New York Jets vs Arizona Cardinals

Sunday, December 20, 2026 · State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ

Jets

42%

model win prob

Cardinals

58%

model win prob

Model line

Cardinals −3

Kalshi (Cardinals)

—

Edge

pending

Model favors the Cardinals — Kalshi market opens closer to kickoff

KXNFLGAME lists this game one to two weeks out. The model read above is live; the market column fills in automatically when the contract opens.

Power-rating comparison

TeamRatingRankTier

New York Jets-3.029thBelow Avg

Arizona Cardinals-2.727thBelow Avg

The prediction-market read

In Week 15, the New York Jets travel to face the Arizona Cardinals at State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ. Our DAEPA power-rating model rates the Cardinals 27th of 32 (Below Avg tier, -2.7) and the Jets 29th (Below Avg tier, -3.0). After a 2.5-point home-field adjustment, the model lands on the Cardinals by 3 — a 58% win probability for the Cardinals.

Kalshi lists each game's winner market one to two weeks before kickoff, so the live price for this matchup isn't posted yet. When it opens we compare the implied probability to our 58% (Cardinals) / 42% (Jets) model split and flag any gap of five points or more as an edge.

Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.

Jets vs Cardinals — frequently asked

Who is favored in Jets vs Cardinals in Week 15?

Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Cardinals by 3 points and gives them a 58% win probability over the Jets. Kalshi lists the game's win market one to two weeks before kickoff; the model line above is live now.

What does the model project for Jets vs Cardinals?

Home win probability 58% (Cardinals), away 42% (Jets). That comes from a power-rating differential of +0.3 plus 2.5 points home field, run through a Normal model (σ=13.5). The Cardinals rate 27th of 32 (Below Avg tier), the Jets 29th (Below Avg tier).

Can you trade Jets vs Cardinals on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists each NFL game's winner market (KXNFLGAME), typically one to two weeks before kickoff, to traders in all 50 states. You take a yes/no position on a team that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.