Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns
Sunday, November 29, 2026 · Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland, OH
Raiders
40%
model win prob
Browns
60%
model win prob
Model line
Browns −3.5
Kalshi (Browns)
—
Edge
pending
Model favors the Browns — Kalshi market opens closer to kickoff
KXNFLGAME lists this game one to two weeks out. The model read above is live; the market column fills in automatically when the contract opens.
Power-rating comparison
The prediction-market read
In Week 12, the Las Vegas Raiders travel to face the Cleveland Browns at Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland, OH. Our DAEPA power-rating model rates the Browns 27th of 32 (Below Avg tier, -2.1) and the Raiders 31st (Below Avg tier, -2.9). After a 2.5-point home-field adjustment, the model lands on the Browns by 3.5 — a 60% win probability for the Browns.
Kalshi lists each game's winner market one to two weeks before kickoff, so the live price for this matchup isn't posted yet. When it opens we compare the implied probability to our 60% (Browns) / 40% (Raiders) model split and flag any gap of five points or more as an edge.
Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.
Raiders vs Browns — frequently asked
Who is favored in Raiders vs Browns in Week 12?
Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Browns by 3.5 points and gives them a 60% win probability over the Raiders. Kalshi lists the game's win market one to two weeks before kickoff; the model line above is live now.
What does the model project for Raiders vs Browns?
Home win probability 60% (Browns), away 40% (Raiders). That comes from a power-rating differential of +0.8 plus 2.5 points home field, run through a Normal model (σ=13.5). The Browns rate 27th of 32 (Below Avg tier), the Raiders 31st (Below Avg tier).
Can you trade Raiders vs Browns on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists each NFL game's winner market (KXNFLGAME), typically one to two weeks before kickoff, to traders in all 50 states. You take a yes/no position on a team that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.
When and where do the Browns host the Raiders?
Las Vegas Raiders visit the Cleveland Browns on Sunday, November 29, 2026 in NFL Week 12, at Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland, OH.
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Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.