Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals

Sunday, November 15, 2026 · State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ

Rams

58%

model win prob

Cardinals

42%

model win prob

Model line

Rams −2.5

Kalshi (Cardinals)

—

Edge

pending

Model favors the Rams — Kalshi market opens closer to kickoff

KXNFLGAME lists this game one to two weeks out. The model read above is live; the market column fills in automatically when the contract opens.

Power-rating comparison

TeamRatingRankTier

Los Angeles Rams+2.92ndPlayoff

Arizona Cardinals-2.328thBelow Avg

The prediction-market read

In Week 10, the Los Angeles Rams travel to face the Arizona Cardinals at State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ. Our DAEPA power-rating model rates the Cardinals 28th of 32 (Below Avg tier, -2.3) and the Rams 2nd (Playoff tier, +2.9). After a 2.5-point home-field adjustment, the model lands on the Rams by 2.5 — a 58% win probability for the Rams.

Kalshi lists each game's winner market one to two weeks before kickoff, so the live price for this matchup isn't posted yet. When it opens we compare the implied probability to our 42% (Cardinals) / 58% (Rams) model split and flag any gap of five points or more as an edge.

This is a NFC West divisional game — both teams meet twice in 2026, and division results carry the tiebreakers that decide the NFC West race. Track the full division on the NFC West hub.

Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.

Rams vs Cardinals — frequently asked

Who is favored in Rams vs Cardinals in Week 10?

Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Rams by 2.5 points and gives them a 58% win probability over the Cardinals. Kalshi lists the game's win market one to two weeks before kickoff; the model line above is live now.

What does the model project for Rams vs Cardinals?

Home win probability 42% (Cardinals), away 58% (Rams). That comes from a power-rating differential of -5.2 plus 2.5 points home field, run through a Normal model (σ=13.5). The Cardinals rate 28th of 32 (Below Avg tier), the Rams 2nd (Playoff tier).

Can you trade Rams vs Cardinals on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists each NFL game's winner market (KXNFLGAME), typically one to two weeks before kickoff, to traders in all 50 states. You take a yes/no position on a team that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.