Gridiron EdgeWeek 10 · 2026NFC West rivalry

Rams vs Cardinals Prediction — Week 10, Sun Nov 15

Updated October 30, 2026 · model ratings

Sunday, November 15, 2026 · State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ

Last week: Rams play Sun 1:00 PM ET at Commanders → preview
Last week: Cardinals play Sun 4:25 PM ET at Seahawks → preview

Quick Answer

As of October 30, 2026, PredictionMarketsPicks' model favors the Rams by 5 in Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals, NFL Week 10 2026 — 63% to win, and the second NFC West meeting of the year. Kalshi has not listed KXNFLGAME-26NOV15LARARI yet, so there is no price to compare: when it opens, Cardinals at 32c or below (or Rams at 58c or below) is where the model would take a position.

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PMP · WK 10 MARKET PENDING

Sun, Nov 15

AWAY

LAR +3.0

vs LAR -5

HOME

ARI -4.4

Model · ARI 37% home win prob

Kalshi · ARI — yes mid

Edge — model − market

📍 Glendale, AZ MARKET PENDING

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Rams

63%

our model

Cardinals

37%

our model

Run this matchup yourself → Full PWR board for all 32 → Player prop gaps for this game → Whose number this is →

60%

Madden 27

40%

Madden 27

KXNFLGAME-26NOV15LARARI hasn't opened yet, so there is no price to compare. When it does, the model buys the Cardinals at 32c or below, or the Rams at 58c or below — a 5-point threshold either way. The market column fills in automatically.

Run the numbers yourself

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Price GapsPROWhere the best price is right now — Kalshi vs Polymarket US vs the books.→Combo Edge BuilderFREEPrice a same-game combo for this slate — true joint probability, free, no leg cap.→NFL Win ProbabilityFREETurn any spread and total into a win probability and projected score.→Prop BoardLIVEEvery listed player prop, model number against the Kalshi price.→

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The Ladder — Rams at Cardinals How to read the Ladder →

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Our margin distribution against every Kalshi spread strike listed for this game. A single line says we lean one way; the ladder says whether that is about the middle of the distribution or its tail.

Rams at CardinalsSpreadMARKET READ

Kalshi has not listed a two-sided book on this ladder yet.

StrikeKalshi YES · 0–100¢Take itBooksGap

Market

—

Fewer than three strikes have both a two-sided Kalshi book and a model number inside our published 30–70% band, so there is no shape call here. The market prices are complete.

Legend

Kalshi YES mid, 0–100¢
book consensus (no-vig)
Oracle line (Pro) · hollow = outside the 30–70% band
YES/NO buttons are the Kalshi taker cost; “pays” is 100¢ ÷ cost.

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Gold is our distribution, parchment is the Kalshi contract at each strike; the band between them is green where our probability is higher and purple where it is lower. We publish our number only where we have measured it to be calibrated, between 30% and 70%; rungs outside that range show the market only, and a rung where our number sits more than 30 points from a liquid market is refused outright — a gap that size is a bug until proven otherwise. A contract pays $1 if it settles YES, so a price in cents is an implied probability. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0.

Rams at Cardinals Kalshi spread ladder for Week 10: the Kalshi price at every spread strike — The Rams–Cardinals spread ladder — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

Rams vs Cardinals power ratings (Week 10) What PWR measures →

TeamRatingRankTier

Los Angeles Rams+3.03rdPlayoff

Arizona Cardinals-4.431stBelow Avg

Rams and Cardinals season outlook

LARARI

Average wins8.86.0

Make playoffs42%4%

Win division9%1%

Win Super Bowl3.7%0.1%

10,000 simulated seasons on our preseason power ratings — real NFL tiebreakers, real 2026 schedule, no injuries or market prices. The season sim fits its own home-field (2.0 points, from played games); the game model above uses +2.5. How it works →

Rams vs Cardinals — player pages

All players →

One page per player: every strike Kalshi lists, the sportsbook consensus at the same threshold, the season projection and the measured range.

The rematch: what the model sees the second time around

How this read is built →

This is the second meeting. The Rams and Cardinals already played in Week 6, and now the Rams make the return trip in Week 10. Familiarity does not show up in a power rating, so the model prices it the same way it prices everything else: -4.4 against +3.0, plus home field, equals the Rams by 5 (63%). Where a rematch does matter is the standings — a division sweep is worth more than the two wins suggest.

The sharpest unit gap in the game runs one way: the Rams offense grades +2.9 (5th of 32) against a Cardinals defense at -3.8 (30th) — 6.6 points of separation on our scale, and the single biggest reason the line sits where it does. Going the other direction, the Cardinals offense (-0.6, 22nd) meets the Rams defense (+0.3, 6th), a 0.8-point gap.

