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Evan Engram Week 7 Projection & Kalshi Props

TE · Denver Broncos · bye week 10

This week on the boardNFL Week 7 predictions →NFL Week 8 predictions — early lines →Week 6 results →

Week 7 gamesPatriots at BearsSteelers at Saints49ers at FalconsBengals at RavensBuccaneers at PanthersGiants at TexansColts at VikingsDolphins at JetsBrowns at TitansBroncos at CardinalsPackers at LionsRams at RaidersChiefs at SeahawksCowboys at Eagles

Week 7 vs ARI — every Kalshi strike, the sportsbook consensus, and our model's call. Prediction-market props, priced in cents.

Our Week 7 projection for Evan Engram, the Oracle calls on his Kalshi props, and the season range behind them. The draft-season read (ADP, value tag) sits at the bottom. Same numbers our model serves to AI assistants — free, no key.

Where the market has Evan Engram this week

A gap between two venues is a price difference, not a recommendation. Prices move; the timestamp on each line is the clock it was read on.

Week 7 — how often he gets there

Every result Evan Engram could post this week, and the share of them that reach the listed number.

Rec Yds

Range only — this stat has no percentage we would stand behind.

10th 0·median 25·90th 89

Receptions

Range only — this stat has no percentage we would stand behind.

10th 0·median 2·90th 6

The spread comes from how far actual results have landed from projections of this size, fitted on four seasons — not a simulation. Season and week figures are different vintages: the 2026 range elsewhere on this page is preseason, this block is Week 7.

The week's sharpest prop, across every player

One player here; the whole slate there. The largest model-vs-Kalshi prop gap live this week, refreshed every 5 minutes — preview it free; publishing runs on an Enterprise license.

The Ladder — Evan Engram

All ladders →

Every Kalshi strike listed on this player beside the sportsbook consensus, with our probability marked at the strike we called.

Evan EngramReceptionsMARKET READView 4+ rec on Kalshi →

Kalshi prices 4+ rec at 31¢. Where the Oracle line sits on each rung is Pro.

Market · 4+ rec
YES 31¢

Fewer than three strikes have both a two-sided Kalshi book and a model number inside our published 30–70% band, so there is no shape call here. The market prices are complete.

Legend
  • Kalshi YES mid, 0–100¢
  • book consensus (no-vig)
  • Oracle line (Pro) · hollow = outside the 30–70% band
  • YES/NO buttons are the Kalshi taker cost; “pays” is 100¢ ÷ cost.
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Gold is our distribution, parchment is the Kalshi contract at each strike; the band between them is green where our probability is higher and purple where it is lower. We publish our number only where we have measured it to be calibrated, between 30% and 70%; rungs outside that range show the market only, and a rung where our number sits more than 30 points from a liquid market is refused outright — a gap that size is a bug until proven otherwise. A contract pays $1 if it settles YES, so a price in cents is an implied probability. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0.

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Evan Engram Kalshi prop ladder for Week 7: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus
Evan Engram's headline Kalshi ladder this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

Embed this player’s prop ladder

A live card locked to Evan Engram — the Kalshi price at every strike of his headline prop beside the sportsbook consensus — for a team blog, a fantasy newsletter or a player post. Free to preview on your own page; publishing runs on an Enterprise license, and the credit line stays on.

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Evan Engram Kalshi prop ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/players/evan-engram?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-player-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Evan Engram Kalshi prop ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/players/evan-engram?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-player-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Prop market — every Kalshi strike

