Skip to content
THE 7 ORACLESPowered by PredictionMarketsPicks
Pro
5-MINUTE

Polymarket US 5-minute Bitcoin, every window live

5-minute board · results

FED DESK

Kalshi vs Polymarket vs futures on the next FOMC decision

Fed Rate Tracker · live

15-MINUTE

Every Kalshi 15-minute window, priced against the late-flip risk

Bitcoin · gold · silver · oil

MIDTERMS

Every 2026 race priced on Kalshi and Polymarket

Senate · House · governors

COMBO EDGE

Correlation-aware Kalshi combos — free

Carson Beck Week 10 Kalshi PropsQuestionable · Week 1

QB · Arizona Cardinals · bye week 14

This week on the boardNFL Week 10 predictions →Week 11 predictions →Week 9 results →

Week 10 gamesCommanders at GiantsPatriots at LionsChiefs at FalconsTexans at BrownsVikings at PackersDolphins at ColtsPanthers at SaintsBills at JetsJaguars at TitansRams at CardinalsSeahawks at Raiders49ers at CowboysSteelers at BengalsChargers at Ravens

Week 10 vs LAR — every Kalshi strike, the book consensus, and our model's call. Prediction-market props, priced in cents.

Where the market has Carson Beck this week

A gap between two venues is a price difference, not a recommendation. Prices move; the timestamp on each line is the clock it was read on.

Prop market — every Kalshi strike

Full market board →

If he sits, here's how each platform settles it →

Every Kalshi player-prop strike for Carson Beck with a two-sided book: the Kalshi mid, the book consensus at that strike, the gap in cents, and the cheapest venue per side. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
ContractKalshiConsensusGapBest priceTrade
anytime TDARI v LAR8.5¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
1+ pass TDsARI v LAR58.5¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
125+ pass ydsARI v LAR81.0¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
15+ rush ydsARI v LAR44.5¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
20+ rush ydsARI v LAR31.5¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
25+ rush ydsARI v LAR21.5¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the book consensus at that strike, in cents, read across two clocks — Kalshi as of Nov 12, 1:20 AM ET, books as of Nov 12, 1:15 AM ET. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

Our model vs the market — Week 1

Every result Carson Beck could post this week, and the share of them that reach the number the market listed.

Rush Yds

Range only — this stat has no percentage we would stand behind.

10th 0·median 0·90th 1

The spread comes from how far actual results have landed from model numbers of this size, fitted on four seasons — not a simulation. This block is Week 1; the market prices above are read on their own clock.

The week's sharpest prop, across every player

One player here; the whole slate there. The largest model-vs-Kalshi prop gap live this week, refreshed every 5 minutes — preview it free; publishing runs on an Enterprise license.

Cardinals 2026 schedule

Team hub →

Week 1

at LAC

Week 2

vs SEA

Week 3

at SF

Week 4

at NYG

Week 5

vs DET

Week 6

at LAR

Week 7

vs DEN

Week 8

at DAL

Week 9

at SEA

Week 10

vs LAR

Week 11

at KC

Week 12

vs WAS

Week 13

vs PHI

Week 15

vs NYJ

Week 16

at NO

Week 17

vs LV

Week 18

vs SF

Every game carries our model line against the live Kalshi contract price.

Questions about Carson Beck

What are Carson Beck's Kalshi props for Week 10?

As of Nov 12, 1:20 AM ET, Kalshi lists 6 strikes on Carson Beck against LAR: anytime TD at 8.5¢, 1+ pass TDs at 58.5¢, 25+ rush yds at 21.5¢, 15+ rush yds at 44.5¢. A Kalshi prop contract pays $1 if the threshold is cleared, so the price in cents is the market's implied probability. Every strike on this page carries the book consensus at the same threshold beside it.

Does Carson Beck have Kalshi markets this week?

Yes. As of Nov 12, 1:20 AM ET, Kalshi lists 6 player-prop strikes on Carson Beck for Week 10 against LAR. Every one is on this page with the Kalshi price in cents, the book consensus at the same threshold, and our model's read where it is unlocked.

How does a Kalshi player-prop contract pay out?

A Kalshi player-prop contract settles at $1 if the player clears the stated threshold and $0 if he does not, so the price in cents is the market’s implied probability of the threshold being cleared. Buying YES at 62¢ returns 38¢ per contract on a clear and loses 62¢ otherwise; buying NO at 38¢ is the mirror. Because both sides of a two-sided Kalshi book sum to about 100¢, no de-vigging is needed before comparing it to a model probability — a book price has to be de-vigged first.

More NFL Markets

Kalshi prices are in cents and carry the clock they were read on; our model read is a probability, not a prediction. Contracts can settle at $0 — trade responsibly. Every published call is graded here.