Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams
Sunday, January 10, 2027 · SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
Quick Answer
As of August 1, 2026, our model favors the Rams by 3.5 in Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams, NFL Week 18 2026 — 60% to win, and the second NFC West meeting of the year. Kalshi has not listed KXNFLGAME-27JAN10SEALAR yet, so there is no price to compare: when it opens, Rams at 55c or below (or Seahawks at 35c or below) is where the model would take a position.
SEA
+5.2
LA
+6.3
Seahawks
40%
model win prob
Rams
60%
model win prob
KXNFLGAME-27JAN10SEALARhasn't opened yet, so there is no price to compare. When it does, the model buys the Rams at 55c or below, or the Seahawks at 35c or below — a five-point threshold either way. The market column fills in automatically.
Power-rating comparison
The rematch: what the model sees the second time around
This is the second meeting. The Seahawks and Rams already played in Week 16, and now the Seahawks make the return trip in Week 18. Familiarity does not show up in a power rating, so the model prices it the same way it prices everything else: +6.3 against +5.2, plus home field, equals the Rams by 3.5 (60%). Where a rematch does matter is the standings — a division sweep is worth more than the two wins suggest.
The sharpest unit gap in the game runs one way: the Rams offense grades +4.2 (1st of 32) against a Seahawks defense at +1.8 (4th) — 2.4 points of separation on our scale, and the single biggest reason the line sits where it does. Going the other direction, the Seahawks offense (+2.3, 7th) meets the Rams defense (+1.9, 2nd), a 0.4-point gap. Special teams adds to it: the Seahawks grade +1.2, 2nd in the league, against +0.2 (22nd) on the other side — close to a point of hidden margin.
On the standings side, NFC West games are the ones that decide the tiebreakers. Head-to-head record is the first tiebreaker between two teams in the same division, and division record is the next — so the value of this result is not just the win column. They already played in Week 16, so a season sweep is on the table here on the NFC West race.
Season-long, the model can barely split them: 11.3 projected wins for the Rams against 10.8 for the Seahawks, favored in 16 and 16 of their 17 respectively. Two teams heading for the same neighborhood in the standings tend to produce exactly this kind of line. This game sits 5th-hardest on the Rams' schedule and 1st-hardest on the Seahawks'. Nothing on the Seahawks' schedule projects harder than this one.
Recent history, for context only: 48 regular-season meetings since 2002, 27-21 in the Seahawks' favour, plus 3 playoff games. They last met in 2025: Seahawks won 38-37 in December. Over their last 4 meetings the Rams are 2-2. It is not an input to the line — rosters turn over faster than series records do.
Does the model earn this number? In 666 of the 3266 walk-forward games it has been graded on (2013-2024, no market line used), it landed in the 60-65% range. Those favourites went 59%. The 60% on the Rams here sits in that same band, and the history runs slightly behind the claim.
Kalshi has not listed KXNFLGAME-27JAN10SEALAR, so there is no price on the board and no edge to quote. The model's number to hold it to: Rams 60%, Seahawks 40%. Applying our five-point threshold, that makes Rams contracts a buy at 55c or below and Seahawks contracts a buy at 35c or below — anything between is inside the noise, and we pass. Week 1's KXNFLGAME contracts opened in May 2026 and the rest of the slate lists as the season gets closer; this page picks up the price automatically when it does.
Full division picture on the NFC West hub.
Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.
Seahawks vs Rams — frequently asked
Who is favored in Seahawks vs Rams in Week 18?
Our power-rating model favors the Rams by 3.5 points, a 60% win probability over the Seahawks. The Rams rate 1st of 32 (+6.3) and the Seahawks 3rd (+5.2); Kalshi has not listed KXNFLGAME-27JAN10SEALAR yet, so the model line is the only number on the board.
How much does a NFC West result matter here?
Head-to-head is the first tiebreaker between two NFC West teams and division record is the next, so this result carries more than one game of standings weight. These two also meet in Week 16. Our model does not adjust for any of that — it prices the Rams by 3.5 on ratings and home field alone.
How do you take a position on Seahawks vs Rams?
The contract will be KXNFLGAME-27JAN10SEALAR on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange open to traders in all 50 states. It has not opened yet; when it does, the model would take the Rams at 55c or below, or the Seahawks at 35c or below. There is no point spread — you buy a yes or no contract on a team and it settles at $1 or $0.
When and where do the Rams host the Seahawks?
Seattle Seahawks visit the Los Angeles Rams on Sunday, January 10, 2027 — a Sunday game in NFL Week 18, at SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA.
What does the model project for the Rams and Seahawks this season?
Across all 17 games the model projects the Rams at 11.3 wins (favored in 16) and the Seahawks at 10.8 (favored in 16). This game ranks 5th-hardest on the Rams' schedule and 1st-hardest on the Seahawks', by model win probability.
How often does the model win when it is 60% on a team like the Rams?
59% of the time. Over 3266 walk-forward games from 2013-2024 — trained only on prior seasons, no market line as an input — the model put a team in the 60-65% range 666 times, and those teams won 59% of them. The Rams at 60% over the Seahawks sit in that band, off a 3.5-point model line. Straight-up across all 3266 graded games the model picked winners at 59.6%, with a Brier score of 0.236 against 0.25 for a coin flip.
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The first meeting
These two already played once in 2026, back in Week 16. Division games are the pairings the model gets two swings at, and the second line usually moves off what the first one showed. Seahawks–Rams, Week 16 →
More Week 18 matchups
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