New York Jets vs Tennessee Titans

Sunday, September 13, 2026 · Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN

Jets

46%

model win prob

Titans

54%

model win prob

Model line

Titans −1.5

Kalshi (Titans)

—

Edge

pending

Model favors the Titans — Kalshi market opens closer to kickoff

KXNFLGAME lists this game one to two weeks out. The model read above is live; the market column fills in automatically when the contract opens.

Power-rating comparison

TeamRatingRankTier

New York Jets-3.029thBelow Avg

Tennessee Titans-4.132ndBelow Avg

The prediction-market read

In Week 1, the New York Jets travel to face the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN. Our DAEPA power-rating model rates the Titans 32nd of 32 (Below Avg tier, -4.1) and the Jets 29th (Below Avg tier, -3.0). After a 2.5-point home-field adjustment, the model lands on the Titans by 1.5 — a 54% win probability for the Titans.

Kalshi lists each game's winner market one to two weeks before kickoff, so the live price for this matchup isn't posted yet. When it opens we compare the implied probability to our 54% (Titans) / 46% (Jets) model split and flag any gap of five points or more as an edge.

Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.

Jets vs Titans — frequently asked

Who is favored in Jets vs Titans in Week 1?

Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Titans by 1.5 points and gives them a 54% win probability over the Jets. Kalshi lists the game's win market one to two weeks before kickoff; the model line above is live now.

What does the model project for Jets vs Titans?

Home win probability 54% (Titans), away 46% (Jets). That comes from a power-rating differential of -1.1 plus 2.5 points home field, run through a Normal model (σ=13.5). The Titans rate 32nd of 32 (Below Avg tier), the Jets 29th (Below Avg tier).

Can you trade Jets vs Titans on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists each NFL game's winner market (KXNFLGAME), typically one to two weeks before kickoff, to traders in all 50 states. You take a yes/no position on a team that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.