Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

Friday, December 25, 2026 · Lumen Field, Seattle, WA

Rams

43%

model win prob

Seahawks

57%

model win prob

Model line

Seahawks −2.5

Kalshi (Seahawks)

—

Edge

pending

Model favors the Seahawks — Kalshi market opens closer to kickoff

KXNFLGAME lists this game one to two weeks out. The model read above is live; the market column fills in automatically when the contract opens.

Power-rating comparison

TeamRatingRankTier

Los Angeles Rams+2.92ndPlayoff

Seattle Seahawks+2.73rdPlayoff

The prediction-market read

In Week 16, the Los Angeles Rams travel to face the Seattle Seahawks at Lumen Field, Seattle, WA. Our DAEPA power-rating model rates the Seahawks 3rd of 32 (Playoff tier, +2.7) and the Rams 2nd (Playoff tier, +2.9). After a 2.5-point home-field adjustment, the model lands on the Seahawks by 2.5 — a 57% win probability for the Seahawks.

Kalshi lists each game's winner market one to two weeks before kickoff, so the live price for this matchup isn't posted yet. When it opens we compare the implied probability to our 57% (Seahawks) / 43% (Rams) model split and flag any gap of five points or more as an edge.

This is a NFC West divisional game — both teams meet twice in 2026, and division results carry the tiebreakers that decide the NFC West race. Track the full division on the NFC West hub.

Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.

Rams vs Seahawks — frequently asked

Who is favored in Rams vs Seahawks in Week 16?

Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Seahawks by 2.5 points and gives them a 57% win probability over the Rams. Kalshi lists the game's win market one to two weeks before kickoff; the model line above is live now.

What does the model project for Rams vs Seahawks?

Home win probability 57% (Seahawks), away 43% (Rams). That comes from a power-rating differential of -0.2 plus 2.5 points home field, run through a Normal model (σ=13.5). The Seahawks rate 3rd of 32 (Playoff tier), the Rams 2nd (Playoff tier).

Can you trade Rams vs Seahawks on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists each NFL game's winner market (KXNFLGAME), typically one to two weeks before kickoff, to traders in all 50 states. You take a yes/no position on a team that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.