On the standings side, NFC West games are the ones that decide the tiebreakers. Head-to-head record is the first tiebreaker between two teams in the same division, and division record is the next — so the value of this result is not just the win column. They already played in Week 6, so a season sweep is on the table here on the NFC West race.

Zoom out to the full season and the model projects the Cardinals at 6.0 wins (favored in 2 of 17) and the Rams at 8.8 (favored in 13) — 2.8 wins apart across the year. By win probability this is the 8th-hardest game on the Cardinals' schedule and the 12th-hardest on the Rams'.

Recent history, for context only: 48 regular-season meetings since 2002, 28-20 in the Rams' favour, plus 2 playoff games. They last met in 2025: Rams won 37-20 in January. Over their last 4 meetings the Cardinals are 1-3. It is not an input to the line — rosters turn over faster than series records do.

Does the model earn this number? In 666 of the 3266 walk-forward games it has been graded on (2013-2024, no market line used), it landed in the 60-65% range. Those favorites went 59%. The 63% on the Rams here sits in that same band, and the history runs slightly behind the claim.

Kalshi has not listed KXNFLGAME-26NOV15LARARI, so there is no price on the board and no edge to quote. The model's number to hold it to: Cardinals 37%, Rams 63%. Applying our 5 points floor, that makes Cardinals contracts a buy at 32c or below and Rams contracts a buy at 58c or below — anything between is inside the noise, and we pass. Week 1's KXNFLGAME contracts opened in May 2026 and the rest of the slate lists as the season gets closer; this page picks up the price automatically when it does.

Full division picture on the NFC West hub.

Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.

Rams vs Cardinals on Kalshi

Kalshi event: KXNFLGAME-26NOV15LARARI
Market-implied (Cardinals): not listed yet
Our ratings line (Cardinals): 37%
Model vs market: —

Kalshi opens NFL game markets week by week and has not listed KXNFLGAME-26NOV15LARARI yet, so there is no Kalshi price for this game to quote. When it opens, the model buys the Cardinals at 32c or below, or the Rams at 58c or below — a 5-point threshold either way. The numbers above fill in on their own.

Every Kalshi NFL market we track →

Rams vs Cardinals line history

The earliest line we archived, on Sep 10, had the Rams −10.5 (DraftKings). The median across 2 books now is the Rams −10.5.

Book	Earliest line we archived	Now	Spread trend
DraftKings	Rams −10.5 · O/U 47.5Sep 10	Rams −10.5 · O/U 47.5
Caesars	Rams −10.5 · O/U 47.5Sep 10	Rams −10.5 · O/U 47.5

Posted spreads and totals as our odds feed recorded them; a row is added only when a book moves its line. “Earliest line we archived” is our first capture, which is not necessarily the market’s open. Spreads are stated for the favorite. The Kalshi price is that exchange’s own moneyline contract.

Where Rams vs Cardinals trades Why the venues differ →

Each venue’s own price where we have one; Robinhood and Coinbase resell the Kalshi contract. Home-side price shown.

Venue	Cardinals	Trade
Kalshi	not listed on Kalshi yet — opens week of the game	Trade on Kalshi →
Novig	not yet listed on Novig — $50 credit on a $10 deposit through our link	Sign-up offer →
Polymarket US	no captured price for this game — US exchange	Sign-up offer →
Robinhoodsame Kalshi contract	same Kalshi contract, not listed yet	Open Robinhood →
Coinbasesame Kalshi contract	same Kalshi contract, not listed yet	Open Coinbase →
DraftKings Predictions	price not available — sign-up offer →	Sign-up offer →
FanDuel Predicts	price not available — sign-up offer →	Sign-up offer →

A price under a venue name is that venue’s own; Robinhood and Coinbase list the same Kalshi contract. DraftKings Predictions and FanDuel Predicts run on exchanges we have no price feed for, so they carry an offer and no number. We earn a referral credit or commission when you sign up through these links; it never changes the price or the model. Disclosure.

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Rams vs Cardinals — frequently asked

Who will win Cardinals vs Rams?

Our model has the Rams at 63% to beat the Cardinals in Week 10.

Who is favored in Rams vs Cardinals in Week 10?

Our power-rating model picks the Rams by 5 points, a 63% win probability over the Cardinals. The Cardinals rate 31st of 32 (-4.4) and the Rams 3rd (+3.0); Kalshi has not listed KXNFLGAME-26NOV15LARARI yet, so the model line is the only number on the board.