Full market board →
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for Evan Engram with a two-sided book: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus at that strike, the gap in cents, and the cheapest venue per side. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
ContractKalshiConsensusGapBest priceTrade
anytime TDDEN v ARI18.5¢—one-sidedover · Novig 19¢under · Kalshi 83¢Kalshi →
15+ rec ydsDEN v ARI64.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 66.6¢under · Novig 37¢Kalshi →
25+ rec ydsDEN v ARI45.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Novig 48.1¢under · Novig 55.9¢Kalshi →
40+ rec ydsDEN v ARI24.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 26.3¢under · Novig 77¢Kalshi →
50+ rec ydsDEN v ARI14.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 15.9¢Kalshi →
2+ recDEN v ARI73.0¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 75.4¢Kalshi →
4+ recDEN v ARI30.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · ProphetX 31.7¢under · Kalshi 71.5¢Kalshi →
5+ recDEN v ARI15.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 16.9¢under · Kalshi 85.9¢Kalshi →

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents, read across two clocks — Kalshi as of Oct 24, 11:10 PM ET, books as of Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

Draft-season read — 2026 projection, ADP and value

Projected points

119

7.0 per game

Consensus ADP

263

round 22

TE rank

TE27

model has him TE24

2026 range

10th pct 67·median 115·90th pct 189

Measured, not simulated. Our TE projections have landed inside this band 75% of the time against a 80% target, on the 2024-25 holdout. The median sits below the projection because most players lose time — the projection is an expected total, not the typical outcome.

The market drafts him 4 spots later than our board does at TE. That gap is why he carries a value tag.

Broncos 2026 schedule

Team hub →

Week 1

at KC

Week 2

vs JAX

Week 3

vs LAR

Week 4

at SF

Week 5

at LAC

Week 6

vs SEA

Week 7

at ARI

Week 8

vs KC

Week 9

at CAR

Week 11

vs LV

Week 12

at PIT

Week 13

vs MIA

Week 14

at NYJ

Week 15

at LV

Week 16

vs BUF

Week 17

at NE

Week 18

vs LAC

Every game carries our model line against the live Kalshi contract price.

How this projection is built

Season projections come from our own usage model — target and carry share, efficiency and games played — then the published rank blends that model with consensus ADP at a weight fitted per position. The raw model loses to consensus ADP at every position, so the board leads with the blend and the disagreement is the content, not a claim that we are right.

The engine behind the game numbers grades at 59.6% straight up across 3,266 games (2013–2024). Those figures grade DAEPA, the underlying play-by-play model. Every published call is graded here.

Want the whole board? All 322 players are free — and any AI assistant can read them directly through our MCP server, with no key and no signup.

Questions about Evan Engram

What are Evan Engram's Kalshi props for Week 7?

As of Oct 24, 11:10 PM ET, Kalshi lists 8 strikes on Evan Engram against ARI: 50+ rec yds at 14.5¢, 5+ rec at 15.5¢, anytime TD at 18.5¢, 4+ rec at 30.5¢. A Kalshi prop contract pays $1 if the threshold is cleared, so the price in cents is the market's implied probability. Every strike on this page carries the sportsbook consensus at the same threshold beside it.

Where is the best price on Evan Engram 50+ rec yds?

As of Oct 24, 11:10 PM ET, the cheapest over is Kalshi at 15.9¢ (next best 16.1¢). Prices are per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks at their raw quote — so the two are directly comparable. Cheapest is not the same as correct: compare it to our model's probability for the same threshold before taking a position.

What is Evan Engram's 2026 projection?

Evan Engram projects 119 half-PPR points (7.0 per game) for 2026, against a consensus ADP of 263 (round 22). The page also carries a measured 10th–90th percentile range: it is the fitted distribution of actual-over-projected outcomes, holdout-validated, not a simulation.

How does a Kalshi player-prop contract pay out?

A Kalshi player-prop contract settles at $1 if the player clears the stated threshold and $0 if he does not, so the price in cents is the market’s implied probability of the threshold being cleared. Buying YES at 62¢ returns 38¢ per contract on a clear and loses 62¢ otherwise; buying NO at 38¢ is the mirror. Because both sides of a two-sided Kalshi book sum to about 100¢, no de-vigging is needed before comparing it to a model probability — a sportsbook price has to be de-vigged first.

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Projections as of 2026-10-24; ADP source composite. Fantasy projections are estimates, not predictions — trade and draft responsibly.