Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Rams

Sunday, December 20, 2026 · SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA

Cowboys

37%

model win prob

Rams

63%

model win prob

Model line

Rams −4.5

Kalshi (Rams)

—

Edge

pending

Model favors the Rams — Kalshi market opens closer to kickoff

KXNFLGAME lists this game one to two weeks out. The model read above is live; the market column fills in automatically when the contract opens.

Power-rating comparison

TeamRatingRankTier

Dallas Cowboys+1.08thPlayoff

Los Angeles Rams+2.92ndPlayoff

The prediction-market read

In Week 15, the Dallas Cowboys travel to face the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA. Our DAEPA power-rating model rates the Rams 2nd of 32 (Playoff tier, +2.9) and the Cowboys 8th (Playoff tier, +1.0). After a 2.5-point home-field adjustment, the model lands on the Rams by 4.5 — a 63% win probability for the Rams.

Kalshi lists each game's winner market one to two weeks before kickoff, so the live price for this matchup isn't posted yet. When it opens we compare the implied probability to our 63% (Rams) / 37% (Cowboys) model split and flag any gap of five points or more as an edge.

Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.

Cowboys vs Rams — frequently asked

Who is favored in Cowboys vs Rams in Week 15?

Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Rams by 4.5 points and gives them a 63% win probability over the Cowboys. Kalshi lists the game's win market one to two weeks before kickoff; the model line above is live now.

What does the model project for Cowboys vs Rams?

Home win probability 63% (Rams), away 37% (Cowboys). That comes from a power-rating differential of +1.9 plus 2.5 points home field, run through a Normal model (σ=13.5). The Rams rate 2nd of 32 (Playoff tier), the Cowboys 8th (Playoff tier).

Can you trade Cowboys vs Rams on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists each NFL game's winner market (KXNFLGAME), typically one to two weeks before kickoff, to traders in all 50 states. You take a yes/no position on a team that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.