Seahawks vs Raiders Prediction β Week 10, Sun Nov 15
Updated Β· model ratings
Sunday, November 15, 2026 Β· Allegiant Stadium, Paradise, NV
- Last week: Seahawks play Sun 4:25 PM ET vs Cardinals β preview
- Last week: Raiders play Sun 4:05 PM ET at 49ers β preview
Quick Answer
As of October 30, 2026, PredictionMarketsPicks' model favors the Seahawks by 5.5 in Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders, NFL Week 10 2026 β 65% to win, and the 56th meeting between these two. Kalshi has not listed KXNFLGAME-26NOV15SEALV yet, so there is no price to compare: when it opens, Raiders at 30c or below (or Seahawks at 60c or below) is where the model would take a position.
SEA
+4.1
LV
-4.2
Kalshi hasn't priced this game yet. Get the full Week 10 card free and you'll have our number in hand the morning it opens.
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Seahawks
65%
our model
Raiders
35%
our model
Run this matchup yourself β Full PWR board for all 32 β Player prop gaps for this game β Whose number this is β
51%
Madden 27
49%
Madden 27
KXNFLGAME-26NOV15SEALV hasn't opened yet, so there is no price to compare. When it does, the model buys the Raiders at 30c or below, or the Seahawks at 60c or below β a 5-point threshold either way. The market column fills in automatically.
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Every signal graded in public, losers left on the board. See the record β
The Ladder β Seahawks at Raiders How to read the Ladder β
All ladders βOur margin distribution against every Kalshi spread strike listed for this game. A single line says we lean one way; the ladder says whether that is about the middle of the distribution or its tail.
Kalshi has not listed a two-sided book on this ladder yet.
Fewer than three strikes have both a two-sided Kalshi book and a model number inside our published 30β70% band, so there is no shape call here. The market prices are complete.
- Kalshi YES mid, 0β100Β’
- book consensus (no-vig)
- Oracle line (Pro) Β· hollow = outside the 30β70% band
- YES/NO buttons are the Kalshi taker cost; βpaysβ is 100Β’ Γ· cost.
Gold is our distribution, parchment is the Kalshi contract at each strike; the band between them is green where our probability is higher and purple where it is lower. We publish our number only where we have measured it to be calibrated, between 30% and 70%; rungs outside that range show the market only, and a rung where our number sits more than 30 points from a liquid market is refused outright β a gap that size is a bug until proven otherwise. A contract pays $1 if it settles YES, so a price in cents is an implied probability. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0.
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Seahawks vs Raiders power ratings (Week 10) What PWR measures β
Seahawks and Raiders season outlook
10,000 simulated seasons on our preseason power ratings β real NFL tiebreakers, real 2026 schedule, no injuries or market prices. The season sim fits its own home-field (2.0 points, from played games); the game model above uses +2.5. How it works β
Seahawks vs Raiders β player pages
All players βAshton Jeanty
RB
Brock Bowers
TE
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WR
Sam Darnold
QB
Rashid Shaheed
WR
Zach Charbonnet
RB
Jalen Nailor
WR
Tre Tucker
WR
AJ Barner
TE
Emanuel Wilson
RB
Mike Washington Jr.
RB
Michael Mayer
Kirk Cousins
Connor Heyward
Cody White
Dont'e Thornton Jr.
LV Raiders D/ST
Cooper Kupp
Eric Saubert
SEA Seahawks D/ST
Tory Horton
One page per player: every strike Kalshi lists, the sportsbook consensus at the same threshold, the season projection and the measured range.
SeahawksβRaiders, 56 games in
These two have played 56 times going back through the record we hold, 2 of them in the playoffs, and the modern-era series is dead even at 3-3 since 2002. History is not a handicapping input for us β rosters turn over and the model only reads 2026 ratings β but it is the reason this game gets attention the ratings alone would not justify. The number: -4.2 against +4.1, Seahawks by 5.5, 65% to win.
The sharpest unit gap in the game runs one way: the Seahawks offense grades +0.6 (14th of 32) against a Raiders defense at -3.1 (29th) β 3.7 points of separation on our scale, and the single biggest reason the line sits where it does. Going the other direction, the Raiders offense (-1.3, 27th) meets the Seahawks defense (+2.3, 2nd), a 3.6-point gap. Special teams adds to it: the Seahawks grade +1.1, 1st in the league, against +0.1 (24th) on the other side β close to a point of hidden margin.
Zoom out to the full season and the model projects the Raiders at 6.9 wins (favored in 3 of 17) and the Seahawks at 10.1 (favored in 14) β 3.3 wins apart across the year. By win probability this is the 6th-hardest game on the Raiders' schedule and the 11th-hardest on the Seahawks'.
Does the model earn this number? In 448 of the 3266 walk-forward games it has been graded on (2013-2024, no market line used), it landed in the 65-70% range. Those favorites went 68%. The 65% on the Seahawks here sits in that same band, and the history backs it.
Kalshi has not listed KXNFLGAME-26NOV15SEALV, so there is no price on the board and no edge to quote. The model's number to hold it to: Raiders 35%, Seahawks 65%. Applying our 5 points floor, that makes Raiders contracts a buy at 30c or below and Seahawks contracts a buy at 60c or below β anything between is inside the noise, and we pass. Week 1's KXNFLGAME contracts opened in May 2026 and the rest of the slate lists as the season gets closer; this page picks up the price automatically when it does.
Prediction markets are not sportsbooks β you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.
