Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

Monday, October 26, 2026 · Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA

Cowboys

42%

model win prob

Eagles

58%

model win prob

Model line

Eagles −3

Kalshi (Eagles)

—

Edge

pending

Model favors the Eagles — Kalshi market opens closer to kickoff

KXNFLGAME lists this game one to two weeks out. The model read above is live; the market column fills in automatically when the contract opens.

Power-rating comparison

TeamRatingRankTier

Dallas Cowboys+1.08thPlayoff

Philadelphia Eagles+1.46thPlayoff

The prediction-market read

In Week 7, the Dallas Cowboys travel to face the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA. Our DAEPA power-rating model rates the Eagles 6th of 32 (Playoff tier, +1.4) and the Cowboys 8th (Playoff tier, +1.0). After a 2.5-point home-field adjustment, the model lands on the Eagles by 3 — a 58% win probability for the Eagles.

Kalshi lists each game's winner market one to two weeks before kickoff, so the live price for this matchup isn't posted yet. When it opens we compare the implied probability to our 58% (Eagles) / 42% (Cowboys) model split and flag any gap of five points or more as an edge.

This is a NFC East divisional game — both teams meet twice in 2026, and division results carry the tiebreakers that decide the NFC East race. Track the full division on the NFC East hub.

Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.

Cowboys vs Eagles — frequently asked

Who is favored in Cowboys vs Eagles in Week 7?

Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Eagles by 3 points and gives them a 58% win probability over the Cowboys. Kalshi lists the game's win market one to two weeks before kickoff; the model line above is live now.

What does the model project for Cowboys vs Eagles?

Home win probability 58% (Eagles), away 42% (Cowboys). That comes from a power-rating differential of +0.3 plus 2.5 points home field, run through a Normal model (σ=13.5). The Eagles rate 6th of 32 (Playoff tier), the Cowboys 8th (Playoff tier).

Can you trade Cowboys vs Eagles on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists each NFL game's winner market (KXNFLGAME), typically one to two weeks before kickoff, to traders in all 50 states. You take a yes/no position on a team that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.