Denver Broncos vs New York Jets

Sunday, December 13, 2026 · MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ

Broncos

54%

model win prob

Jets

46%

model win prob

Model line

Broncos −1.5

Kalshi (Jets)

—

Edge

pending

Model favors the Broncos — Kalshi market opens closer to kickoff

KXNFLGAME lists this game one to two weeks out. The model read above is live; the market column fills in automatically when the contract opens.

Power-rating comparison

TeamRatingRankTier

Denver Broncos+0.912thAverage

New York Jets-3.029thBelow Avg

The prediction-market read

In Week 14, the Denver Broncos travel to face the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ. Our DAEPA power-rating model rates the Jets 29th of 32 (Below Avg tier, -3.0) and the Broncos 12th (Average tier, +0.9). After a 2.5-point home-field adjustment, the model lands on the Broncos by 1.5 — a 54% win probability for the Broncos.

Kalshi lists each game's winner market one to two weeks before kickoff, so the live price for this matchup isn't posted yet. When it opens we compare the implied probability to our 46% (Jets) / 54% (Broncos) model split and flag any gap of five points or more as an edge.

Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.

Broncos vs Jets — frequently asked

Who is favored in Broncos vs Jets in Week 14?

Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Broncos by 1.5 points and gives them a 54% win probability over the Jets. Kalshi lists the game's win market one to two weeks before kickoff; the model line above is live now.

What does the model project for Broncos vs Jets?

Home win probability 46% (Jets), away 54% (Broncos). That comes from a power-rating differential of -3.9 plus 2.5 points home field, run through a Normal model (σ=13.5). The Jets rate 29th of 32 (Below Avg tier), the Broncos 12th (Average tier).

Can you trade Broncos vs Jets on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists each NFL game's winner market (KXNFLGAME), typically one to two weeks before kickoff, to traders in all 50 states. You take a yes/no position on a team that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.