How much does a NFC West result matter here?

Head-to-head is the first tiebreaker between two NFC West teams and division record is the next, so this result carries more than one game of standings weight. These two also meet in Week 6. Our model does not adjust for any of that — it prices the Rams by 5 on ratings and home field alone.

How do you take a position on Rams vs Cardinals?

The contract will be KXNFLGAME-26NOV15LARARI on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange available in most states, with sports contracts restricted in some. It has not opened yet; when it does, the model would take the Cardinals at 32c or below, or the Rams at 58c or below. There is no point spread — you buy a yes or no contract on a team and it settles at $1 or $0.

When and where do the Cardinals host the Rams?

Los Angeles Rams visit the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday, November 15, 2026 — a Sunday game in NFL Week 10, at State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ.

What does the model project for the Cardinals and Rams this season?

Across all 17 games the model projects the Cardinals at 6.0 wins (favored in 2) and the Rams at 8.8 (favored in 13). This game ranks 8th-hardest on the Cardinals' schedule and 12th-hardest on the Rams', by win probability.

What are the Kalshi odds for Rams vs Cardinals?

Kalshi has not listed KXNFLGAME-26NOV15LARARI yet, so there is no Kalshi price for this game — anyone quoting one is quoting something else. Kalshi opens NFL game markets week by week. When it opens, our model would take the Cardinals at 32c or below or the Rams at 58c or below, off a 5-point line.

Can you trade Rams vs Cardinals on Kalshi?

Yes — as an event contract, not a point spread. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange available in most states, with sports contracts restricted in some, and the Week 10 game market is KXNFLGAME-26NOV15LARARI. You buy a YES or NO contract on a team between 1c and 99c and it settles at $1 or $0, so the price you pay is the break-even probability. There is no vig baked into a line, and you can exit before kickoff at whatever the market is then paying.

How often does the model win when it is 63% on a team like the Rams?

59% of the time. Over 3266 walk-forward games from 2013-2024 — trained only on prior seasons, no market line as an input — the model put a team in the 60-65% range 666 times, and those teams won 59% of them. The Rams at 63% over the Cardinals sit in that band, off a 5-point model line. Straight-up across all 3266 graded games the model picked winners at 59.6%, with a Brier score of 0.236 against 0.25 for a coin flip.

Why read this pick instead of a preview from a big sports outlet?

Two things a bigger outlet does not do. The number is posted before kickoff against the live Kalshi price, so you can see where the model and the market disagree while it still matters. And the page keeps the call after the game — result, hit or miss, closing-line value — so the record is public. Every graded call is at predictionmarketspicks.com/track-record.

What happens on Kalshi if Rams vs Cardinals ends in a tie?

Your position is not voided. On a team contract with no Tie strike listed, Yes and No holders are each paid 50c a contract, and overtime counts toward the result. A player prop on someone who never plays settles at the last fair price rather than refunding, and a game postponed more than 48 hours resolves at a fair price. Every rule is at predictionmarketspicks.com/kalshi/settlement-rules.

Trade this game on Kalshi →Cardinals hub →Rams hub →Kalshi NFL hub →Week 10 edge board →NFL predictions hub →

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The first meeting

These two already played once in 2026, back in Week 6. Division games are the pairings the model gets two swings at, and the second line usually moves off what the first one showed. Rams–Cardinals, Week 6 →

After this one

Rams: Week 12 vs PackersModel line →Cardinals: Week 11 at ChiefsModel line →

More Week 10 matchups

Commanders at GiantsModel: Giants −3.5

Patriots at LionsModel: Patriots −2.5

Chiefs at FalconsModel: Falcons −1.5

Texans at BrownsModel: Browns −1

Vikings at PackersModel: Packers −4.5

Dolphins at ColtsModel: Colts −5

Panthers at SaintsModel: Saints −2

Bills at JetsModel: Bills −2.5

Jaguars at TitansModel: Jaguars −5

Seahawks at RaidersModel: Seahawks −5.5

49ers at CowboysModel: 49ers −0.5

Steelers at BengalsModel: Bengals −4.5

Chargers at RavensModel: Ravens −6.5

Full Week 10 board →Next: NFL Week 11 predictions →

Same model, inside your AI agent

The engine behind these numbers is callable from Claude, ChatGPT or Grok through our MCP server — every Kalshi prop this week priced venue by venue, spread and win-total ladders against the whole distribution, correlation-aware same-game combos, and the weekly game edges. The free tools answer with no key and no account.

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Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.

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