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Harold Fannin

· Cleveland Browns

Week 6 vs BAL — every Kalshi strike, the sportsbook consensus, and our model's call. Prediction-market props, priced in cents.

Our Week 6 projection for Harold Fannin, the Oracle calls on his Kalshi props, and the season range behind them. The draft-season read (ADP, value tag) sits at the bottom. Same numbers our model serves to AI assistants — free, no key.

Where the market has Harold Fannin this week

A gap between two venues is a price difference, not a recommendation. Prices move; the timestamp on each line is the clock it was read on.

The week's sharpest prop, across every player

One player here; the whole slate there. The largest model-vs-Kalshi prop gap live this week, refreshed every 5 minutes and free to embed.

The Ladder — Harold Fannin

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Every Kalshi strike listed on this player beside the sportsbook consensus, with our probability marked at the strike we called.

Harold FanninReceptionsMARKET READView 5+ rec on Kalshi →

Kalshi prices 5+ rec at 43¢. Where the Oracle line sits on each rung is Pro.

Market · 5+ rec
YES 43¢

Fewer than three strikes have both a two-sided Kalshi book and a model number inside our published 30–70% band, so there is no shape call here. The market prices are complete.

Oracle Ladders venue check

At 5+ rec Kalshi's YES costs 43¢, the books imply 42¢ — 0.6 points above the book read.

Legend
  • Kalshi YES mid, 0–100¢
  • book consensus (no-vig)
  • Oracle line (Pro) · hollow = outside the 30–70% band
  • YES/NO buttons are the Kalshi taker cost; “pays” is 100¢ ÷ cost.
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Gold is our distribution, parchment is the Kalshi contract at each strike; the band between them is green where our probability is higher and purple where it is lower. We publish our number only where we have measured it to be calibrated, between 30% and 70%; rungs outside that range show the market only, and a rung where our number sits more than 30 points from a liquid market is refused outright — a gap that size is a bug until proven otherwise. A contract pays $1 if it settles YES, so a price in cents is an implied probability. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0.

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Harold Fannin Kalshi prop ladder for Week 6: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus
Harold Fannin's headline Kalshi ladder this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

Embed this player’s prop ladder

A live card locked to Harold Fannin — the Kalshi price at every strike of his headline prop beside the sportsbook consensus — for a team blog, a fantasy newsletter or a player post. Free; the credit line is the only ask. No API key, no signup.

Every NFL prediction-market widget.

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Harold Fannin Kalshi prop ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/players/harold-fannin?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-player-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Harold Fannin Kalshi prop ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/players/harold-fannin?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-player-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Prop market — every Kalshi strike

Full market board →
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for Harold Fannin with a two-sided book: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus at that strike, the gap in cents, and the cheapest venue per side. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
ContractKalshiConsensusGapBest priceTrade
5+ recCLE v BAL42.5¢41.9%6bk+0.6¢over · ProphetX 43.1¢under · ProphetX 58.3¢Kalshi →
anytime TDCLE v BAL27.5¢29.5%exch-2.0¢over · Kalshi 29.4¢under · Kalshi 74.4¢Kalshi →
40+ rec ydsCLE v BAL42.5¢42.3%exch+0.2¢over · ProphetX 43.1¢under · Novig 57.1¢Kalshi →
50+ rec ydsCLE v BAL29.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · ProphetX 29.9¢Kalshi →
60+ rec ydsCLE v BAL19.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · ProphetX 20¢Kalshi →
70+ rec ydsCLE v BAL12.0¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 13.8¢Kalshi →
2+ recCLE v BAL90.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderKalshi onlyKalshi →

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents, read across two clocks — Kalshi as of Oct 16, 8:10 PM ET, books as of Oct 16, 8:15 PM ET. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

Browns 2026 schedule

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Every game carries our model line against the live Kalshi contract price.

How this projection is built

Season projections come from our own usage model — target and carry share, efficiency and games played — then the published rank blends that model with consensus ADP at a weight fitted per position. The raw model loses to consensus ADP at every position, so the board leads with the blend and the disagreement is the content, not a claim that we are right.

The engine behind the game numbers grades at 59.6% straight up across 3,266 games (2013–2024). Those figures grade DAEPA, the underlying play-by-play model. Every published call is graded here.

Want the whole board? All 322 players are free — and any AI assistant can read them directly through our MCP server, with no key and no signup.

Questions about Harold Fannin

What are Harold Fannin's Kalshi props for Week 6?

As of Oct 16, 8:10 PM ET, Kalshi lists 7 strikes on Harold Fannin against BAL: 5+ rec at 42.5¢, anytime TD at 27.5¢, 40+ rec yds at 42.5¢, 2+ rec at 90.5¢. A Kalshi prop contract pays $1 if the threshold is cleared, so the price in cents is the market's implied probability. Every strike on this page carries the sportsbook consensus at the same threshold beside it.

Where is the best price on Harold Fannin 5+ rec?

As of Oct 16, 8:10 PM ET, the cheapest over is ProphetX at 43.1¢ (next best 43.5¢), and the cheapest under is ProphetX at 58.3¢ (next best 58.5¢). Prices are per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks at their raw quote — so the two are directly comparable. Cheapest is not the same as correct: compare it to our model's probability for the same threshold before taking a position.

What is Harold Fannin's 2026 projection?

Harold Fannin projects a pending total for 2026. The page also carries a measured 10th–90th percentile range: it is the fitted distribution of actual-over-projected outcomes, holdout-validated, not a simulation.

How does a Kalshi player-prop contract pay out?

A Kalshi player-prop contract settles at $1 if the player clears the stated threshold and $0 if he does not, so the price in cents is the market’s implied probability of the threshold being cleared. Buying YES at 62¢ returns 38¢ per contract on a clear and loses 62¢ otherwise; buying NO at 38¢ is the mirror. Because both sides of a two-sided Kalshi book sum to about 100¢, no de-vigging is needed before comparing it to a model probability — a sportsbook price has to be de-vigged first.

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Projections as of 2026-10-16; ADP source composite. Fantasy projections are estimates, not predictions — trade and draft responsibly.