Seahawks vs Raiders on Kalshi
- Kalshi event
- KXNFLGAME-26NOV15SEALV
- Market-implied (Raiders)
- not listed yet
- Our ratings line (Raiders)
- 35%
- Model vs market
- β
Kalshi opens NFL game markets week by week and has not listed KXNFLGAME-26NOV15SEALV yet, so there is no Kalshi price for this game to quote. When it opens, the model buys the Raiders at 30c or below, or the Seahawks at 60c or below β a 5-point threshold either way. The numbers above fill in on their own.
Seahawks vs Raiders line history
The earliest line we archived, on Sep 9, had the Seahawks β7 (DraftKings). The median across 2 books now is the Seahawks β7.
| Book | Earliest line we archived | Now | Spread trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | Seahawks β7 Β· O/U 43.5Sep 9 | Seahawks β7 Β· O/U 43.5 | |
| Caesars | Seahawks β6.5 Β· O/U 42Sep 9 | Seahawks β6.5 Β· O/U 42 |
Posted spreads and totals as our odds feed recorded them; a row is added only when a book moves its line. βEarliest line we archivedβ is our first capture, which is not necessarily the marketβs open. Spreads are stated for the favorite. The Kalshi price is that exchangeβs own moneyline contract.
Where Seahawks vs Raiders trades Why the venues differ β
Each venueβs own price where we have one; Robinhood and Coinbase resell the Kalshi contract. Home-side price shown.
| Venue | Raiders | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | not listed on Kalshi yet β opens week of the game | Trade on Kalshi β |
| Novig | not yet listed on Novig β $50 credit on a $10 deposit through our link | Sign-up offer β |
| Polymarket US | no captured price for this game β US exchange | Sign-up offer β |
| Robinhoodsame Kalshi contract | same Kalshi contract, not listed yet | Open Robinhood β |
| Coinbasesame Kalshi contract | same Kalshi contract, not listed yet | Open Coinbase β |
| DraftKings Predictions | price not available β sign-up offer β | Sign-up offer β |
| FanDuel Predicts | price not available β sign-up offer β | Sign-up offer β |
A price under a venue name is that venueβs own; Robinhood and Coinbase list the same Kalshi contract. DraftKings Predictions and FanDuel Predicts run on exchanges we have no price feed for, so they carry an offer and no number. We earn a referral credit or commission when you sign up through these links; it never changes the price or the model. Disclosure.
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Who will win Raiders vs Seahawks?
Our model has the Seahawks at 65% to beat the Raiders in Week 10.
Who is favored in Seahawks vs Raiders in Week 10?
Our power-rating model picks the Seahawks by 5.5 points, a 65% win probability over the Raiders. The Raiders rate 29th of 32 (-4.2) and the Seahawks 1st (+4.1); Kalshi has not listed KXNFLGAME-26NOV15SEALV yet, so the model line is the only number on the board.
What is the all-time record between the Seahawks and Raiders?
Our records hold 56 meetings, 2 of them in the playoffs. Since 2002 the regular-season series is 3-3 even over 6 games. The model does not use series history β it prices the 2026 ratings only.
How do you take a position on Seahawks vs Raiders?
The contract will be KXNFLGAME-26NOV15SEALV on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange available in most states, with sports contracts restricted in some. It has not opened yet; when it does, the model would take the Raiders at 30c or below, or the Seahawks at 60c or below. There is no point spread β you buy a yes or no contract on a team and it settles at $1 or $0.
When and where do the Raiders host the Seahawks?
Seattle Seahawks visit the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday, November 15, 2026 β a Sunday game in NFL Week 10, at Allegiant Stadium, Paradise, NV.
What does the model project for the Raiders and Seahawks this season?
Across all 17 games the model projects the Raiders at 6.9 wins (favored in 3) and the Seahawks at 10.1 (favored in 14). This game ranks 6th-hardest on the Raiders' schedule and 11th-hardest on the Seahawks', by win probability.
What are the Kalshi odds for Seahawks vs Raiders?
Kalshi has not listed KXNFLGAME-26NOV15SEALV yet, so there is no Kalshi price for this game β anyone quoting one is quoting something else. Kalshi opens NFL game markets week by week. When it opens, our model would take the Raiders at 30c or below or the Seahawks at 60c or below, off a 5.5-point line.
Can you trade Seahawks vs Raiders on Kalshi?
Yes β as an event contract, not a point spread. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange available in most states, with sports contracts restricted in some, and the Week 10 game market is KXNFLGAME-26NOV15SEALV. You buy a YES or NO contract on a team between 1c and 99c and it settles at $1 or $0, so the price you pay is the break-even probability. There is no vig baked into a line, and you can exit before kickoff at whatever the market is then paying.
Why read this pick instead of a preview from a big sports outlet?
Two things a bigger outlet does not do. The number is posted before kickoff against the live Kalshi price, so you can see where the model and the market disagree while it still matters. And the page keeps the call after the game β result, hit or miss, closing-line value β so the record is public. Every graded call is at predictionmarketspicks.com/track-record.
What happens on Kalshi if Seahawks vs Raiders ends in a tie?
Your position is not voided. On a team contract with no Tie strike listed, Yes and No holders are each paid 50c a contract, and overtime counts toward the result. A player prop on someone who never plays settles at the last fair price rather than refunding, and a game postponed more than 48 hours resolves at a fair price. Every rule is at predictionmarketspicks.com/kalshi/settlement-rules.
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The engine behind these numbers is callable from Claude, ChatGPT or Grok through our MCP server β every Kalshi prop this week priced venue by venue, spread and win-total ladders against the whole distribution, correlation-aware same-game combos, and the weekly game edges. The free tools answer with no key and no account.
See the in-season NFL tools βPrediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only β not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
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