Seattle Seahawks vs Philadelphia Eagles

Saturday, December 19, 2026 · Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA

Seahawks

47%

model win prob

Eagles

53%

model win prob

Model line

Eagles −1

Kalshi (Eagles)

—

Edge

pending

Model favors the Eagles — Kalshi market opens closer to kickoff

KXNFLGAME lists this game one to two weeks out. The model read above is live; the market column fills in automatically when the contract opens.

Power-rating comparison

TeamRatingRankTier

Seattle Seahawks+2.73rdPlayoff

Philadelphia Eagles+1.46thPlayoff

The prediction-market read

In Week 15, the Seattle Seahawks travel to face the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA. Our DAEPA power-rating model rates the Eagles 6th of 32 (Playoff tier, +1.4) and the Seahawks 3rd (Playoff tier, +2.7). After a 2.5-point home-field adjustment, the model lands on the Eagles by 1 — a 53% win probability for the Eagles.

Kalshi lists each game's winner market one to two weeks before kickoff, so the live price for this matchup isn't posted yet. When it opens we compare the implied probability to our 53% (Eagles) / 47% (Seahawks) model split and flag any gap of five points or more as an edge.

Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.

Seahawks vs Eagles — frequently asked

Who is favored in Seahawks vs Eagles in Week 15?

Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Eagles by 1 points and gives them a 53% win probability over the Seahawks. Kalshi lists the game's win market one to two weeks before kickoff; the model line above is live now.

What does the model project for Seahawks vs Eagles?

Home win probability 53% (Eagles), away 47% (Seahawks). That comes from a power-rating differential of -1.3 plus 2.5 points home field, run through a Normal model (σ=13.5). The Eagles rate 6th of 32 (Playoff tier), the Seahawks 3rd (Playoff tier).

Can you trade Seahawks vs Eagles on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists each NFL game's winner market (KXNFLGAME), typically one to two weeks before kickoff, to traders in all 50 states. You take a yes/no position on a team that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.