Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos

Thursday, October 15, 2026 · Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO

Seahawks

50%

model win prob

Broncos

50%

model win prob

Model line

Seahawks −0

Kalshi (Broncos)

—

Edge

pending

Model favors the Seahawks — Kalshi market opens closer to kickoff

KXNFLGAME lists this game one to two weeks out. The model read above is live; the market column fills in automatically when the contract opens.

Power-rating comparison

TeamRatingRankTier

Seattle Seahawks+3.51stPlayoff

Denver Broncos+0.912thAverage

The prediction-market read

In Week 6, the Seattle Seahawks travel to face the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO. Our DAEPA power-rating model rates the Broncos 12th of 32 (Average tier, +0.9) and the Seahawks 1st (Playoff tier, +3.5). After a 2.5-point home-field adjustment, the model lands on the Seahawks by 0 — a 50% win probability for the Seahawks.

Kalshi lists each game's winner market one to two weeks before kickoff, so the live price for this matchup isn't posted yet. When it opens we compare the implied probability to our 50% (Broncos) / 50% (Seahawks) model split and flag any gap of five points or more as an edge.

Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.

Seahawks vs Broncos — frequently asked

Who is favored in Seahawks vs Broncos in Week 6?

Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Seahawks by 0 points and gives them a 50% win probability over the Broncos. Kalshi lists the game's win market one to two weeks before kickoff; the model line above is live now.

What does the model project for Seahawks vs Broncos?

Home win probability 50% (Broncos), away 50% (Seahawks). That comes from a power-rating differential of -2.6 plus 2.5 points home field, run through a Normal model (σ=13.5). The Broncos rate 12th of 32 (Average tier), the Seahawks 1st (Playoff tier).

Can you trade Seahawks vs Broncos on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists each NFL game's winner market (KXNFLGAME), typically one to two weeks before kickoff, to traders in all 50 states. You take a yes/no position on a team that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.