Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

Sunday, December 20, 2026 · Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN

Colts

51%

model win prob

Titans

49%

model win prob

Model line

Colts −0.5

Kalshi (Titans)

—

Edge

pending

Model favors the Colts — Kalshi market opens closer to kickoff

KXNFLGAME lists this game one to two weeks out. The model read above is live; the market column fills in automatically when the contract opens.

Power-rating comparison

TeamRatingRankTier

Indianapolis Colts-0.316thAverage

Tennessee Titans-3.232ndBelow Avg

The prediction-market read

In Week 15, the Indianapolis Colts travel to face the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN. Our DAEPA power-rating model rates the Titans 32nd of 32 (Below Avg tier, -3.2) and the Colts 16th (Average tier, -0.3). After a 2.5-point home-field adjustment, the model lands on the Colts by 0.5 — a 51% win probability for the Colts.

Kalshi lists each game's winner market one to two weeks before kickoff, so the live price for this matchup isn't posted yet. When it opens we compare the implied probability to our 49% (Titans) / 51% (Colts) model split and flag any gap of five points or more as an edge.

This is a AFC South divisional game — both teams meet twice in 2026, and division results carry the tiebreakers that decide the AFC South race. Track the full division on the AFC South hub.

Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.

Colts vs Titans — frequently asked

Who is favored in Colts vs Titans in Week 15?

Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Colts by 0.5 points and gives them a 51% win probability over the Titans. Kalshi lists the game's win market one to two weeks before kickoff; the model line above is live now.

What does the model project for Colts vs Titans?

Home win probability 49% (Titans), away 51% (Colts). That comes from a power-rating differential of -2.9 plus 2.5 points home field, run through a Normal model (σ=13.5). The Titans rate 32nd of 32 (Below Avg tier), the Colts 16th (Average tier).

Can you trade Colts vs Titans on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists each NFL game's winner market (KXNFLGAME), typically one to two weeks before kickoff, to traders in all 50 states. You take a yes/no position on a team that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.