point line on the Eagles, 58% to win. It rates as the 16th-widest of the 16 games in Week 2.

    The defense wins the headline matchup here: the Eagles grade -1.2 on that side of the ball (18th of 32) against a Titans offense at -2.9 (31st) — 1.7 points the wrong way for the offense. Going the other direction, the Eagles offense (-0.8, 24th) meets the Titans defense (-2.3, 26th), a 1.5-point gap.

    Zoom out to the full season and the model projects the Titans at 4.5 wins (favored in 1 of 17) and the Eagles at 6.6 (favored in 9) — 2.1 wins apart across the year. By win probability this is the 14th-hardest game on the Titans' schedule and the 11th-hardest on the Eagles'.

    One team has owned this series: the Titans are 4-2 in 6 regular-season meetings since 2002. They last met in 2022: Eagles won 35-10 in December. Over their last 4 meetings the Titans are 2-2. Worth saying plainly — the model does not know any of that. It reads 2026 ratings and nothing else, so a lopsided series is a story, not a number on this page.

    Conditions are unlikely to be the story: across 9 Tennessee home games in September since 2015, the median temperature was 81°F and the median wind 4 mph. That is a neutral-weather profile, which is worth knowing mostly because it removes an excuse from both sides.

    Calibration check, because a near-even number is the easiest kind to overtrust: across 3266 walk-forward games (2013-2024) the model gave a side 55-60% in 797 of them, and those sides won 57%. The Eagles at 58% are in that band. A margin that thin is why we would rather wait for a price than call it a lean.

    Kalshi listed this game as KXNFLGAME-26SEP20PHITEN, and the contract has settled now that the game has been played. The last price we archived before kickoff is in the settled-market section on this page; there is no live price and no position left to take.

    Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.

    Eagles vs Titans on Kalshi

    Kalshi event
    KXNFLGAME-26SEP20PHITEN
    Market-implied (Titans)
    not listed yet
    Fair value — books (Titans)
    held — QB pending
    Fair value vs market
    —

    This game has been played, so nothing above is a live market. Our pre-game market-anchored line number was 27% for the Titans. Those are kept as the record of what the model said before kickoff, not as a quote you can act on — the contract has settled at $1 or $0.

    Every Kalshi NFL market we track →

    Where Eagles vs Titans trades Why the venues differ →

    Each venue’s own price where we have one; Robinhood and Coinbase resell the Kalshi contract. Home-side price shown.

    VenueTitansTrade
    Kalshigame played — market settledTrade on Kalshi →
    Novig25% 25cOpen Novig →
    Polymarket USno captured price for this game — US exchangeSign-up offer →
    Robinhoodsame Kalshi contractsame Kalshi contract, not listed yetOpen Robinhood →
    Coinbasesame Kalshi contractsame Kalshi contract, not listed yetOpen Coinbase →
    DraftKings Predictionsprice not available — sign-up offer →Sign-up offer →
    FanDuel Predictsprice not available — sign-up offer →Sign-up offer →

    A price under a venue name is that venue’s own; Robinhood and Coinbase list the same Kalshi contract. DraftKings Predictions and FanDuel Predicts run on exchanges we have no price feed for, so they carry an offer and no number. We earn a referral credit or commission when you sign up through these links; it never changes the price or the model. Disclosure.

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    Watch the breakdown: Eagles vs Titans

    Eagles vs Titans — frequently asked

    Who won Eagles vs Titans in Week 2?

    Philadelphia Eagles 24, Tennessee Titans 20 — final, played Sunday, September 20, 2026; our pre-game market-anchored line had the Eagles by 7 (73% to win), and the Eagles won, so that call hit. The full graded recap, with every player call resolved, is on this page.

    Who did the model favor in Eagles vs Titans before kickoff?

    Before kickoff the market line favored the Eagles by 7 points, a 73% win probability over the Titans. That number is kept on this page as the record of the call; Kalshi's KXNFLGAME-26SEP20PHITEN market has since settled, so no price on it is live.

    What is the biggest mismatch in Eagles vs Titans?

    Titans offense (-2.9, 31st of 32) against Eagles defense (-1.2, 18th) — 1.7 points of separation on our scale, the widest unit gap in the game.

    How do you take a position on Eagles vs Titans?

    The contract will be KXNFLGAME-26SEP20PHITEN on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange available in most states, with sports contracts restricted in some. It has not opened yet; when it does, the model would take the Titans at 25c or below, or the Eagles at 71c or below. There is no point spread — you buy a yes or no contract on a team and it settles at $1 or $0.

    When and where do the Titans host the Eagles?

    Philadelphia Eagles visit the Tennessee Titans on Sunday, September 20, 2026 — a Sunday game in NFL Week 2, at Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN.

    What does the model project for the Titans and Eagles this season?

    Across all 17 games the model projects the Titans at 4.5 wins (favored in 1) and the Eagles at 6.6 (favored in 9). This game ranks 14th-hardest on the Titans' schedule and 11th-hardest on the Eagles', by win probability.

    What are the Kalshi odds for Eagles vs Titans?

    Kalshi listed this game as KXNFLGAME-26SEP20PHITEN, and the contract has settled now that the game has been played. The last price we archived before kickoff is in the settled-market section on this page; there is no live price and no position left to take.

    Could you trade Eagles vs Titans on Kalshi?

    This game has been played, so the Week 2 market KXNFLGAME-26SEP20PHITEN has settled — there is no position left to take on it. While it was open it traded as an event contract rather than a point spread: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange available in most states, with sports contracts restricted in some, you bought a YES or NO contract on a team between 1c and 99c, and it settled at $1 or $0, so the price paid was the break-even probability. Kalshi lists the next week's games on the same terms.

    How often does the model win when it is 58% on a team like the Eagles?

    57% of the time. Over 3266 walk-forward games from 2013-2024 — trained only on prior seasons, no market line as an input — the model put a team in the 55-60% range 797 times, and those teams won 57% of them. The Eagles at 58% over the Titans sit in that band, off a 3-point model line. Straight-up across all 3266 graded games the model picked winners at 59.6%, with a Brier score of 0.236 against 0.25 for a coin flip.

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